2014 Pat (through 7 weeks)

3-4 (0.429), 618.90 points

10th place

2.51 expected wins (0.359)

35-56 all-play record (0.385)

+15.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.15 62.19 Mike R. 40.96
2 W 107.21 100.70 Richie 6.51
3 L 84.31 147.33 Pulley -63.02
4 L 97.37 124.36 Derrek -26.99
5 W 78.58 72.85 Kevin 5.73
6 L 66.61 111.37 Matt -44.76
7 L 81.67 111.64 Rob -29.97
8 Babel
9 Ed
10 Schertz
11 Dave
12 Allen
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.23076923076923230.4%235.7884615384615274.9781917962623430.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692373.0%42.519230769230774134.70431828114812015.9%106.9423076923077106.57488548863986131.7%171.365384615384672.020.0%235.788461538461528.725614361755447314.9%300.2115384615385108.8083180186050943.7%364.6346153846155133.0745140242717450.4%429.0576923076924140.2604484496151360.0%493.4807692307693141.190549195871267Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th109.630769230769295.786982248520726th207.5153846153846118.2721893491124138th305.4163.2426035502958549th403.28461538461534185.7278106508876512th501.16923076923075253.18343195266272612th599.053846153846253.1834319526627276th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd109.630769230769250.81656804733728425th207.515384615384695.786982248520738th305.4163.2426035502958546th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124158th501.16923076923075163.24260355029585610th599.053846153846208.213017751479377th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th109.630769230769295.786982248520726th207.5153846153846118.2721893491124138th305.4163.2426035502958549th403.28461538461534185.7278106508876512th501.16923076923075253.18343195266272611th599.053846153846230.6982248520717Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Calvin Johnson WR
2.11 25 Drew Brees K QB
3.04 32 Eddie Lacy K RB
4.11 53 Stevan Ridley RB
5.04 60 Reggie Wayne WR
6.11 81 Khiry Robinson RB
7.04 88 Cecil Shorts III WR
8.11 109 Delanie Walker TE
9.04 116 Chris Ivory RB
10.11 137 Donald Brown RB
11.04 144 James Starks RB
12.11 165 James Jones WR
13.04 172 Kansas City DEF
14.11 193 Nick Novak K
15.04 200 Stevie Johnson WR
16.11 221 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.58238.54065934065934100.9389615637153410.66398.7604395604395595.3591342997121120.000158.98021978021976141.2307692307692330.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692340.196279.4197802197802127.6334915904843750.000339.6395604395604141.2307692307692360.000399.8593406593406141.2307692307692370.00038.5406593406593460.64715389666143610.00098.7604395604395549.4874993686549820.277158.98021978021976122.0877569574220930.484219.19999999999996107.7120309106520640.000279.4197802197802114.0362139501995150.078339.6395604395604135.8384514369412660.233399.8593406593406125.076544269912627Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567740.12307692307692103.95266272189349111102.815384615384682.650887573964520165.50769230769228141.2307692307692330228.19999999999996141.2307692307692343290.8923076923077125.2544378698224850353.5846153846154141.2307692307692360416.2769230769231141.230769230769237040.1230769230769266.6745562130177510102.815384615384624.07100591715975224165.50769230769228119.9289940828402333228.19999999999996125.2544378698224840290.8923076923077109.2781065088757451353.5846153846154135.9053254437869866416.2769230769231109.278106508875747All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Pat 3-4 10th 88.41 0.359 13.55 5-8 11th
1 990 2009 Dave 4-3 5th 88.58 0.359 9.21 5-8 11th
2 989 2014 Allen 3-4 11th 88.26 0.363 14.50 6-7 10th
3 983 2009 Ed 3-4 10th 88.54 0.367 13.55 7-6 4th 6th place
4 981 2015 Kevin 2-5 12th 87.04 0.364 15.35 3-10 14th
5 979 2016 Derrek 2-5 13th 89.89 0.356 18.05 3-10 14th
6 975 2013 Richie 4-3 7th 88.39 0.362 22.75 6-7 10th
7 970 2017 Pat 1-6 14th 83.41 0.355 12.79 6-7 7th
8 966 2019 Rob 3-4 11th 91.72 0.367 16.03 5-8 13th
9 958 2019 Richie 3-4 12th 91.50 0.348 17.39 5-8 12th
10 952 2024 Derrek 2-5 13th 87.41 0.345 21.73 4-10 14th