2020 Derrek (through 4 weeks)

2-2 (0.500), 413.19 points

8th place

1.86 expected wins (0.466)

26-26 all-play record (0.500)

+2.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 120.29 89.64 Mike R. 30.65
2 W 120.45 115.27 Ed 5.18
3 L 94.86 115.20 Pulley -20.34
4 L 77.59 103.54 Rob -25.95
5 Babel
6 Pat
7 Dave
8 Kevin
9 Matt
10 Richie
11 Schertz
12 Scott
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.2307692307692300.0%164.92307692307693141.23076923076923147.4%268.0000000000000672.020.0%371.0769230769231141.2307692307692330.0%474.1538461538462141.2307692307692344.5%61.846153846153854134.67768608575892027.0%164.92307692307693101.7806097856982310.0%268.000000000000062.7692307692307736219.8%371.0769230769231112.2635821801036731.2%474.1538461538462139.453318880341954Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557612nd207.515384615384628.33136094674557625th403.2846153846153495.7869822485207310th599.053846153846208.213017751479342nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557611st207.51538461538465.84615384615381125th403.2846153846153495.786982248520738th599.053846153846163.2426035502958542nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557613rd207.515384615384650.81656804733728425th403.2846153846153495.7869822485207310th599.053846153846208.21301775147934Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Christian McCaffrey K RB
2.03 17 Adam Thielen WR
3.12 40 Jonathan Taylor RB
4.03 45 T.Y. Hilton WR
5.12 68 Diontae Johnson WR
6.03 73 Tyler Higbee TE
7.12 96 Robbie Chosen WR
8.03 101 Daniel Jones QB
9.12 124 James Conner K RB
10.03 129 Justin Jefferson WR
11.12 152 Pittsburgh DEF
12.03 157 Benny Snell, Jr. RB
13.12 180 Nyheim Hines RB
14.03 185 Denzel Mims WR
15.12 208 Jimmy Garoppolo QB
16.03 213 Matt Prater K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.73161.1230769230769290.648872057030310.733166.507692307692390.5125015332664720.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692330.000377.276923076923141.2307692307692340.00061.1230769230769240.06697488329136510.000166.507692307692339.7942338357637220.331271.89230769230767118.3320883810870630.069377.276923076923136.469368041675984Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312341263.632692307692377.3254437869822519173.3442307692307693.3017751479289920283.0557692307692141.2307692307692330392.76730769230767141.230769230769234063.632692307692313.4201183431952710173.3442307692307645.37278106508874524283.0557692307692119.9289940828402331392.76730769230767135.905325443786984All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2020 Derrek 2-2 8th 103.30 0.466 18.13 8-5 5th 5th place
1 982 2018 Scott 2-2 9th 105.81 0.465 21.66 6-7 8th
2 963 2020 Pat 3-1 4th 103.14 0.448 17.26 5-8 12th
3 963 2021 Pat 1-3 10th 98.53 0.473 20.13 3-11 12th
4 957 2019 Rabbit 2-2 8th 97.32 0.456 18.27 6-7 7th
5 956 2023 Richie 0-4 11th 97.55 0.467 9.19 4-10 13th
6 951 2011 Matt 2-2 8th 100.72 0.447 17.55 7-6 6th 2nd place
7 948 2015 Ed 2-2 7th 95.72 0.463 26.00 4-9 12th
8 947 2012 Dave 2-2 7th 96.07 0.455 19.33 6-7 7th
9 946 2022 Derrek 2-2 7th 99.00 0.479 22.66 8-6 4th 4th place
10 945 2014 Matt 1-3 11th 98.67 0.481 21.07 7-6 6th 4th place