2011 Pat (through 9 weeks)

3-6 (0.333), 782.19 points

12th place

3.10 expected wins (0.344)

28-71 all-play record (0.283)

+12.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 L 49.67 106.75 Babel -57.08 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 70.39 134.36 Dave -63.97
7 L 48.73 93.93 Ed -45.20 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 90.89 72.51 Matt 18.38
9 L 102.28 107.15 Pulley -4.87
10 Mike R.
11 Kevin
12 Mike R.
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.23076923076923232.2%190.692307692307771.9999999999999930.0%242.23076923076925141.2307692307692340.0%293.7692307692308141.2307692307692350.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692390.8%36.07692307692308139.4441137452478207.0%87.61538461538464126.26058197219412121.4%139.1538461538461695.3021887662085920.0%190.69230769230772.769230769230745325.8%242.2307692307692585.78091628409396410.7%293.7692307692308118.1971939857747952.0%345.3076923076923136.9631517342966260.1%396.8461538461538141.0345953166947870.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.230769230769239Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th85.1596153846153685.5664335664335724th158.573076923076985.5664335664335737th231.98653846153846165.2867132867133411th305.4271.5804195804196511th378.8134615384615271.5804195804196611th452.226923076923271.5804195804196711th525.6403846153845271.5804195804196812th599.053846153846298.1538461538461393rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th85.1596153846153685.5664335664335723rd158.573076923076958.99300699300701536th231.98653846153846138.71328671328675410th305.4245.006993006993511th378.8134615384615271.5804195804196612th452.226923076923298.15384615384613712th525.6403846153845298.15384615384613812th599.053846153846298.1538461538461393rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th85.1596153846153685.5664335664335725th158.5730769230769112.1398601398601637th231.98653846153846165.2867132867133411th305.4271.5804195804196511th378.8134615384615271.5804195804196612th452.226923076923298.15384615384613712th525.6403846153845298.15384615384613812th599.053846153846298.153846153846139Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
4.10 46 Ray Rice K RB
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.79031.8495726495726584.0394413798289910.00078.68717948717948137.0994082159673220.374125.5247863247863111.977119453534730.000172.36239316239318137.0994082159673240.000219.2137.0994082159673250.000266.03760683760686137.0994082159673260.000312.8752136752136137.0994082159673270.326359.7128205128205115.2185075173348180.000406.5504273504273137.0994082159673290.00031.8495726495726530.97947454369065710.56678.6871794871794899.077717975146520.000125.524786324786386.8548306911020830.521172.36239316239318102.131678837978574-0.030219.2139.0989379465560250.062266.03760683760686132.935890573548336-0.031312.8752136752136139.1650887233682970.000359.712820512820593.3376068187023180.519406.5504273504273102.230905003196959Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789933.1572649572649684.587412587412591081.9179487179487141.2307692307692323130.67863247863247122.3496503496503530179.4393162393162141.2307692307692340228.2141.2307692307692350276.96068376068376141.2307692307692360325.7213675213675141.2307692307692374374.4820512820512116.0559440559440580423.242735042735141.230769230769239033.1572649572649627.9440559440559471381.9179487179487122.3496503496503520130.67863247863247103.4685314685314734179.4393162393162116.0559440559440540228.2141.2307692307692351276.96068376068376134.9370629370629360325.7213675213675141.2307692307692370374.482051282051290.881118881118984423.242735042735116.055944055944059All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 3-6 12th 86.91 0.344 23.65 5-8 11th
1 988 2013 Derrek 5-4 7th 87.38 0.346 20.69 7-6 7th
2 982 2012 Schertz 2-7 13th 83.83 0.347 23.80 5-8 9th
3 981 2015 Pat 3-6 12th 84.08 0.343 20.32 6-7 9th
4 978 2012 Pat 3-6 11th 82.57 0.345 22.73 5-8 11th
5 976 2016 Pat 5-4 7th 87.28 0.338 18.20 7-6 7th
6 974 2012 Kevin 3-6 10th 86.07 0.349 17.50 5-8 10th
7 969 2024 Derrek 3-6 12th 88.44 0.336 19.28 4-10 14th
8 966 2022 Pat 4-5 12th 87.01 0.335 15.30 8-6 6th 6th place
9 964 2011 Pulley 4-5 10th 90.27 0.348 16.76 5-8 10th
10 964 2014 Allen 4-5 10th 87.73 0.354 16.62 6-7 10th