2016 Derrek (through 7 weeks)

2-5 (0.286), 629.20 points

13th place

2.49 expected wins (0.356)

33-58 all-play record (0.363)

-9.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 123.45 112.14 Dave 11.31
2 L 70.45 91.15 Schertz -20.70 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 67.22 84.08 Richie -16.86 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 89.35 68.08 Ed 21.27
5 L 103.42 109.35 Rob -5.93
6 L 93.53 128.65 Kevin -35.12
7 L 81.78 83.86 Mike R. -2.08
8 Pulley
9 Rabbit
10 Pat
11 Babel
12 Matt
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.23076923076923134.4%171.365384615384672.020.0%235.78846153846152141.2307692307692330.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692371.8%42.519230769230774137.5383185495267015.4%106.9423076923077110.1819097007890810.0%171.36538461538462.7692307692307736231.7%235.7884615384615277.44856401969513313.7%300.2115384615385113.7125306953469342.7%364.6346153846155135.705264655325950.2%429.0576923076924140.7647222206897860.0%493.4807692307693141.217428369074647Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576111th109.6307692307692230.698224852071212th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272314th305.4298.15384615384613411th403.28461538461534230.698224852071511th501.16923076923075230.698224852071612th599.053846153846253.1834319526627272nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557618th109.6307692307692163.24260355029585212th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272311th305.4230.698224852071410th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793511th501.16923076923075230.698224852071613th599.053846153846275.668639053254472nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576111th109.6307692307692230.698224852071213th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544314th305.4298.15384615384613411th403.28461538461534230.698224852071511th501.16923076923075230.698224852071612th599.053846153846253.183431952662727Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Le'Veon Bell RB
2.11 25 Brandin Cooks WR
3.04 32 Andrew Luck QB
4.11 53 Allen Robinson II K WR
5.04 60 T.J. Yeldon RB
6.11 81 Zach Ertz TE
7.04 88 Chris Ivory RB
8.11 109 Devin Funchess WR
9.04 116 James Starks RB
10.11 137 Denver DEF
11.04 144 Josh Gordon K WR
12.11 165 Josh Doctson WR
13.04 172 Austin Seferian-Jenkins TE
14.11 193 Teddy Bridgewater QB
15.04 200 Blair Walsh K
16.11 221 Kenny Britt WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.84738.5406593406593482.5717305862695510.00098.76043956043955141.2307692307692320.000158.98021978021976141.2307692307692330.328219.19999999999996118.5280920186651340.000279.4197802197802141.2307692307692350.000339.6395604395604141.2307692307692360.000399.8593406593406141.2307692307692370.00038.5406593406593423.91269194176989310.08698.76043956043955135.2675738106748320.059158.98021978021976137.176761143368430.000219.1999999999999695.8254148065610440.564279.4197802197802102.2090860082605650.396339.6395604395604113.8346731591267860.212399.8593406593406126.551224500103597Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345671240.1230769230769277.3254437869822510102.8153846153846141.2307692307692320165.50769230769228141.2307692307692335228.19999999999996114.6035502958579940290.8923076923077141.2307692307692350353.5846153846154141.2307692307692360416.2769230769231141.230769230769237040.1230769230769213.4201183431952710102.8153846153846141.2307692307692320165.50769230769228141.2307692307692330228.1999999999999687.9763313609467446290.8923076923077109.2781065088757457353.5846153846154103.9526627218934963416.2769230769231125.254437869822487All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Derrek 2-5 13th 89.89 0.356 18.05 3-10 14th
1 979 2014 Pat 3-4 10th 88.41 0.359 13.55 5-8 11th
2 976 2019 Richie 3-4 12th 91.50 0.348 17.39 5-8 12th
3 972 2013 Richie 4-3 7th 88.39 0.362 22.75 6-7 10th
4 972 2014 Allen 3-4 11th 88.26 0.363 14.50 6-7 10th
5 971 2009 Dave 4-3 5th 88.58 0.359 9.21 5-8 11th
6 967 2015 Kevin 2-5 12th 87.04 0.364 15.35 3-10 14th
7 967 2019 Rob 3-4 11th 91.72 0.367 16.03 5-8 13th
8 963 2009 Ed 3-4 10th 88.54 0.367 13.55 7-6 4th 6th place
9 962 2024 Derrek 2-5 13th 87.41 0.345 21.73 4-10 14th
10 962 2017 Pat 1-6 14th 83.41 0.355 12.79 6-7 7th