2010 Mike R. (through 12 weeks)

4-8 (0.333), 1,091.90 points

10th place

5.25 expected wins (0.438)

57-75 all-play record (0.432)

+10.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 93.36 64.30 Allen 29.06
2 W 116.19 115.08 Babel 1.11
3 L 79.79 84.16 Pulley -4.37
4 W 102.77 50.11 Pat 52.66
5 L 106.65 138.35 Dave -31.70
6 L 69.62 104.37 Derrek -34.75 Slapped Heartbeat
7 W 94.54 93.55 Matt 0.99
8 L 64.25 143.13 Rabbit -78.88
9 L 83.07 95.16 Rob -12.09
10 L 124.36 125.13 Ed -0.77
11 L 51.81 81.85 Kevin -30.04 Slapped Heartbeat
12 L 105.49 110.75 Babel -5.26
13 Matt

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.23076923076923319.2%188.7100591715976392.6462826823395740.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.200524462694900.3%69.77514792899409140.591769535807212.0%109.42011834319527136.1281451335519328.2%149.06508875739644120.4764011504095630.0%188.7100591715976344.06179613390992427.4%228.3550295857988371.99999999999999524.2%268.079.89795101099224613.3%307.64497041420117107.5124260477766474.5%347.28994082840245129.96786636351680.9%386.93491124260356139.0351631837412590.1%426.5798816568048140.99754681158117100.0%466.2248520710059141.2187599872736110.0%505.8698224852071141.2305450353903812Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867513rd65.1377622377622358.99300699300701526th118.52937062937062138.7132867132867536th171.92097902097902138.7132867132867544th225.312587412587485.5664335664335756th278.7041958041958138.7132867132867567th332.09580419580413165.286713286713378th385.4874125874125191.860139860139988th438.87902097902094191.860139860139997th492.27062937062936165.2867132867133109th545.6622377622377218.43356643356645118th599.053846153846191.8601398601399125th11.746153846153845112.1398601398601612nd65.1377622377622332.4195804195804325th118.52937062937062112.1398601398601634th171.9209790209790285.5664335664335745th225.3125874125874112.1398601398601656th278.7041958041958138.7132867132867566th332.09580419580413138.7132867132867577th385.4874125874125165.286713286713387th438.87902097902094165.286713286713397th492.27062937062936165.28671328671331010th545.6622377622377245.0069930069931110th599.053846153846245.006993006993126th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867514th65.1377622377622385.5664335664335726th118.52937062937062138.7132867132867537th171.92097902097902165.286713286713345th225.3125874125874112.1398601398601657th278.7041958041958165.286713286713367th332.09580419580413165.286713286713378th385.4874125874125191.860139860139988th438.87902097902094191.860139860139998th492.27062937062936191.8601398601399109th545.6622377622377218.43356643356645119th599.053846153846218.4335664335664512Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
9

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Steven Jackson RB
2.08 20 Knowshon Moreno RB
3.05 29 Michael Crabtree WR
4.08 44 Hakeem Nicks WR
5.05 53 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
6.08 68 Fred Jackson RB
7.05 77 Matt Schaub K QB
8.08 92 Malcom Floyd WR
9.05 101 Miles Austin K WR
10.08 116 John Carlson TE
11.05 125 Kyle Orton QB
12.08 140 Eddie Royal WR
13.05 149 Minnesota DEF
14.08 164 Lawrence Tynes K
15.05 173 Antonio Bryant WR
16.08 188 Marcedes Lewis TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.43625.994871794871795111.0788360523258710.81761.1230769230769284.6456828627708520.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.593131.37948717948717100.1691941512197640.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.458236.76410256410256109.4992108187282270.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.00025.99487179487179580.9269028738825310.00061.1230769230769228.0605964947724720.22896.25128205128203125.4659263094095730.000131.3794871794871759.10761907167028540.665166.507692307692395.1689416132127850.119201.63589743589745132.9663051164200260.000236.7641025641025677.767652406687270.080271.89230769230767135.7164440123238580.274307.0205128205128122.2384905803323490.898342.1487179487179479.04312717814031100.040377.2769230769231138.46658290822768110.646412.405128205128296.5212826405374112Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101112627.062179487179485103.468531468531471963.632692307692384.5874125874125920100.20320512820511141.2307692307692339136.7737179487179484.5874125874125940173.3442307692307141.2307692307692350209.91474358974358141.2307692307692364246.4852564102564116.0559440559440570283.0557692307692141.2307692307692380319.62628205128203141.2307692307692390356.19679487179485141.23076923076923100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312027.06217948717948565.706293706293721063.632692307692327.94405594405594721100.20320512820511134.9370629370629330136.7737179487179427.94405594405594748173.344230769230790.8811188811188850209.91474358974358141.2307692307692360246.485256410256490.881118881118973283.0557692307692122.3496503496503582319.62628205128203128.6433566433566499356.1967948717948584.58741258741259100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923116429.3378205128205103.4685314685314712All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2010 Mike R. 4-8 10th 90.99 0.438 20.93 4-9 11th
1 986 2014 Pat 5-7 9th 92.59 0.440 19.11 5-8 11th
2 982 2019 Scott 4-8 12th 94.23 0.436 21.73 4-9 14th
3 981 2017 Schertz 5-7 9th 90.90 0.445 19.19 5-8 10th
4 976 2021 Mike R. 3-9 10th 94.15 0.432 21.12 4-10 11th
5 976 2014 Kevin 3-9 14th 91.95 0.431 23.80 4-9 14th
6 976 2010 Matt 4-8 9th 96.18 0.437 22.19 5-8 9th
7 969 2008 Allen 8-4 4th 89.64 0.442 12.66 8-5 4th 5th place
8 966 2009 Pat 6-6 7th 97.48 0.440 22.48 6-7 8th
9 965 2013 Schertz 6-6 8th 90.57 0.452 22.87 6-7 9th
10 965 2008 Mike R. 4-8 10th 89.74 0.451 18.89 5-8 8th