2009 Dave (through 12 weeks)

5-7 (0.417), 1,144.24 points (95.35 average)

10th place

5.30 expected wins (0.441)

55-77 all-play record (0.417)

+8.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 68.30 111.69 Rabbit -43.39 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 91.68 84.13 Kevin 7.55
3 W 95.08 42.13 Pulley 52.95
4 W 91.72 87.73 Pat 3.99
5 L 93.77 115.14 Mike R. -21.37
6 W 96.50 96.12 Derrek 0.38
7 L 83.04 100.36 Babel -17.32
8 W 121.28 77.40 Rob 43.88 Team Blangums
9 L 111.26 121.30 Ed -10.04
10 L 110.58 128.82 Allen -18.24
11 L 78.92 135.06 Matt -56.14
12 L 102.11 105.95 Rabbit -3.84
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.23076923076923425.5%228.3550295857988372.050.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.1707884192472300.4%69.77514792899409140.223938398412.5%109.42011834319527134.5551426878237528.7%149.06508875739644117.57682302445318.6%188.7100591715976390.6975107726656440.0%228.355029585798832.7692307692307736523.1%268.078.48974853014319614.0%307.64497041420117103.26591776187875.6%347.28994082840245126.0547178240830881.4%386.93491124260356137.3580874755173890.2%426.5798816568048140.64234431085055100.0%466.2248520710059141.18443346207016110.0%505.8698224852071141.2294278190083812Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th65.13776223776223271.5804195804196211th118.52937062937062271.5804195804196311th171.92097902097902271.5804195804196411th225.3125874125874271.5804195804196511th278.7041958041958271.5804195804196611th332.09580419580413271.5804195804196710th385.4874125874125245.00699300699389th438.87902097902094218.43356643356645910th492.27062937062936245.0069930069931010th545.6622377622377245.0069930069931110th599.053846153846245.0069930069931212th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th65.13776223776223245.00699300699326th118.52937062937062138.7132867132867534th171.9209790209790285.5664335664335746th225.3125874125874138.7132867132867553rd278.704195804195858.99300699300701565th332.09580419580413112.1398601398601674th385.487412587412585.5664335664335786th438.87902097902094138.7132867132867598th492.27062937062936191.86013986013991010th545.6622377622377245.0069930069931110th599.053846153846245.0069930069931212th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th65.13776223776223271.5804195804196211th118.52937062937062271.5804195804196311th171.92097902097902271.5804195804196411th225.3125874125874271.5804195804196511th278.7041958041958271.5804195804196610th332.09580419580413245.006993006993710th385.4874125874125245.006993006993810th438.87902097902094245.006993006993910th492.27062937062936245.0069930069931011th545.6622377622377271.58041958041961111th599.053846153846271.580419580419612Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Larry Fitzgerald WR
2.11 23 Dwayne Bowe WR
3.02 26 Julius Jones RB
4.11 47 Greg Olsen TE
5.02 50 Lee Evans WR
6.11 71 Felix Jones RB
7.02 74 Donald Driver WR
8.11 95 Tim Hightower RB
9.02 98 Matt Forte K RB
10.11 119 Philip Rivers K QB
11.02 122 Chicago DEF
12.11 143 Michael Crabtree WR
13.02 146 Chester Taylor RB
14.11 167 Joey Galloway WR
15.02 170 Adam Vinatieri K
16.11 191 Brandon Jackson RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.36061.12307692307692116.2802649228829620.42796.25128205128203111.6564044377359330.364131.37948717948717116.0454165465780240.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.457201.63589743589745109.5963577908494560.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.866271.8923076923076781.27927796598980.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.05825.994871794871795137.1857241621552810.00061.1230769230769291.329760614996720.00096.2512820512820382.0820396447026330.000131.3794871794871790.8600638623868440.397166.5076923076923113.7599423140865250.000201.6358974358974577.9619463509296760.218236.76410256410256126.1719299742242770.000271.8923076923076721.3277867012087880.728307.020512820512890.8082905318981490.714342.1487179487179491.7919692133095100.153377.2769230769231130.62199072506223110.555412.4051282051282102.8376171833694712Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231463.6326923076923116.0559440559440524100.20320512820511116.0559440559440535136.77371794871794109.7622377622377640173.3442307692307141.2307692307692353209.91474358974358122.3496503496503560246.4852564102564141.23076923076923711283.055769230769272.080319.62628205128203141.2307692307692390356.19679487179485141.23076923076923100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312027.062179487179485141.230769230769231063.632692307692390.881118881118920100.2032051282051190.881118881118930136.7737179487179478.2937062937063144173.3442307692307116.0559440559440550209.91474358974358103.4685314685314763246.4852564102564122.3496503496503570283.05576923076922.769230769230773687319.6262820512820397.1748251748251797356.1967948717948597.17482517482517101392.7673076923077134.93706293706293116429.3378205128205103.4685314685314712All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Dave 5-7 10th 95.35 0.441 14.10 5-8 11th
1 987 2021 Pat 2-10 13th 95.64 0.447 13.85 3-11 12th
2 976 2014 Pat 5-7 9th 92.59 0.443 19.11 5-8 11th
3 972 2019 Pat 5-7 10th 97.95 0.449 15.32 6-7 9th
4 969 2019 Scott 4-8 12th 94.23 0.436 21.73 4-9 14th
5 967 2017 Schertz 5-7 9th 90.90 0.444 19.19 5-8 10th
6 966 2008 Allen 8-4 4th 89.64 0.437 12.66 8-5 4th 5th place
7 964 2010 Mike R. 4-8 10th 90.99 0.439 20.93 4-9 11th
8 963 2023 Schertz 5-7 11th 97.51 0.449 21.01 6-8 9th
9 963 2021 Mike R. 3-9 10th 94.15 0.432 21.12 4-10 11th
10 961 2011 Dave 3-9 12th 96.66 0.450 22.89 3-10 12th