2020 Derrek (through 4 weeks)

2-2 (0.500), 413.19 points (103.30 average)

8th place

1.86 expected wins (0.464)

26-26 all-play record (0.500)

+2.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 120.29 89.64 Mike R. 30.65
2 W 120.45 115.27 Ed 5.18
3 L 94.86 115.20 Pulley -20.34
4 L 77.59 103.54 Rob -25.95
5 Babel
6 Pat
7 Dave
8 Kevin
9 Matt
10 Richie
11 Schertz
12 Scott
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.2307692307692300.0%164.92307692307693141.23076923076923147.6%268.0000000000000672.020.0%371.0769230769231141.2307692307692330.0%474.1538461538462141.2307692307692344.5%61.846153846153854134.64697995263265027.2%164.92307692307693101.6166216188609610.0%268.000000000000062.7692307692307736219.5%371.0769230769231112.8892963347850331.2%474.1538461538462139.533301580157854Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557612nd207.515384615384628.33136094674557625th403.2846153846153495.7869822485207310th599.053846153846208.213017751479342nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557611st207.51538461538465.84615384615381125th403.2846153846153495.786982248520738th599.053846153846163.2426035502958542nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557613rd207.515384615384650.81656804733728425th403.2846153846153495.7869822485207310th599.053846153846208.21301775147934Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Christian McCaffrey K RB
2.03 17 Adam Thielen WR
3.12 40 Jonathan Taylor RB
4.03 45 T.Y. Hilton WR
5.12 68 Diontae Johnson WR
6.03 73 Tyler Higbee TE
7.12 96 Robbie Chosen WR
8.03 101 Daniel Jones QB
9.12 124 James Conner K RB
10.03 129 Justin Jefferson WR
11.12 152 Pittsburgh DEF
12.03 157 Benny Snell, Jr. RB
13.12 180 Nyheim Hines RB
14.03 185 Denzel Mims WR
15.12 208 Jimmy Garoppolo QB
16.03 213 Matt Prater K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.73161.1230769230769290.6245858578446410.733166.507692307692390.4682850376151520.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692330.000377.276923076923141.2307692307692340.00061.1230769230769240.0184024849200610.000166.507692307692339.7058008444610520.324271.89230769230767118.807284287113330.067377.276923076923136.577243060954344Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312341263.632692307692377.3254437869822519173.3442307692307693.3017751479289920283.0557692307692141.2307692307692330392.76730769230767141.230769230769234063.632692307692313.4201183431952710173.3442307692307645.37278106508874524283.0557692307692119.9289940828402331392.76730769230767135.905325443786984All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2020 Derrek 2-2 8th 103.30 0.464 18.13 8-5 5th 5th place
1 976 2018 Scott 2-2 9th 105.81 0.467 21.66 6-7 8th
2 966 2020 Pat 3-1 4th 103.14 0.448 17.26 5-8 12th
3 961 2021 Pat 1-3 10th 98.53 0.472 20.13 3-11 12th
4 957 2019 Rabbit 2-2 8th 97.32 0.454 18.27 6-7 7th
5 953 2011 Matt 2-2 8th 100.72 0.446 17.55 7-6 6th 2nd place
6 952 2012 Dave 2-2 7th 96.07 0.456 19.33 6-7 7th
7 951 2015 Ed 2-2 7th 95.72 0.465 26.00 4-9 12th
8 950 2023 Pat 2-2 8th 95.71 0.464 27.22 5-9 11th
9 948 2023 Richie 0-4 11th 97.55 0.469 9.19 4-10 13th
10 942 2020 Babel 2-2 9th 101.98 0.445 10.80 8-5 3rd 3rd place