2021 Mike R. (through 12 weeks)

3-9 (0.250), 1,129.82 points

10th place

5.19 expected wins (0.432)

65-91 all-play record (0.417)

+28.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 108.98 111.39 Pat -2.41
2 L 93.79 120.93 Derrek -27.14
3 L 108.74 139.14 Kevin -30.40
4 W 133.41 122.50 Pat 10.91
5 L 121.31 135.53 Richie -14.22
6 L 90.81 137.45 Schertz -46.64
7 L 85.78 153.82 Dave -68.04
8 L 75.39 75.70 Rabbit -0.31
9 L 57.39 88.40 Scott -31.01 Slapped Heartbeat
10 W 102.45 64.27 Pulley 38.18
11 L 68.21 117.58 Ed -49.37
12 W 83.56 82.04 Babel 1.52
13 Rob
14 Matt

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692328.7%149.06508875739644119.7912806823477230.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.2070846770269600.2%69.77514792899409140.6451196145542612.1%109.42011834319527136.131661821634520.0%149.0650887573964498.35179213392621320.2%188.7100591715976391.21357585765378428.0%228.3550295857988372.0523.7%268.082.55816444575883612.4%307.64497041420117110.5204431087392974.0%347.28994082840245131.4436517306040780.7%386.93491124260356139.4142741949371590.1%426.5798816568048141.0519523011338100.0%466.2248520710059141.22306218150592110.0%505.8698224852071141.2306837166811712Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041516th65.13776223776223118.2721893491124125th118.5293706293706295.786982248520734th171.9209790209790273.3017751479289944th225.312587412587473.3017751479289957th278.7041958041958140.7573964497041568th332.09580419580413163.2426035502958579th385.4874125874125185.7278106508876810th438.87902097902094208.2130177514793910th492.27062937062936208.21301775147931011th545.6622377622377230.6982248520711111th599.053846153846230.698224852071129th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876111th65.13776223776223230.698224852071211th118.52937062937062230.69822485207139th171.92097902097902185.727810650887649th225.3125874125874185.7278106508876511th278.7041958041958230.698224852071611th332.09580419580413230.698224852071712th385.4874125874125253.18343195266272812th438.87902097902094253.18343195266272910th492.27062937062936208.21301775147931012th545.6622377622377253.183431952662721110th599.053846153846208.2130177514793127th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041516th65.13776223776223118.2721893491124127th118.52937062937062140.7573964497041535th171.9209790209790295.786982248520746th225.3125874125874118.2721893491124157th278.7041958041958140.7573964497041568th332.09580419580413163.24260355029585710th385.4874125874125208.2130177514793810th438.87902097902094208.2130177514793910th492.27062937062936208.21301775147931011th545.6622377622377230.6982248520711111th599.053846153846230.69822485207112Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
7
8
8

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Travis Kelce TE
2.10 24 David Montgomery RB
3.05 33 Chris Godwin WR
4.10 52 Robbie Chosen WR
5.05 61 Javonte Williams RB
6.10 80 Laviska Shenault, Jr. WR
7.05 89 Joe Burrow QB
8.10 108 James Robinson K RB
9.05 117 Brandon Aiyuk K WR
10.10 136 Terrace Marshall, Jr. WR
11.05 145 Jakobi Meyers WR
12.10 164 Carlos Hyde RB
13.05 173 Tyler Bass K
14.10 192 Damien Williams RB
15.05 201 Buffalo DEF
16.10 220 Kenneth Gainwell RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692320.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.923131.3794871794871777.3518666166400840.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.555342.14871794871794102.81906192953468100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.247412.4051282051282124.16104889857351120.67225.99487179487179594.6822873449596910.41161.12307692307692112.7627459539803620.66896.2512820512820395.0004852337419530.000131.3794871794871713.47296400251093540.840166.507692307692383.0907928250344450.357201.63589743589745116.5356637781128960.284236.76410256410256121.5700089470608170.141271.89230769230767131.4568719199382480.016307.0205128205128140.116400178941290.000342.1487179487179464.40735462830013100.077377.2769230769231135.92300657320357110.000412.4051282051282107.0913285663778112Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231063.6326923076923141.2307692307692320100.20320512820511141.23076923076923312136.7737179487179477.3254437869822540173.3442307692307141.2307692307692350209.91474358974358141.2307692307692360246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692141.2307692307692380319.62628205128203141.23076923076923910356.1967948717948587.97633136094674100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923114429.3378205128205119.9289940828402312727.062179487179485103.952662721893491663.6326923076923109.2781065088757429100.2032051282051193.3017751479289930136.7737179487179413.4201183431952749173.344230769230793.3017751479289953209.91474358974358125.2544378698224863246.4852564102564125.2544378698224871283.0557692307692135.9053254437869880319.62628205128203141.2307692307692390356.1967948717948534.72189349112425101392.7673076923077135.90532544378698110429.337820512820598.6272189349112412All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Mike R. 3-9 10th 94.15 0.432 21.12 4-10 11th
1 991 2019 Scott 4-8 12th 94.23 0.436 21.73 4-9 14th
2 987 2023 Dave 6-6 8th 96.76 0.431 21.17 6-8 10th
3 982 2014 Kevin 3-9 14th 91.95 0.431 23.80 4-9 14th
4 980 2010 Matt 4-8 9th 96.18 0.437 22.19 5-8 9th
5 976 2010 Mike R. 4-8 10th 90.99 0.438 20.93 4-9 11th
6 975 2014 Pat 5-7 9th 92.59 0.440 19.11 5-8 11th
7 969 2009 Pat 6-6 7th 97.48 0.440 22.48 6-7 8th
8 963 2012 Schertz 4-8 10th 90.21 0.426 25.74 5-8 9th
9 962 2019 Dave 5-7 11th 93.07 0.416 21.11 6-7 10th
10 962 2023 Schertz 5-7 11th 97.51 0.445 21.01 6-8 9th