2016 Allen (through 12 weeks)

4-8 (0.333), 1,175.96 points (98.00 average)

12th place

5.74 expected wins (0.478)

79-77 all-play record (0.506)

+7.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 72.19 85.25 Richie -13.06 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 106.42 91.85 Dave 14.57
3 W 136.95 98.49 Mike R. 38.46 Team Blangums
4 W 105.54 93.80 Pulley 11.74
5 L 77.03 129.47 Schertz -52.44
6 L 75.57 76.61 Babel -1.04
7 L 70.14 89.78 Pat -19.64
8 W 104.28 86.50 Ed 17.78
9 L 99.08 110.71 Matt -11.63
10 L 126.44 135.15 Rob -8.71
11 L 93.53 123.97 Kevin -30.44
12 L 108.79 112.50 Rabbit -3.71
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.23076923076923313.5%188.71005917159763106.7076640648989640.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.223586495216800.1%69.77514792899409141.0144987442655510.9%109.42011834319527138.9453894514513524.6%149.06508875739644129.445960026041630.0%188.7100591715976372.1845588990287424.1%228.3550295857988379.51641569938735527.1%268.072.0619.0%307.6449704142011792.53286867091978.2%347.28994082840245120.230708527705882.1%386.93491124260356135.8817765232224790.3%426.5798816568048140.45913041681825100.0%466.2248520710059141.17307087578988110.0%505.8698224852071141.2290453132346812Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th65.13776223776223253.1834319526627228th118.52937062937062163.2426035502958537th171.92097902097902140.7573964497041549th225.3125874125874185.7278106508876510th278.7041958041958208.2130177514793610th332.09580419580413208.213017751479379th385.4874125874125185.7278106508876810th438.87902097902094208.213017751479399th492.27062937062936185.7278106508876109th545.6622377622377185.7278106508876119th599.053846153846185.72781065088761214th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461319th65.13776223776223185.727810650887626th118.52937062937062118.2721893491124132nd171.9209790209790228.33136094674557648th225.3125874125874163.2426035502958559th278.7041958041958185.7278106508876610th332.09580419580413208.213017751479379th385.4874125874125185.7278106508876811th438.87902097902094230.698224852071911th492.27062937062936230.6982248520711011th545.6622377622377230.6982248520711112th599.053846153846253.183431952662721214th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th65.13776223776223253.1834319526627228th118.52937062937062163.2426035502958537th171.92097902097902140.7573964497041549th225.3125874125874185.7278106508876510th278.7041958041958208.2130177514793610th332.09580419580413208.2130177514793711th385.4874125874125230.698224852071810th438.87902097902094208.213017751479399th492.27062937062936185.7278106508876108th545.6622377622377163.24260355029585119th599.053846153846185.727810650887612Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Ezekiel Elliott RB
2.13 27 Russell Wilson K QB
3.02 30 Eric Decker WR
4.13 55 Rashad Jennings RB
5.02 58 Tyler Lockett WR
6.13 83 Isaiah Crowell RB
7.02 86 Marvin Jones, Jr. WR
8.13 111 DeAndre Washington RB
9.02 114 Jordan Reed K TE
10.13 139 Mohamed Sanu WR
11.02 142 Kansas City DEF
12.13 167 Wendell Smallwood RB
13.02 170 Jaelen Strong WR
14.13 195 Paul Perkins RB
15.02 198 Brock Osweiler QB
16.13 223 Josh Brown K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.63661.1230769230769297.1686498509247720.93796.2512820512820376.395242323035530.619131.3794871794871798.3818987945805140.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.584271.89230769230767100.7708555772829980.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.11525.994871794871795133.2508723285161210.00061.1230769230769253.1065304710802920.00096.2512820512820311.55971541530178130.000131.3794871794871755.5330283583917940.174166.5076923076923129.1603836256538250.152201.63589743589745130.7100108112698560.088236.76410256410256135.149805818606870.000271.8923076923076760.3109419237967380.503307.0205128205128106.441054072765990.863342.1487179487179481.51425784555022100.404377.2769230769231113.28049637603834110.666412.405128205128295.1026460144945812Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231963.632692307692393.30177514792899213100.2032051282051172.038136.7737179487179498.6272189349112440173.3442307692307141.2307692307692350209.91474358974358141.2307692307692360246.4852564102564141.2307692307692378283.055769230769298.6272189349112480319.62628205128203141.2307692307692390356.19679487179485141.23076923076923100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312027.062179487179485141.230769230769231063.632692307692345.37278106508874520100.203205128205112.769230769230773630136.7737179487179456.0236686390532443173.3442307692307125.2544378698224853209.91474358974358125.2544378698224861246.4852564102564135.9053254437869870283.055769230769256.0236686390532487319.62628205128203103.95266272189349910356.1967948717948587.97633136094674107392.7673076923077103.952662721893491110429.337820512820587.9763313609467412All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Allen 4-8 12th 98.00 0.478 20.44 4-9 13th
1 991 2023 Pat 5-7 10th 98.40 0.480 18.41 5-9 11th
2 988 2024 Schertz 5-7 9th 98.37 0.482 21.46 7-7 7th
3 988 2015 Schertz 8-4 2nd 97.00 0.479 23.75 9-4 2nd 2nd place
4 987 2021 Kevin 5-7 9th 98.61 0.477 24.33 5-9 9th
5 983 2019 Ed 5-7 9th 98.70 0.479 26.64 5-8 11th
6 982 2019 Babel 7-5 5th 100.25 0.480 17.32 8-5 5th 5th place
7 979 2012 Allen 6-6 6th 96.84 0.471 21.44 6-7 8th
8 975 2017 Pat 5-7 8th 93.26 0.477 19.00 6-7 7th
9 973 2024 Pat 6-6 7th 101.17 0.485 19.50 6-8 10th
10 973 2016 Matt 5-7 10th 98.23 0.483 29.27 5-8 10th