2016 Matt (through 12 weeks)

5-7 (0.417), 1,178.72 points

10th place

5.80 expected wins (0.483)

77-79 all-play record (0.494)

+3.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 76.63 119.84 Pulley -43.21
2 W 139.75 75.70 Richie 64.05 Team Blangums
3 L 69.92 135.90 Dave -65.98
4 W 142.08 109.53 Schertz 32.55 Team Blangums
5 W 109.18 71.45 Pat 37.73
6 L 92.83 94.89 Ed -2.06
7 L 129.83 133.02 Babel -3.19
8 L 45.78 86.58 Rabbit -40.80 Slapped Heartbeat
9 W 110.71 99.08 Allen 11.63
10 L 80.47 130.23 Kevin -49.76
11 L 69.74 87.78 Rob -18.04
12 W 111.80 79.34 Derrek 32.46
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.23076923076923426.0%228.3550295857988385.3995021679154950.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.2302992092304800.0%69.77514792899409141.2037390446126310.3%109.42011834319527140.668926539564922.4%149.06508875739644135.98321216118947311.0%188.71005917159763117.4966644114319240.0%228.3550295857988329.568235105061746532.2%268.072.0620.4%307.6449704142011797.441241740723276.5%347.28994082840245127.2617878888220681.1%386.93491124260356138.970146773593490.1%426.5798816568048141.05518705715042100.0%466.2248520710059141.22558480742168110.0%505.8698224852071141.2307692307692312Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th65.13776223776223163.24260355029585211th118.52937062937062230.69822485207139th171.92097902097902185.727810650887647th225.3125874125874140.7573964497041557th278.7041958041958140.7573964497041566th332.09580419580413118.2721893491124178th385.4874125874125163.2426035502958588th438.87902097902094163.2426035502958598th492.27062937062936163.24260355029585108th545.6622377622377163.24260355029585118th599.053846153846163.242603550295851213th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th65.13776223776223140.75739644970415210th118.52937062937062208.213017751479338th171.92097902097902163.2426035502958547th225.3125874125874140.7573964497041557th278.7041958041958140.7573964497041568th332.09580419580413163.24260355029585711th385.4874125874125230.69822485207189th438.87902097902094185.7278106508876910th492.27062937062936208.21301775147931012th545.6622377622377253.183431952662721110th599.053846153846208.21301775147931213th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th65.13776223776223140.75739644970415211th118.52937062937062230.69822485207136th171.92097902097902118.2721893491124147th225.3125874125874140.7573964497041557th278.7041958041958140.7573964497041565th332.0958041958041395.786982248520777th385.4874125874125140.7573964497041588th438.87902097902094163.2426035502958598th492.27062937062936163.24260355029585109th545.6622377622377185.7278106508876118th599.053846153846163.2426035502958512Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Julio Jones K WR
2.05 19 Mark Ingram II RB
3.10 38 Greg Olsen TE
4.05 47 Cam Newton K QB
5.10 66 Giovani Bernard RB
6.05 75 Torrey Smith WR
7.10 94 Tavon Austin WR
8.05 103 Michael Thomas WR
9.10 122 Derrick Henry RB
10.05 131 C.J. Prosise RB
11.10 150 Robert Woods WR
12.05 159 Marcus Mariota QB
13.10 178 Will Tye TE
14.05 187 Will Fuller V WR
15.10 206 Pittsburgh DEF
16.05 215 Chris Boswell K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795140.707162096504110.94961.1230769230769275.2378733059422420.00096.25128205128203140.707162096504130.956131.3794871794871774.7850238925237440.673166.507692307692394.2915123755253950.000201.63589743589745140.707162096504160.000236.76410256410256140.707162096504170.000271.89230769230767140.707162096504180.698307.020512820512892.5933270752060290.000342.14871794871794140.7071620965041100.000377.2769230769231140.7071620965041110.712412.405128205128291.59705836568534120.15325.994871794871795130.1458646829346410.00061.123076923076929.76858451538038320.08796.25128205128203134.7196437584614430.000131.379487179487178.86288568854337240.000166.507692307692347.87586265454666550.391201.63589743589745113.7413946818497160.901236.7641025641025678.588958965239097-0.004271.89230769230767140.9689656636366580.000307.020512820512844.4794920539079590.199342.14871794871794126.99856125967612100.086377.2769230769231134.81021364114514110.000412.405128205128242.48695463486656412Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112027.062179487179485141.2307692307692311363.632692307692372.020100.20320512820511141.23076923076923313136.7737179487179472.048173.344230769230798.6272189349112450209.91474358974358141.2307692307692360246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692141.23076923076923810319.6262820512820387.9763313609467490356.19679487179485141.23076923076923100392.7673076923077141.230769230769231111429.337820512820582.650887573964512127.062179487179485135.905325443786981063.63269230769232.769230769230773621100.20320512820511135.9053254437869830136.773717948717942.769230769230773640173.344230769230756.0236686390532456209.91474358974358109.27810650887574612246.485256410256477.3254437869822570283.0557692307692141.2307692307692380319.6262820512820334.7218934911242591356.19679487179485135.90532544378698101392.7673076923077135.90532544378698110429.337820512820524.07100591715975212All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Matt 5-7 10th 98.23 0.483 29.27 5-8 10th
1 988 2013 Rob 7-5 5th 97.82 0.484 25.09 8-5 2nd 2nd place
2 978 2024 Schertz 5-7 9th 98.37 0.480 21.46 7-7 7th
3 978 2019 Ed 5-7 9th 98.70 0.476 26.64 5-8 11th
4 976 2021 Kevin 5-7 9th 98.61 0.477 24.33 5-9 9th
5 972 2015 Babel 5-7 9th 97.63 0.494 26.99 5-8 10th
6 971 2023 Pat 5-7 10th 98.40 0.480 18.41 5-9 11th
7 968 2014 Mike R. 6-6 7th 97.62 0.490 21.23 6-7 7th
8 966 2020 Rabbit 6-6 10th 100.95 0.488 22.33 6-7 10th
9 966 2015 Schertz 8-4 2nd 97.00 0.474 23.75 9-4 2nd 2nd place
10 965 2019 Babel 7-5 5th 100.25 0.485 17.32 8-5 5th 5th place