2011 Pat (through 9 weeks)

3-6 (0.333), 782.19 points (86.91 average)

12th place

3.07 expected wins (0.341)

28-71 all-play record (0.283)

+12.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 L 49.67 106.75 Babel -57.08 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 70.39 134.36 Dave -63.97
7 L 48.73 93.93 Ed -45.20 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 90.89 72.51 Matt 18.38
9 L 102.28 107.15 Pulley -4.87
10 Mike R.
11 Kevin
12 Mike R.
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234567890.0%49.53846153846153141.2307692307692300.0%120.30769230769232141.2307692307692310.0%191.07692307692307141.23076923076923232.5%261.846153846153872.030.0%332.6153846153846141.2307692307692340.0%403.38461538461536141.2307692307692350.0%474.15384615384613141.2307692307692360.0%544.9230769230769141.2307692307692370.0%615.6923076923078141.2307692307692380.0%686.4615384615386141.2307692307692390.8%49.53846153846153139.439175159362907.2%120.30769230769232125.83967330916471122.0%191.0769230769230794.3256366932017720.0%261.84615384615382.7692307692307736325.3%332.615384615384687.39438629255173410.2%403.38461538461536119.6049388467993751.8%474.15384615384613137.3256630688460460.1%544.9230769230769141.041399756044170.0%615.6923076923078141.2307692307692380.0%686.4615384615386141.230769230769239Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th85.1596153846153685.5664335664335725th158.5730769230769112.1398601398601637th231.98653846153846165.2867132867133411th305.4271.5804195804196511th378.8134615384615271.5804195804196611th452.226923076923271.5804195804196711th525.6403846153845271.5804195804196812th599.053846153846298.1538461538461393rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th85.1596153846153685.5664335664335723rd158.573076923076958.99300699300701536th231.98653846153846138.71328671328675410th305.4245.006993006993511th378.8134615384615271.5804195804196612th452.226923076923298.15384615384613712th525.6403846153845298.15384615384613812th599.053846153846298.1538461538461393rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th85.1596153846153685.5664335664335725th158.5730769230769112.1398601398601637th231.98653846153846165.2867132867133411th305.4271.5804195804196511th378.8134615384615271.5804195804196612th452.226923076923298.15384615384613712th525.6403846153845298.15384615384613812th599.053846153846298.153846153846139Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
4.10 46 Ray Rice Kx2 RB
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.80546.37948717948718583.0879161586515110.000114.58461538461539137.204254978964620.351182.78974358974358113.6043308459644130.000250.99487179487176137.204254978964640.000319.20000000000005137.204254978964650.000387.4051282051282137.204254978964660.000455.61025641025645137.204254978964670.311523.8153846153846116.3131642652680780.000592.0205128205127137.204254978964690.00046.37948717948718528.9715773383384210.562114.5846153846153999.441840728208420.000182.7897435897435890.0044067129642330.516250.99487179487176102.550773651550264-0.027319.20000000000005139.004476151467750.068387.4051282051282132.613017128146456-0.030455.61025641025645139.217512104866970.000523.815384615384695.4220735515715480.512592.0205128205127102.79896399563629Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789947.68717948717948584.5874125874125910117.8153846153846141.2307692307692323187.9435897435897122.3496503496503530258.07179487179485141.2307692307692340328.2141.2307692307692350398.32820512820507141.2307692307692360468.45641025641015141.2307692307692374538.5846153846154116.0559440559440580608.7128205128206141.230769230769239047.68717948717948527.94405594405594713117.8153846153846122.3496503496503520187.9435897435897103.4685314685314734258.07179487179485116.0559440559440540328.2141.2307692307692351398.32820512820507134.9370629370629360468.45641025641015141.2307692307692370538.584615384615490.881118881118984608.7128205128206116.055944055944059All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 3-6 12th 86.91 0.341 23.65 5-8 11th
1 984 2016 Pat 5-4 7th 87.28 0.339 18.20 7-6 7th
2 979 2024 Derrek 3-6 12th 88.44 0.338 19.28 4-10 14th
3 977 2012 Schertz 2-7 13th 83.83 0.346 23.80 5-8 9th
4 974 2013 Derrek 5-4 7th 87.38 0.350 20.69 7-6 7th
5 972 2012 Pat 3-6 11th 82.57 0.345 22.73 5-8 11th
6 972 2025 Matt 2-7 14th 87.07 0.333 17.62 4-10 11th
7 968 2022 Pat 4-5 12th 87.01 0.334 15.30 8-6 6th 6th place
8 968 2016 Derrek 2-7 14th 88.01 0.334 16.87 3-10 14th
9 964 2015 Pat 3-6 12th 84.08 0.350 20.32 6-7 9th
10 963 2012 Kevin 3-6 10th 86.07 0.351 17.50 5-8 10th