2021 Pat (through 12 weeks)

2-10 (0.167), 1,147.70 points

13th place

5.36 expected wins (0.446)

65-91 all-play record (0.417)

+26.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 111.39 108.98 Mike R. 2.41
2 L 70.04 103.20 Dave -33.16 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 90.18 107.27 Rabbit -17.09
4 L 122.50 133.41 Mike R. -10.91
5 L 107.40 108.34 Pulley -0.94
6 L 91.28 125.74 Ed -34.46
7 L 84.72 106.59 Babel -21.87
8 L 82.78 97.21 Rob -14.43
9 L 91.70 101.27 Matt -9.57
10 L 93.35 106.84 Derrek -13.49
11 W 109.07 95.05 Kevin 14.02
12 L 93.29 100.50 Scott -7.21
13 Richie
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692312.4%109.42011834319527134.462513661545820.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.1634506222669600.4%69.77514792899409140.170167489482710.0%109.42011834319527127.6942580923224328.5%149.06508875739644117.70366670727265318.0%188.7100591715976391.1590431353456424.9%228.3550295857988372.0523.1%268.077.02939742478169614.5%307.64497041420117100.7797521064341676.2%347.28994082840245123.9971939238089281.7%386.93491124260356136.3932180309577790.3%426.5798816568048140.38672054939605100.0%466.2248520710059141.14985035450832110.0%505.8698224852071141.2276628729560712Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th65.13776223776223208.2130177514793211th118.52937062937062230.69822485207138th171.92097902097902163.2426035502958549th225.3125874125874185.7278106508876511th278.7041958041958230.698224852071612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272711th385.4874125874125230.698224852071811th438.87902097902094230.698224852071911th492.27062937062936230.6982248520711010th545.6622377622377208.21301775147931110th599.053846153846208.2130177514793124th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289918th65.13776223776223163.24260355029585210th118.52937062937062208.2130177514793310th171.92097902097902208.2130177514793410th225.3125874125874208.2130177514793512th278.7041958041958253.18343195266272612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272713th385.4874125874125275.6686390532544813th438.87902097902094275.6686390532544914th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131011th545.6622377622377230.6982248520711113th599.053846153846275.6686390532544124th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th65.13776223776223208.2130177514793211th118.52937062937062230.69822485207138th171.92097902097902163.2426035502958549th225.3125874125874185.7278106508876511th278.7041958041958230.698224852071612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272711th385.4874125874125230.698224852071811th438.87902097902094230.698224852071911th492.27062937062936230.6982248520711010th545.6622377622377208.21301775147931110th599.053846153846208.213017751479312Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
8

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Tyreek Hill WR
2.09 23 Chris Carson RB
3.06 34 Miles Sanders RB
4.09 51 Kenny Golladay WR
5.06 62 Myles Gaskin RB
6.09 79 Michael Thomas WR
7.06 90 Dallas Goedert TE
8.09 107 Darrell Henderson, Jr. K RB
9.06 118 Justin Herbert K QB
10.09 135 Mike Gesicki TE
11.06 146 Washington DEF
12.09 163 Gabe Davis WR
13.06 174 Ryan Succop K
14.09 191 Jameis Winston QB
15.06 202 Dyami Brown WR
16.09 219 Mac Jones QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.70925.99487179487179592.1480684450152710.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692320.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.000131.37948717948717141.2307692307692340.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.673377.276923076923194.63683050370508110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.00025.99487179487179543.065367659261310.09061.12307692307692135.0025055377977320.34896.25128205128203117.1379669247364630.849131.3794871794871782.4771254680972340.649166.507692307692396.2732767888710250.364201.63589743589745116.0356385243121960.265236.76410256410256122.8541647125035270.236271.89230769230767124.9110867792745780.371307.0205128205128115.5242490601978590.401342.14871794871794113.45596278311314100.000377.276923076923148.04289177664096110.400412.4051282051282113.5696048862496612Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121027.06217948717948587.976331360946741063.6326923076923141.2307692307692320100.20320512820511141.2307692307692330136.77371794871794141.2307692307692340173.3442307692307141.2307692307692350209.91474358974358141.2307692307692360246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692141.2307692307692380319.62628205128203141.2307692307692390356.19679487179485141.23076923076923108392.767307692307798.62721893491124110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312027.06217948717948534.721893491124251063.6326923076923141.2307692307692324100.20320512820511119.92899408284023310136.7737179487179487.9763313609467444173.3442307692307119.9289940828402354209.91474358974358119.9289940828402362246.4852564102564130.5798816568047374283.0557692307692119.9289940828402387319.62628205128203103.9526627218934997356.19679487179485103.95266272189349100392.767307692307756.02366863905324115429.3378205128205114.6035502958579912All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Pat 2-10 13th 95.64 0.446 13.85 3-11 12th
1 995 2009 Dave 5-7 10th 95.35 0.445 14.10 5-8 11th
2 977 2019 Pat 5-7 10th 97.95 0.452 15.32 6-7 9th
3 975 2023 Schertz 5-7 11th 97.51 0.445 21.01 6-8 9th
4 971 2016 Babel 6-6 9th 96.67 0.455 17.79 7-6 6th 6th place
5 969 2017 Schertz 5-7 9th 90.90 0.445 19.19 5-8 10th
6 968 2011 Dave 3-9 12th 96.66 0.451 22.89 3-10 12th
7 967 2012 Babel 5-7 8th 93.42 0.456 15.77 6-7 6th 2nd place
8 966 2008 Allen 8-4 4th 89.64 0.442 12.66 8-5 4th 5th place
9 964 2014 Pat 5-7 9th 92.59 0.440 19.11 5-8 11th
10 963 2010 Matt 4-8 9th 96.18 0.437 22.19 5-8 9th