2009 Dave (through 12 weeks)

5-7 (0.417), 1,144.24 points

10th place

5.34 expected wins (0.445)

55-77 all-play record (0.417)

+7.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 68.30 111.69 Rabbit -43.39 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 91.68 84.13 Kevin 7.55
3 W 95.08 42.13 Pulley 52.95
4 W 91.72 87.73 Pat 3.99
5 L 93.77 115.14 Mike R. -21.37
6 W 96.50 96.12 Derrek 0.38
7 L 83.04 100.36 Babel -17.32
8 W 121.28 77.40 Rob 43.88 Team Blangums
9 L 111.26 121.30 Ed -10.04
10 L 110.58 128.82 Allen -18.24
11 L 78.92 135.06 Matt -56.14
12 L 102.11 105.95 Rabbit -3.84
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.23076923076923424.9%228.3550295857988371.9999999999999950.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.1569497832210800.4%69.77514792899409140.1060466004788612.5%109.42011834319527134.2221349932900728.6%149.06508875739644117.28625952786705318.1%188.7100591715976390.8473005334019240.0%228.355029585798832.769230769230745523.0%268.077.27654473742341614.4%307.64497041420117101.1644348639762576.1%347.28994082840245124.3732112218195381.7%386.93491124260356136.6148874643665790.3%426.5798816568048140.4594330656907100.0%466.2248520710059141.16165369004347110.0%505.8698224852071141.228363739261112Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th65.13776223776223271.5804195804196211th118.52937062937062271.5804195804196311th171.92097902097902271.5804195804196411th225.3125874125874271.5804195804196511th278.7041958041958271.5804195804196611th332.09580419580413271.5804195804196710th385.4874125874125245.006993006993810th438.87902097902094245.006993006993910th492.27062937062936245.0069930069931010th545.6622377622377245.0069930069931110th599.053846153846245.0069930069931212th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th65.13776223776223245.00699300699326th118.52937062937062138.7132867132867534th171.9209790209790285.5664335664335746th225.3125874125874138.7132867132867553rd278.704195804195858.99300699300701565th332.09580419580413112.1398601398601674th385.487412587412585.5664335664335786th438.87902097902094138.7132867132867598th492.27062937062936191.86013986013991010th545.6622377622377245.0069930069931110th599.053846153846245.0069930069931212th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th65.13776223776223271.5804195804196211th118.52937062937062271.5804195804196311th171.92097902097902271.5804195804196411th225.3125874125874271.5804195804196511th278.7041958041958271.5804195804196610th332.09580419580413245.006993006993710th385.4874125874125245.006993006993810th438.87902097902094245.006993006993910th492.27062937062936245.0069930069931011th545.6622377622377271.58041958041961111th599.053846153846271.580419580419612Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Larry Fitzgerald WR
2.11 23 Dwayne Bowe WR
3.02 26 Julius Jones RB
4.11 47 Greg Olsen TE
5.02 50 Lee Evans WR
6.11 71 Felix Jones RB
7.02 74 Donald Driver WR
8.11 95 Tim Hightower RB
9.02 98 Matt Forte K RB
10.11 119 Philip Rivers K QB
11.02 122 Chicago DEF
12.11 143 Michael Crabtree WR
13.02 146 Chester Taylor RB
14.11 167 Joey Galloway WR
15.02 170 Adam Vinatieri K
16.11 191 Brandon Jackson RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.37161.12307692307692115.5707769331784520.43496.25128205128203111.1955559624223530.372131.37948717948717115.4457706197282640.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.456201.63589743589745109.6500233597656460.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.839271.8923076923076783.17141332895680.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.07725.994871794871795135.8786207636749210.00061.1230769230769289.9107846355876620.00096.2512820512820381.1603426940754730.000131.3794871794871789.660772008687340.410166.5076923076923112.8320022475882650.000201.6358974358974578.0692774887620560.240236.76410256410256124.6280525531592570.000271.8923076923076725.11205742714278780.708307.020512820512892.2286889489368290.697342.1487179487179493.00145525026517100.184377.2769230769231128.5146124804283110.548412.4051282051282103.2860655841204112Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231463.6326923076923116.0559440559440524100.20320512820511116.0559440559440535136.77371794871794109.7622377622377640173.3442307692307141.2307692307692353209.91474358974358122.3496503496503560246.4852564102564141.23076923076923711283.055769230769272.080319.62628205128203141.2307692307692390356.19679487179485141.23076923076923100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312027.062179487179485141.230769230769231063.632692307692390.881118881118920100.2032051282051190.881118881118930136.7737179487179478.2937062937063144173.3442307692307116.0559440559440550209.91474358974358103.4685314685314763246.4852564102564122.3496503496503570283.05576923076922.769230769230773687319.6262820512820397.1748251748251797356.1967948717948597.17482517482517101392.7673076923077134.93706293706293116429.3378205128205103.4685314685314712All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Dave 5-7 10th 95.35 0.445 14.10 5-8 11th
1 995 2021 Pat 2-10 13th 95.64 0.446 13.85 3-11 12th
2 977 2023 Schertz 5-7 11th 97.51 0.445 21.01 6-8 9th
3 973 2019 Pat 5-7 10th 97.95 0.452 15.32 6-7 9th
4 970 2017 Schertz 5-7 9th 90.90 0.445 19.19 5-8 10th
5 970 2008 Allen 8-4 4th 89.64 0.442 12.66 8-5 4th 5th place
6 969 2014 Pat 5-7 9th 92.59 0.440 19.11 5-8 11th
7 967 2016 Babel 6-6 9th 96.67 0.455 17.79 7-6 6th 6th place
8 966 2010 Matt 4-8 9th 96.18 0.437 22.19 5-8 9th
9 966 2009 Pat 6-6 7th 97.48 0.440 22.48 6-7 8th
10 965 2012 Babel 5-7 8th 93.42 0.456 15.77 6-7 6th 2nd place