2019 Pat (through 11 weeks)

5-6 (0.455), 1,086.35 points (98.76 average)

8th place

4.99 expected wins (0.453)

59-84 all-play record (0.413)

+8.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 102.27 115.23 Rob -12.96
2 W 87.25 75.97 Kevin 11.28
3 L 95.86 145.86 Pulley -50.00
4 W 131.67 92.84 Babel 38.83 Team Blangums
5 W 117.60 94.00 Ed 23.60
6 L 101.80 109.50 Mike R. -7.70
7 L 79.02 95.43 Richie -16.41
8 W 110.23 104.75 Scott 5.48
9 L 75.76 118.48 Dave -42.72
10 W 92.76 74.83 Derrek 17.93
11 L 92.13 145.10 Matt -52.97
12 Rabbit
13 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.23076923076923426.8%246.5256410256410272.050.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.156275234743700.5%74.73076923076923139.8984875762670313.4%117.67948717948717132.5031530116232211.3%160.62820512820514112.0806460141164322.0%203.5769230769230784.3805298954557740.0%246.525641025641022.7692307692307736521.0%289.47435897435986.94292687223711610.7%332.42307692307696113.6793830237096973.4%375.3717948717949132.357624159763580.7%418.3205128205129139.509850695838990.1%461.26923076923083141.05105204622765100.0%504.21794871794873141.2231410948661211Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876110th70.47692307692309208.213017751479329th129.2076923076923185.727810650887635th187.9384615384615295.786982248520744th246.6692307692307573.3017751479289956th305.4118.2721893491124166th364.1307692307692118.2721893491124175th422.8615384615384395.786982248520787th481.59230769230766140.7573964497041598th540.3230769230769163.24260355029585109th599.053846153846185.72781065088761110th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793110th70.47692307692309208.2130177514793211th129.2076923076923230.69822485207136th187.93846153846152118.2721893491124146th246.66923076923075118.2721893491124156th305.4118.2721893491124169th364.1307692307692185.727810650887678th422.86153846153843163.2426035502958589th481.59230769230766185.727810650887698th540.3230769230769163.24260355029585108th599.053846153846163.24260355029585119th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876110th70.47692307692309208.2130177514793210th129.2076923076923208.213017751479335th187.9384615384615295.786982248520746th246.66923076923075118.2721893491124156th305.4118.2721893491124166th364.1307692307692118.2721893491124176th422.86153846153843118.2721893491124187th481.59230769230766140.7573964497041597th540.3230769230769140.75739644970415108th599.053846153846163.2426035502958511Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
7
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Michael Thomas WR
2.09 23 Leonard Fournette RB
3.06 34 David Montgomery RB
4.09 51 Josh Gordon WR
5.06 62 Carson Wentz QB
6.09 79 Sterling Shepard WR
7.06 90 David Njoku TE
8.09 107 Nick Chubb K RB
9.06 118 Christian Kirk K WR
10.09 135 Mitchell Trubisky QB
11.06 146 Nyheim Hines RB
12.09 163 Jordan Reed TE
13.06 174 DaeSean Hamilton WR
14.09 191 Hollywood Brown WR
15.06 202 New Orleans DEF
16.09 219 Mike Badgley K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.27565.91328671328671122.1699601643278220.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.892142.5566433566433579.4655886185301240.762180.8783216783216488.4654871931043450.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.647295.843356643356796.4667163923024980.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.357372.4867132867133116.52161530908444100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.51727.59160839160839105.4066873829815210.00065.91328671328671103.1091510978864120.409104.23496503496503112.8962747848991530.000142.5566433566433517.70040800629101340.000180.8783216783216435.70020515543943450.506219.19999999999996106.1663885600387160.157257.5216783216783130.332604217980570.000295.843356643356751.7026635538357680.117334.165034965035133.144871527026590.000372.486713286713391.81246138739965100.347410.8083916083916117.2062987779219611Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231668.61958041958042109.2781065088757420108.5146853146853141.23076923076923313148.4097902097901772.047188.30489510489508103.9526627218934950228.2141.2307692307692360268.09510489510484141.2307692307692376307.9902097902098109.2781065088757480347.8853146853147141.2307692307692394387.7804195804196119.92899408284023100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311528.724475524475523114.603550295857991068.6195804195804277.3254437869822525108.5146853146853114.6035502958579930148.409790209790172.769230769230773640188.3048951048950866.6745562130177554228.2119.9289940828402361268.09510489510484135.9053254437869870307.990209790209877.3254437869822581347.8853146853147135.9053254437869890387.780419580419698.62721893491124107427.67552447552447103.9526627218934911All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2019 Pat 5-6 8th 98.76 0.453 15.76 6-7 9th
1 987 2019 Babel 6-5 7th 98.82 0.449 17.40 8-5 5th 5th place
2 985 2020 Rabbit 5-6 9th 98.71 0.455 22.00 6-7 10th
3 983 2024 Ed 5-6 9th 98.69 0.462 15.64 6-8 9th
4 979 2018 Schertz 4-7 12th 103.43 0.454 16.45 6-7 10th
5 978 2019 Dave 5-6 10th 97.68 0.445 15.23 6-7 10th
6 978 2023 Ed 8-3 2nd 96.82 0.461 15.98 11-3 1st 2nd place
7 976 2016 Babel 6-5 5th 96.77 0.459 18.58 7-6 6th 6th place
8 976 2010 Matt 4-7 8th 97.54 0.456 22.69 5-8 9th
9 968 2016 Allen 4-7 11th 97.02 0.461 21.08 4-9 13th
10 968 2021 Pat 2-9 11th 95.86 0.444 14.45 3-11 12th