2021 Pat (through 12 weeks)

2-10 (0.167), 1,147.70 points (95.64 average)

13th place

5.36 expected wins (0.447)

65-91 all-play record (0.417)

+25.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 111.39 108.98 Mike R. 2.41
2 L 70.04 103.20 Dave -33.16 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 90.18 107.27 Rabbit -17.09
4 L 122.50 133.41 Mike R. -10.91
5 L 107.40 108.34 Pulley -0.94
6 L 91.28 125.74 Ed -34.46
7 L 84.72 106.59 Babel -21.87
8 L 82.78 97.21 Rob -14.43
9 L 91.70 101.27 Matt -9.57
10 L 93.35 106.84 Derrek -13.49
11 W 109.07 95.05 Kevin 14.02
12 L 93.29 100.50 Scott -7.21
13 Richie
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692312.4%109.42011834319527134.4980730074866820.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.1634130799071700.4%69.77514792899409140.1737644632492310.0%109.42011834319527127.7653767842041528.4%149.06508875739644117.82667787997518317.9%188.7100591715976391.32951999049072424.8%228.3550295857988372.0523.1%268.076.73529148071502614.6%307.64497041420117100.3795108421207176.3%347.28994082840245123.7298133605274781.8%386.93491124260356136.2915630063945490.3%426.5798816568048140.36488911461706100.0%466.2248520710059141.14748731262938110.0%505.8698224852071141.2275728782858612Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th65.13776223776223208.2130177514793211th118.52937062937062230.69822485207138th171.92097902097902163.2426035502958549th225.3125874125874185.7278106508876511th278.7041958041958230.698224852071612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272711th385.4874125874125230.698224852071811th438.87902097902094230.698224852071911th492.27062937062936230.6982248520711010th545.6622377622377208.21301775147931110th599.053846153846208.2130177514793124th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289918th65.13776223776223163.24260355029585210th118.52937062937062208.2130177514793310th171.92097902097902208.2130177514793410th225.3125874125874208.2130177514793512th278.7041958041958253.18343195266272612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272713th385.4874125874125275.6686390532544813th438.87902097902094275.6686390532544914th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131011th545.6622377622377230.6982248520711113th599.053846153846275.6686390532544124th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th65.13776223776223208.2130177514793211th118.52937062937062230.69822485207138th171.92097902097902163.2426035502958549th225.3125874125874185.7278106508876511th278.7041958041958230.698224852071612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272711th385.4874125874125230.698224852071811th438.87902097902094230.698224852071911th492.27062937062936230.6982248520711010th545.6622377622377208.21301775147931110th599.053846153846208.213017751479312Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
8

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Tyreek Hill WR
2.09 23 Chris Carson RB
3.06 34 Miles Sanders RB
4.09 51 Kenny Golladay WR
5.06 62 Myles Gaskin RB
6.09 79 Michael Thomas WR
7.06 90 Dallas Goedert TE
8.09 107 Darrell Henderson, Jr. K RB
9.06 118 Justin Herbert K QB
10.09 135 Mike Gesicki TE
11.06 146 Washington DEF
12.09 163 Gabe Davis WR
13.06 174 Ryan Succop K
14.09 191 Jameis Winston QB
15.06 202 Dyami Brown WR
16.09 219 Mac Jones QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.70825.99487179487179592.2435267546004510.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692320.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.000131.37948717948717141.2307692307692340.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.671377.276923076923194.8024429284746110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.00025.99487179487179543.2562842784316910.08961.12307692307692135.0677189270387320.34896.25128205128203117.1465998206984330.847131.3794871794871782.568207543789540.648166.507692307692396.364365590782750.365201.63589743589745115.933897138744560.267236.76410256410256122.7752571401570.236271.89230769230767124.8706923829978380.374307.0205128205128115.3608158302510690.408342.14871794871794113.01264062496536100.000377.276923076923148.37411662617998110.405412.4051282051282113.2115225112399912Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121027.06217948717948587.976331360946741063.6326923076923141.2307692307692320100.20320512820511141.2307692307692330136.77371794871794141.2307692307692340173.3442307692307141.2307692307692350209.91474358974358141.2307692307692360246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692141.2307692307692380319.62628205128203141.2307692307692390356.19679487179485141.23076923076923108392.767307692307798.62721893491124110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312027.06217948717948534.721893491124251063.6326923076923141.2307692307692324100.20320512820511119.92899408284023310136.7737179487179487.9763313609467444173.3442307692307119.9289940828402354209.91474358974358119.9289940828402362246.4852564102564130.5798816568047374283.0557692307692119.9289940828402387319.62628205128203103.9526627218934997356.19679487179485103.95266272189349100392.767307692307756.02366863905324115429.3378205128205114.6035502958579912All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Pat 2-10 13th 95.64 0.447 13.85 3-11 12th
1 987 2009 Dave 5-7 10th 95.35 0.441 14.10 5-8 11th
2 984 2019 Pat 5-7 10th 97.95 0.449 15.32 6-7 9th
3 975 2023 Schertz 5-7 11th 97.51 0.449 21.01 6-8 9th
4 973 2011 Dave 3-9 12th 96.66 0.450 22.89 3-10 12th
5 969 2012 Babel 5-7 8th 93.42 0.456 15.77 6-7 6th 2nd place
6 969 2014 Pat 5-7 9th 92.59 0.443 19.11 5-8 11th
7 967 2016 Babel 6-6 9th 96.67 0.458 17.79 7-6 6th 6th place
8 965 2014 Ed 6-6 8th 95.37 0.462 16.03 6-7 8th
9 965 2008 Mike R. 4-8 10th 89.74 0.446 18.89 5-8 8th
10 964 2017 Schertz 5-7 9th 90.90 0.444 19.19 5-8 10th