2021 Kevin (through 12 weeks)

5-7 (0.417), 1,183.31 points

9th place

5.73 expected wins (0.477)

72-84 all-play record (0.462)

+16.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 102.07 81.96 Matt 20.11
2 L 77.65 167.50 Rabbit -89.85
3 W 139.14 108.74 Mike R. 30.40
4 W 97.37 85.80 Pulley 11.57
5 W 137.65 99.24 Ed 38.41
6 L 123.81 135.25 Babel -11.44
7 W 103.44 100.12 Rob 3.32
8 L 102.26 104.54 Matt -2.28
9 L 73.47 120.87 Derrek -47.40
10 L 64.71 79.95 Scott -15.24
11 L 95.05 109.07 Pat -14.02
12 L 66.69 104.20 Richie -37.51
13 Schertz
14 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.23076923076923425.6%228.3550295857988379.3028482838518650.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.2291164196358300.0%69.77514792899409141.1522048341942410.5%109.42011834319527139.923327914849623.9%149.06508875739644131.87159116112286313.4%188.71005917159763108.779796108810540.0%228.3550295857988317.374927336934505528.6%268.072.0619.0%307.6449704142011795.2777010879968977.3%347.28994082840245123.5775039952151481.5%386.93491124260356137.520800559262590.2%426.5798816568048140.8247604023349100.0%466.2248520710059141.2096051024219110.0%505.8698224852071141.2303576954918512Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th65.13776223776223230.69822485207126th118.52937062937062118.2721893491124137th171.92097902097902140.7573964497041547th225.3125874125874140.7573964497041556th278.7041958041958118.2721893491124166th332.09580419580413118.2721893491124174th385.487412587412573.3017751479289987th438.87902097902094140.7573964497041597th492.27062937062936140.75739644970415108th545.6622377622377163.24260355029585119th599.053846153846185.7278106508876126th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124119th65.13776223776223185.727810650887625th118.5293706293706295.786982248520736th171.92097902097902118.2721893491124145th225.312587412587495.786982248520755th278.704195804195895.786982248520764th332.0958041958041373.3017751479289978th385.4874125874125163.2426035502958588th438.87902097902094163.2426035502958598th492.27062937062936163.24260355029585108th545.6622377622377163.24260355029585119th599.053846153846185.7278106508876128th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th65.13776223776223230.69822485207125th118.5293706293706295.786982248520737th171.92097902097902140.7573964497041547th225.3125874125874140.7573964497041556th278.7041958041958118.2721893491124165th332.0958041958041395.786982248520775th385.487412587412595.786982248520786th438.87902097902094118.2721893491124198th492.27062937062936163.24260355029585109th545.6622377622377185.7278106508876119th599.053846153846185.727810650887612Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
12

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.14 14 Davante Adams K WR
2.01 15 Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB
3.14 42 D.J. Moore WR
4.01 43 Kareem Hunt RB
5.14 70 Logan Thomas TE
6.01 71 Corey Davis WR
7.14 98 Josh Allen K QB
8.01 99 Marvin Jones, Jr. WR
9.14 126 T.Y. Hilton WR
10.01 127 Jonnu Smith TE
11.14 154 Russell Gage WR
12.01 155 Cole Beasley WR
13.14 182 J.D. McKissic RB
14.01 183 Derek Carr QB
15.14 210 Kansas City DEF
16.01 211 Robbie Gould K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.54825.994871794871795103.3190871833353710.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692320.95096.2512820512820375.4767719148874830.468131.37948717948717108.830729185456740.943166.507692307692375.9313403274335650.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.573236.76410256410256101.5917272156602370.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.00025.99487179487179565.4074051359015310.16861.12307692307692129.581777218185620.00096.251282051282039.72277459900573130.000131.3794871794871776.4306891401441740.000166.507692307692310.63191142409789350.860201.6358974358974581.7043591667688860.000236.7641025641025661.95268520055124470.551271.89230769230767103.1145313976896380.120307.0205128205128132.93421926071390.050342.14871794871794137.79810127495617100.433377.2769230769231111.22857756163731110.063412.4051282051282136.866236029236712Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112627.062179487179485109.278106508875741063.6326923076923141.23076923076923212100.2032051282051177.3254437869822535136.77371794871794114.60355029585799411173.344230769230782.650887573964550209.91474358974358141.2307692307692368246.485256410256498.6272189349112470283.0557692307692141.2307692307692380319.62628205128203141.2307692307692390356.19679487179485141.23076923076923100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312027.06217948717948577.325443786982251263.6326923076923130.5798816568047320100.2032051282051113.4201183431952730136.7737179487179487.9763313609467440173.344230769230724.07100591715975259209.9147435897435893.3017751479289960246.485256410256456.0236686390532477283.0557692307692103.9526627218934983319.62628205128203125.2544378698224892356.19679487179485130.57988165680473106392.7673076923077109.27810650887574111429.3378205128205135.9053254437869812All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Kevin 5-7 9th 98.61 0.477 24.33 5-9 9th
1 992 2019 Ed 5-7 9th 98.70 0.476 26.64 5-8 11th
2 987 2024 Schertz 5-7 9th 98.37 0.480 21.46 7-7 7th
3 987 2015 Schertz 8-4 2nd 97.00 0.474 23.75 9-4 2nd 2nd place
4 985 2016 Allen 4-8 12th 98.00 0.475 20.44 4-9 13th
5 981 2023 Pat 5-7 10th 98.40 0.480 18.41 5-9 11th
6 981 2013 Rob 7-5 5th 97.82 0.484 25.09 8-5 2nd 2nd place
7 976 2016 Matt 5-7 10th 98.23 0.483 29.27 5-8 10th
8 973 2012 Allen 6-6 6th 96.84 0.470 21.44 6-7 8th
9 969 2024 Babel 8-4 3rd 98.78 0.467 18.96 9-5 4th
10 968 2022 Rabbit 7-5 4th 96.35 0.466 24.58 8-6 5th 5th place