2014 Pat (through 12 weeks)

5-7 (0.417), 1,111.04 points

9th place

5.28 expected wins (0.440)

72-84 all-play record (0.462)

+6.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.15 62.19 Mike R. 40.96
2 W 107.21 100.70 Richie 6.51
3 L 84.31 147.33 Pulley -63.02
4 L 97.37 124.36 Derrek -26.99
5 W 78.58 72.85 Kevin 5.73
6 L 66.61 111.37 Matt -44.76
7 L 81.67 111.64 Rob -29.97
8 L 118.22 151.00 Babel -32.78
9 L 51.98 93.61 Ed -41.63 Slapped Heartbeat
10 W 110.01 82.61 Schertz 27.40
11 L 103.77 106.37 Dave -2.60
12 W 108.16 69.67 Allen 38.49
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.23076923076923426.3%228.3550295857988372.050.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.1698547709485800.4%69.77514792899409140.2898092989188412.3%109.42011834319527135.1151646413371228.4%149.06508875739644119.16442082413329318.6%188.7100591715976392.3470050683880340.0%228.355029585798832.7692307692307736524.0%268.078.01443618171736613.9%307.64497041420117104.5313713036823275.0%347.28994082840245128.128196361541381.0%386.93491124260356138.5045667372231790.1%426.5798816568048140.9313994563274100.0%466.2248520710059141.21673720451278110.0%505.8698224852071141.2305971255901212Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th65.1377622377622395.786982248520726th118.52937062937062118.2721893491124138th171.92097902097902163.2426035502958549th225.3125874125874185.7278106508876512th278.7041958041958253.18343195266272612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272710th385.4874125874125208.2130177514793813th438.87902097902094275.6686390532544910th492.27062937062936208.2130177514793109th545.6622377622377185.7278106508876119th599.053846153846185.7278106508876126th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd65.1377622377622350.81656804733728425th118.5293706293706295.786982248520738th171.92097902097902163.2426035502958546th225.3125874125874118.2721893491124158th278.7041958041958163.24260355029585610th332.09580419580413208.2130177514793710th385.4874125874125208.2130177514793812th438.87902097902094253.18343195266272910th492.27062937062936208.21301775147931012th545.6622377622377253.18343195266272119th599.053846153846185.7278106508876127th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th65.1377622377622395.786982248520726th118.52937062937062118.2721893491124138th171.92097902097902163.2426035502958549th225.3125874125874185.7278106508876512th278.7041958041958253.18343195266272611th332.09580419580413230.69822485207179th385.4874125874125185.7278106508876813th438.87902097902094275.6686390532544911th492.27062937062936230.698224852071109th545.6622377622377185.7278106508876119th599.053846153846185.727810650887612Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Calvin Johnson WR
2.11 25 Drew Brees K QB
3.04 32 Eddie Lacy K RB
4.11 53 Stevan Ridley RB
5.04 60 Reggie Wayne WR
6.11 81 Khiry Robinson RB
7.04 88 Cecil Shorts III WR
8.11 109 Delanie Walker TE
9.04 116 Chris Ivory RB
10.11 137 Donald Brown RB
11.04 144 James Starks RB
12.11 165 James Jones WR
13.04 172 Kansas City DEF
14.11 193 Nick Novak K
15.04 200 Stevie Johnson WR
16.11 221 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.57825.994871794871795101.2428189013875210.65861.1230769230769295.6629916373842820.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.000131.37948717948717141.2307692307692340.192166.5076923076923127.9373489281565550.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.702342.1487179487179492.60601906301184100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.670412.405128205128294.87886112574228120.00025.99487179487179561.25486857200580510.00061.1230769230769250.09521404399933420.27296.25128205128203122.3916142950942730.480131.37948717948717108.0158882483242340.000166.5076923076923114.6439286255438650.073201.63589743589745136.1423087746134460.229236.76410256410256125.3804016075847970.815271.8923076923076784.8215349981600880.018307.0205128205128139.9834118606278890.000342.1487179487179443.981268895254445100.590377.2769230769231100.3677747072363110.000412.405128205128248.52695302071532512Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112727.062179487179485103.9526627218934911163.632692307692382.650887573964520100.20320512820511141.2307692307692330136.77371794871794141.2307692307692343173.3442307692307125.2544378698224850209.91474358974358141.2307692307692360246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692141.2307692307692380319.62628205128203141.23076923076923910356.1967948717948587.97633136094674100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923118429.337820512820598.6272189349112412027.06217948717948566.674556213017751063.632692307692324.07100591715975224100.20320512820511119.9289940828402333136.77371794871794125.2544378698224840173.3442307692307109.2781065088757451209.91474358974358135.9053254437869866246.4852564102564109.2781065088757479283.055769230769293.3017751479289980319.62628205128203141.2307692307692390356.1967948717948534.721893491124251010392.767307692307787.97633136094674110429.337820512820556.0236686390532412All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Pat 5-7 9th 92.59 0.440 19.11 5-8 11th
1 986 2010 Mike R. 4-8 10th 90.99 0.438 20.93 4-9 11th
2 982 2017 Schertz 5-7 9th 90.90 0.445 19.19 5-8 10th
3 981 2019 Scott 4-8 12th 94.23 0.436 21.73 4-9 14th
4 975 2021 Mike R. 3-9 10th 94.15 0.432 21.12 4-10 11th
5 975 2010 Matt 4-8 9th 96.18 0.437 22.19 5-8 9th
6 973 2009 Pat 6-6 7th 97.48 0.440 22.48 6-7 8th
7 970 2008 Allen 8-4 4th 89.64 0.442 12.66 8-5 4th 5th place
8 970 2014 Kevin 3-9 14th 91.95 0.431 23.80 4-9 14th
9 969 2009 Dave 5-7 10th 95.35 0.445 14.10 5-8 11th
10 967 2023 Schertz 5-7 11th 97.51 0.445 21.01 6-8 9th