2016 Allen (through 12 weeks)

4-8 (0.333), 1,175.96 points

12th place

5.70 expected wins (0.475)

79-77 all-play record (0.506)

+7.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 72.19 85.25 Richie -13.06 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 106.42 91.85 Dave 14.57
3 W 136.95 98.49 Mike R. 38.46 Team Blangums
4 W 105.54 93.80 Pulley 11.74
5 L 77.03 129.47 Schertz -52.44
6 L 75.57 76.61 Babel -1.04
7 L 70.14 89.78 Pat -19.64
8 W 104.28 86.50 Ed 17.78
9 L 99.08 110.71 Matt -11.63
10 L 126.44 135.15 Rob -8.71
11 L 93.53 123.97 Kevin -30.44
12 L 108.79 112.50 Rabbit -3.71
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.23076923076923314.0%188.71005917159763105.5089089758481940.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.2237171475799200.1%69.77514792899409141.012391853788110.9%109.42011834319527138.8663902916479724.8%149.06508875739644128.9662349195240330.0%188.7100591715976369.78704872092716424.7%228.3550295857988378.24483549004873527.1%268.072.0618.6%307.6449704142011793.8470351250356977.7%347.28994082840245121.5172584658716381.9%386.93491124260356136.4343241003773290.3%426.5798816568048140.5736307698289100.0%466.2248520710059141.1841400579955110.0%505.8698224852071141.2294425541512Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th65.13776223776223253.1834319526627229th118.52937062937062185.727810650887637th171.92097902097902140.7573964497041549th225.3125874125874185.7278106508876510th278.7041958041958208.2130177514793610th332.09580419580413208.213017751479379th385.4874125874125185.7278106508876810th438.87902097902094208.213017751479399th492.27062937062936185.7278106508876109th545.6622377622377185.7278106508876119th599.053846153846185.72781065088761214th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461319th65.13776223776223185.727810650887626th118.52937062937062118.2721893491124132nd171.9209790209790228.33136094674557648th225.3125874125874163.2426035502958559th278.7041958041958185.7278106508876610th332.09580419580413208.213017751479379th385.4874125874125185.7278106508876811th438.87902097902094230.698224852071911th492.27062937062936230.6982248520711011th545.6622377622377230.6982248520711112th599.053846153846253.183431952662721214th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th65.13776223776223253.1834319526627228th118.52937062937062163.2426035502958537th171.92097902097902140.7573964497041549th225.3125874125874185.7278106508876510th278.7041958041958208.2130177514793610th332.09580419580413208.2130177514793711th385.4874125874125230.698224852071810th438.87902097902094208.213017751479399th492.27062937062936185.7278106508876108th545.6622377622377163.24260355029585119th599.053846153846185.727810650887612Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Ezekiel Elliott RB
2.13 27 Russell Wilson K QB
3.02 30 Eric Decker WR
4.13 55 Rashad Jennings RB
5.02 58 Tyler Lockett WR
6.13 83 Isaiah Crowell RB
7.02 86 Marvin Jones, Jr. WR
8.13 111 DeAndre Washington RB
9.02 114 Jordan Reed K TE
10.13 139 Mohamed Sanu WR
11.02 142 Kansas City DEF
12.13 167 Wendell Smallwood RB
13.02 170 Jaelen Strong WR
14.13 195 Paul Perkins RB
15.02 198 Brock Osweiler QB
16.13 223 Josh Brown K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.62761.1230769230769297.8549989898479620.93896.2512820512820376.3198204454770530.611131.3794871794871798.9118705490176440.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.585271.89230769230767100.7301441992019780.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.10725.994871794871795133.8454530531844910.00061.1230769230769254.479228748926720.00096.2512820512820311.40887166018487230.000131.3794871794871756.5929718672660340.160166.5076923076923130.186177332188550.140201.63589743589745131.515789938885860.089236.76410256410256135.061423556745370.000271.8923076923076760.2295191676347280.494307.0205128205128107.0145525026516490.876342.1487179487179480.59276352341027100.402377.2769230769231113.36714606798323110.667412.405128205128295.0594032526895312Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231963.632692307692393.30177514792899213100.2032051282051172.038136.7737179487179498.6272189349112440173.3442307692307141.2307692307692350209.91474358974358141.2307692307692360246.4852564102564141.2307692307692378283.055769230769298.6272189349112480319.62628205128203141.2307692307692390356.19679487179485141.23076923076923100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312027.062179487179485141.230769230769231063.632692307692345.37278106508874520100.203205128205112.769230769230773630136.7737179487179456.0236686390532443173.3442307692307125.2544378698224853209.91474358974358125.2544378698224861246.4852564102564135.9053254437869870283.055769230769256.0236686390532487319.62628205128203103.95266272189349910356.1967948717948587.97633136094674107392.7673076923077103.952662721893491110429.337820512820587.9763313609467412All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Allen 4-8 12th 98.00 0.475 20.44 4-9 13th
1 989 2015 Schertz 8-4 2nd 97.00 0.474 23.75 9-4 2nd 2nd place
2 985 2024 Schertz 5-7 9th 98.37 0.480 21.46 7-7 7th
3 985 2021 Kevin 5-7 9th 98.61 0.477 24.33 5-9 9th
4 984 2012 Allen 6-6 6th 96.84 0.470 21.44 6-7 8th
5 983 2023 Pat 5-7 10th 98.40 0.480 18.41 5-9 11th
6 983 2019 Ed 5-7 9th 98.70 0.476 26.64 5-8 11th
7 979 2024 Babel 8-4 3rd 98.78 0.467 18.96 9-5 4th
8 975 2017 Pat 5-7 8th 93.26 0.476 19.00 6-7 7th
9 974 2011 Derrek 8-4 2nd 98.36 0.464 21.86 8-5 3rd 6th place
10 971 2013 Rob 7-5 5th 97.82 0.484 25.09 8-5 2nd 2nd place