2012 Pat (through 9 weeks)

3-6 (0.333), 743.11 points

11th place

3.11 expected wins (0.345)

41-76 all-play record (0.350)

-8.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 100.04 119.79 Mike R. -19.75
2 L 108.53 147.72 Allen -39.19
3 L 64.41 71.75 Rob -7.34
4 W 65.51 57.72 Schertz 7.79
5 W 107.02 54.78 Dave 52.24
6 W 105.34 76.03 Richie 29.31
7 L 41.41 97.03 Derrek -55.62 Slapped Heartbeat
8 L 67.19 103.07 Pulley -35.88
9 L 83.66 114.71 Ed -31.05
10 Kevin
11 Matt
12 Babel
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.23076923076923233.3%190.692307692307772.030.0%242.23076923076925141.2307692307692340.0%293.7692307692308141.2307692307692350.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692390.9%36.07692307692308139.376057861505507.1%87.61538461538464126.47221889814826122.0%139.1538461538461695.5176166787628620.0%190.69230769230772.7692307692307736325.5%242.2307692307692588.3058060823124349.4%293.7692307692308121.7680837430646551.6%345.3076923076923137.8441354858921460.1%396.8461538461538140.9429939196794870.0%448.3846153846154141.2195655501073280.0%499.9230769230769141.23062205168069Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958516th85.15961538461536118.2721893491124129th158.5730769230769185.7278106508876311th231.98653846153846230.698224852071410th305.4208.2130177514793511th378.8134615384615230.698224852071612th452.226923076923253.18343195266272712th525.6403846153845253.18343195266272813th599.053846153846275.6686390532544910th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793112th85.15961538461536253.18343195266272213th158.5730769230769275.6686390532544312th231.98653846153846253.1834319526627249th305.4185.727810650887658th378.8134615384615163.24260355029585610th452.226923076923208.2130177514793711th525.6403846153845230.698224852071811th599.053846153846230.69822485207198th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958517th85.15961538461536140.75739644970415210th158.5730769230769208.2130177514793312th231.98653846153846253.18343195266272411th305.4230.698224852071511th378.8134615384615230.698224852071612th452.226923076923253.18343195266272713th525.6403846153845275.6686390532544813th599.053846153846275.66863905325449Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
  • Pick 7.11 - from Rob
  • Pick 8.04 - from Rob
  • Pick 6.14 - to Rob
  • Pick 8.14 - to Rob
9

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1 Ray Rice RB
2.14 28 Reggie Bush RB
3.01 29 Hakeem Nicks WR
4.14 56 Isaac Redman RB
5.01 57 Matt Schaub QB
7.01 85 Sidney Rice WR
7.11 95 Greg Little WR
8.04 102 Anquan Boldin WR
9.01 113 Jay Cutler K QB
10.14 140 Pittsburgh DEF
11.01 141 Dustin Keller K TE
12.14 168 Brandon LaFell WR
13.01 169 Joe McKnight RB
14.14 196 Nate Kaeding K
15.01 197 Dallas Clark TE
16.14 224 Ryan Tannehill QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.00031.84957264957265141.2307692307692310.00078.68717948717948141.2307692307692320.000125.5247863247863141.2307692307692330.085172.36239316239318135.368189591104940.672219.294.7184092991709450.639266.0376068376068697.0026155722150560.000312.8752136752136141.2307692307692370.000359.7128205128205141.2307692307692380.000406.5504273504273141.2307692307692390.54131.84957264957265103.7643207088381110.69478.6871794871794893.1956051171415520.077125.5247863247863135.868214844905630.000172.36239316239318129.5056099514405640.000219.248.2060493675726650.000266.0376068376068652.7744619136608760.025312.8752136752136139.504762145274370.097359.7128205128205134.5499664485219380.279406.5504273504273121.935693000367989Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789033.15726495726496141.230769230769231081.9179487179487141.2307692307692320130.67863247863247141.2307692307692332179.4393162393162130.5798816568047349228.293.3017751479289958276.9606837606837698.6272189349112460325.7213675213675141.2307692307692370374.4820512820512141.2307692307692380423.242735042735141.230769230769239633.15726495726496109.2781065088757411081.917948717948787.9763313609467421130.67863247863247135.9053254437869830179.4393162393162119.9289940828402340228.245.37278106508874550276.9606837606837656.0236686390532460325.7213675213675141.2307692307692371374.4820512820512135.9053254437869884423.242735042735119.928994082840239All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2012 Pat 3-6 11th 82.57 0.345 22.73 5-8 11th
1 990 2012 Schertz 2-7 13th 83.83 0.347 23.80 5-8 9th
2 985 2015 Pat 3-6 12th 84.08 0.343 20.32 6-7 9th
3 978 2011 Pat 3-6 12th 86.91 0.344 23.65 5-8 11th
4 978 2017 Matt 3-6 12th 83.30 0.348 15.70 5-8 11th
5 976 2017 Allen 3-6 13th 83.28 0.346 12.38 5-8 12th
6 975 2013 Derrek 5-4 7th 87.38 0.346 20.69 7-6 7th
7 968 2012 Kevin 3-6 10th 86.07 0.349 17.50 5-8 10th
8 958 2016 Pat 5-4 7th 87.28 0.338 18.20 7-6 7th
9 951 2011 Pulley 4-5 10th 90.27 0.348 16.76 5-8 10th
10 951 2024 Derrek 3-6 12th 88.44 0.336 19.28 4-10 14th