2011 Pat (through 9 weeks)

3-6 (0.333), 782.19 points (86.91 average)

12th place

3.07 expected wins (0.341)

28-71 all-play record (0.283)

+12.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 L 49.67 106.75 Babel -57.08 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 70.39 134.36 Dave -63.97
7 L 48.73 93.93 Ed -45.20 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 90.89 72.51 Matt 18.38
9 L 102.28 107.15 Pulley -4.87
10 Mike R.
11 Kevin
12 Mike R.
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234567890.0%49.53846153846153141.2307692307692300.0%120.30769230769232141.2307692307692310.0%191.07692307692307141.23076923076923232.5%261.846153846153872.030.0%332.6153846153846141.2307692307692340.0%403.38461538461536141.2307692307692350.0%474.15384615384613141.2307692307692360.0%544.9230769230769141.2307692307692370.0%615.6923076923078141.2307692307692380.0%686.4615384615386141.2307692307692390.8%49.53846153846153139.439178187014907.2%120.30769230769232125.83968054480425122.0%191.0769230769230794.3256403304214420.0%261.84615384615382.7692307692307736325.3%332.615384615384687.3943913929948410.2%403.38461538461536119.6049465968449751.8%474.15384615384613137.325667015130760.1%544.9230769230769141.0414004627769570.0%615.6923076923078141.2307692307692380.0%686.4615384615386141.230769230769239Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th85.1596153846153685.5664335664335725th158.5730769230769112.1398601398601637th231.98653846153846165.2867132867133411th305.4271.5804195804196511th378.8134615384615271.5804195804196611th452.226923076923271.5804195804196711th525.6403846153845271.5804195804196812th599.053846153846298.1538461538461393rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th85.1596153846153685.5664335664335723rd158.573076923076958.99300699300701536th231.98653846153846138.71328671328675410th305.4245.006993006993511th378.8134615384615271.5804195804196612th452.226923076923298.15384615384613712th525.6403846153845298.15384615384613812th599.053846153846298.1538461538461393rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th85.1596153846153685.5664335664335725th158.5730769230769112.1398601398601637th231.98653846153846165.2867132867133411th305.4271.5804195804196511th378.8134615384615271.5804195804196612th452.226923076923298.15384615384613712th525.6403846153845298.15384615384613812th599.053846153846298.153846153846139Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
4.10 46 Ray Rice K RB
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.80546.37948717948718583.0878863937370210.000114.58461538461539137.2042560776577620.351182.78974358974358113.604334009373430.000250.99487179487176137.2042560776577640.000319.20000000000005137.2042560776577650.000387.4051282051282137.2042560776577660.000455.61025641025645137.2042560776577670.311523.8153846153846116.3131572568697380.000592.0205128205127137.2042560776577690.00046.37948717948718528.9715167098162710.562114.5846153846153999.4418459481805320.000182.7897435897435890.0044119410890530.516250.99487179487176102.550780951467234-0.027319.20000000000005139.0044747809141450.068387.4051282051282132.61303597131786-0.030455.61025641025645139.217512654213570.000523.815384615384695.422058436081780.512592.0205128205127102.798973532268019Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789947.68717948717948584.5874125874125910117.8153846153846141.2307692307692323187.9435897435897122.3496503496503530258.07179487179485141.2307692307692340328.2141.2307692307692350398.32820512820507141.2307692307692360468.45641025641015141.2307692307692374538.5846153846154116.0559440559440580608.7128205128206141.230769230769239047.68717948717948527.94405594405594713117.8153846153846122.3496503496503520187.9435897435897103.4685314685314734258.07179487179485116.0559440559440540328.2141.2307692307692351398.32820512820507134.9370629370629360468.45641025641015141.2307692307692370538.584615384615490.881118881118984608.7128205128206116.055944055944059All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 3-6 12th 86.91 0.341 23.65 5-8 11th
1 984 2016 Pat 5-4 7th 87.28 0.339 18.20 7-6 7th
2 979 2024 Derrek 3-6 12th 88.44 0.338 19.28 4-10 14th
3 977 2012 Schertz 2-7 13th 83.83 0.346 23.80 5-8 9th
4 974 2013 Derrek 5-4 7th 87.38 0.350 20.69 7-6 7th
5 972 2012 Pat 3-6 11th 82.57 0.345 22.73 5-8 11th
6 970 2025 Matt 2-7 14th 87.07 0.332 17.62
7 968 2016 Derrek 2-7 14th 88.01 0.334 16.87 3-10 14th
8 968 2022 Pat 4-5 12th 87.01 0.333 15.30 8-6 6th 6th place
9 964 2015 Pat 3-6 12th 84.08 0.350 20.32 6-7 9th
10 963 2012 Kevin 3-6 10th 86.07 0.351 17.50 5-8 10th