2019 Pat (through 11 weeks)

5-6 (0.455), 1,086.35 points

8th place

5.02 expected wins (0.457)

59-84 all-play record (0.413)

+8.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 102.27 115.23 Rob -12.96
2 W 87.25 75.97 Kevin 11.28
3 L 95.86 145.86 Pulley -50.00
4 W 131.67 92.84 Babel 38.83 Team Blangums
5 W 117.60 94.00 Ed 23.60
6 L 101.80 109.50 Mike R. -7.70
7 L 79.02 95.43 Richie -16.41
8 W 110.23 104.75 Scott 5.48
9 L 75.76 118.48 Dave -42.72
10 W 92.76 74.83 Derrek 17.93
11 L 92.13 145.10 Matt -52.97
12 Rabbit
13 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.23076923076923426.9%246.5256410256410272.050.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.159315094697100.5%74.73076923076923139.9766803717647613.2%117.67948717948717132.96236324565223210.9%160.62820512820514113.1691523424205321.6%203.5769230769230785.4571248541280340.0%246.525641025641022.7692307692307736521.4%289.47435897435985.95867182122473611.1%332.42307692307696112.7284173616528273.6%375.3717948717949131.9293959621483380.7%418.3205128205129139.409450552849290.1%461.26923076923083141.03961227212253100.0%504.21794871794873141.222653873770911Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876110th70.47692307692309208.213017751479329th129.2076923076923185.727810650887635th187.9384615384615295.786982248520744th246.6692307692307573.3017751479289956th305.4118.2721893491124165th364.130769230769295.786982248520775th422.8615384615384395.786982248520786th481.59230769230766118.2721893491124198th540.3230769230769163.24260355029585108th599.053846153846163.242603550295851110th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793110th70.47692307692309208.2130177514793211th129.2076923076923230.69822485207136th187.93846153846152118.2721893491124146th246.66923076923075118.2721893491124156th305.4118.2721893491124169th364.1307692307692185.727810650887678th422.86153846153843163.2426035502958589th481.59230769230766185.727810650887698th540.3230769230769163.24260355029585108th599.053846153846163.24260355029585119th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876110th70.47692307692309208.2130177514793210th129.2076923076923208.213017751479335th187.9384615384615295.786982248520746th246.66923076923075118.2721893491124156th305.4118.2721893491124166th364.1307692307692118.2721893491124176th422.86153846153843118.2721893491124187th481.59230769230766140.7573964497041597th540.3230769230769140.75739644970415108th599.053846153846163.2426035502958511Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
7
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Michael Thomas WR
2.09 23 Leonard Fournette RB
3.06 34 David Montgomery RB
4.09 51 Josh Gordon WR
5.06 62 Carson Wentz QB
6.09 79 Sterling Shepard WR
7.06 90 David Njoku TE
8.09 107 Nick Chubb K RB
9.06 118 Christian Kirk K WR
10.09 135 Mitchell Trubisky QB
11.06 146 Nyheim Hines RB
12.09 163 Jordan Reed TE
13.06 174 DaeSean Hamilton WR
14.09 191 Hollywood Brown WR
15.06 202 New Orleans DEF
16.09 219 Mike Badgley K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.27565.91328671328671122.1769733877416120.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.884142.5566433566433580.0157531240919340.767180.8783216783216488.152527708666950.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.663295.843356643356795.3460728372087580.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.362372.4867132867133116.16530613181959100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.52127.59160839160839105.1306579172632910.00065.91328671328671103.1231775447139820.417104.23496503496503112.381024097373430.000142.5566433566433518.8007370174146240.000180.8783216783216435.0742861865645850.513219.19999999999996105.6875042226322660.156257.5216783216783130.427390075453170.000295.843356643356749.4613764436482880.115334.165034965035133.2684426538661590.000372.486713286713391.09984303286996100.351410.8083916083916116.9153440125206311Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231668.61958041958042109.2781065088757420108.5146853146853141.23076923076923313148.4097902097901772.047188.30489510489508103.9526627218934950228.2141.2307692307692360268.09510489510484141.2307692307692376307.9902097902098109.2781065088757480347.8853146853147141.2307692307692394387.7804195804196119.92899408284023100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311528.724475524475523114.603550295857991068.6195804195804277.3254437869822525108.5146853146853114.6035502958579930148.409790209790172.769230769230773640188.3048951048950866.6745562130177554228.2119.9289940828402361268.09510489510484135.9053254437869870307.990209790209877.3254437869822581347.8853146853147135.9053254437869890387.780419580419698.62721893491124107427.67552447552447103.9526627218934911All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2019 Pat 5-6 8th 98.76 0.457 15.76 6-7 9th
1 987 2019 Babel 6-5 7th 98.82 0.452 17.40 8-5 5th 5th place
2 986 2023 Ed 8-3 2nd 96.82 0.460 15.98 11-3 1st 2nd place
3 983 2016 Babel 6-5 5th 96.77 0.455 18.58 7-6 6th 6th place
4 983 2024 Ed 5-6 9th 98.69 0.465 15.64 6-8 9th
5 981 2016 Allen 4-7 11th 97.02 0.456 21.08 4-9 13th
6 981 2020 Rabbit 5-6 9th 98.71 0.453 22.00 6-7 10th
7 980 2018 Schertz 4-7 12th 103.43 0.457 16.45 6-7 10th
8 977 2019 Dave 5-6 10th 97.68 0.448 15.23 6-7 10th
9 972 2019 Scott 4-7 12th 96.19 0.460 21.65 4-9 14th
10 972 2010 Matt 4-7 8th 97.54 0.461 22.69 5-8 9th