2019 Ed (through 12 weeks)

5-7 (0.417), 1,184.37 points

9th place

5.71 expected wins (0.476)

76-80 all-play record (0.487)

+4.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 134.73 82.17 Scott 52.56
2 L 73.47 147.14 Pulley -73.67
3 W 102.86 79.62 Dave 23.24
4 L 66.53 106.19 Rob -39.66 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 94.00 117.60 Pat -23.60
6 W 111.07 91.43 Richie 19.64
7 L 87.98 97.47 Kevin -9.49
8 L 127.73 129.62 Derrek -1.89
9 L 79.81 106.67 Mike R. -26.86
10 W 129.73 120.04 Rabbit 9.69 Team Blangums
11 L 50.42 70.63 Schertz -20.21 Slapped Heartbeat
12 W 126.04 96.18 Matt 29.86
13 Babel

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.23076923076923426.4%228.3550295857988381.7271905708371450.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.228548316038200.0%69.77514792899409141.1549766595945810.5%109.42011834319527140.1948988331165523.2%149.06508875739644133.96089909668885312.4%188.71005917159763113.2253048015376240.0%228.3550295857988322.22361191090505530.7%268.072.0619.3%307.6449704142011797.6525055429876176.4%347.28994082840245126.799588692238981.0%386.93491124260356138.873576718351990.1%426.5798816568048141.06307667921442100.0%466.2248520710059141.22698754074494110.0%505.8698224852071141.2307692307692312Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557616th65.13776223776223118.2721893491124126th118.52937062937062118.27218934911241311th171.92097902097902230.698224852071411th225.3125874125874230.69822485207159th278.7041958041958185.7278106508876610th332.09580419580413208.213017751479378th385.4874125874125163.24260355029585810th438.87902097902094208.213017751479395th492.2706293706293695.78698224852071012th545.6622377622377253.18343195266272118th599.053846153846163.24260355029585122nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557615th65.1377622377622395.786982248520725th118.5293706293706295.7869822485207310th171.92097902097902208.2130177514793411th225.3125874125874230.69822485207158th278.7041958041958163.24260355029585610th332.09580419580413208.2130177514793710th385.4874125874125208.2130177514793811th438.87902097902094230.698224852071910th492.27062937062936208.21301775147931011th545.6622377622377230.698224852071119th599.053846153846185.7278106508876122nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557615th65.1377622377622395.786982248520726th118.52937062937062118.27218934911241311th171.92097902097902230.698224852071411th225.3125874125874230.69822485207159th278.7041958041958185.7278106508876610th332.09580419580413208.213017751479378th385.4874125874125163.2426035502958589th438.87902097902094185.727810650887696th492.27062937062936118.272189349112411011th545.6622377622377230.698224852071119th599.053846153846185.727810650887612Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
5
8
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Julio Jones WR
2.12 26 T.Y. Hilton K WR
3.03 31 Deshaun Watson QB
4.12 54 Royce Freeman RB
5.03 59 Tarik Cohen RB
6.12 82 DeSean Jackson WR
7.03 87 Adrian Peterson RB
8.12 110 Kalen Ballage RB
9.03 115 O.J. Howard K TE
10.12 138 Dion Lewis RB
11.03 143 Tre'Quan Smith WR
12.12 166 Zay Jones WR
13.03 171 Chris Herndon TE
14.12 194 A.J. Brown WR
15.03 199 Denver DEF
16.12 222 Mason Crosby K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.90725.99487179487179577.068101918132110.00061.12307692307692138.781904272582220.53896.25128205128203102.1853471071127930.000131.37948717948717138.781904272582240.000166.5076923076923138.781904272582250.683201.6358974358974592.3393869930323660.000236.76410256410256138.781904272582270.000271.89230769230767138.781904272582280.000307.0205128205128138.781904272582290.881342.1487179487179478.8988700119067100.000377.2769230769231138.7819042725822110.853412.405128205128280.79661742618524120.00025.99487179487179515.35429956368199110.09861.12307692307692132.102776932209820.00096.2512820512820365.5887899416433830.039131.37948717948717136.1215361624467240.393166.5076923076923112.053633661361250.000201.6358974358974545.89686971348251660.297236.76410256410256118.5729541904121970.865271.8923076923076779.948212699801980.172307.0205128205128127.0570014542456690.000342.1487179487179419.01583575123119410-0.018377.2769230769231140.00633675167572110.000412.405128205128222.8113305797882612Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121227.06217948717948577.325443786982251063.6326923076923141.2307692307692328100.2032051282051198.6272189349112430136.77371794871794141.2307692307692340173.3442307692307141.2307692307692359209.9147435897435893.3017751479289960246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692141.2307692307692380319.62628205128203141.23076923076923913356.1967948717948572.0100392.7673076923077141.230769230769231112429.337820512820577.3254437869822512027.06217948717948513.420118343195271263.6326923076923130.5798816568047320100.2032051282051156.0236686390532430136.77371794871794141.2307692307692344173.3442307692307119.9289940828402350209.9147435897435845.37278106508874564246.4852564102564119.92899408284023710283.055769230769287.9763313609467482319.62628205128203130.5798816568047390356.196794871794852.7692307692307736100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.337820512820513.4201183431952712All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2019 Ed 5-7 9th 98.70 0.476 26.64 5-8 11th
1 992 2021 Kevin 5-7 9th 98.61 0.477 24.33 5-9 9th
2 984 2015 Schertz 8-4 2nd 97.00 0.474 23.75 9-4 2nd 2nd place
3 983 2016 Allen 4-8 12th 98.00 0.475 20.44 4-9 13th
4 979 2024 Schertz 5-7 9th 98.37 0.480 21.46 7-7 7th
5 978 2016 Matt 5-7 10th 98.23 0.483 29.27 5-8 10th
6 976 2013 Rob 7-5 5th 97.82 0.484 25.09 8-5 2nd 2nd place
7 973 2019 Kevin 6-6 7th 102.70 0.474 30.16 6-7 8th
8 973 2023 Pat 5-7 10th 98.40 0.480 18.41 5-9 11th
9 971 2012 Allen 6-6 6th 96.84 0.470 21.44 6-7 8th
10 970 2013 Babel 3-9 14th 97.83 0.467 31.60 4-9 13th