2011 Dave (through 12 weeks)

3-9 (0.250), 1,159.90 points

12th place

5.41 expected wins (0.451)

54-78 all-play record (0.409)

+1.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 95.82 71.61 Pulley 24.21
2 L 113.62 145.29 Mike R. -31.67
3 L 81.20 113.31 Kevin -32.11
4 L 114.74 119.40 Rabbit -4.66
5 L 92.26 108.41 Derrek -16.15
6 W 134.36 70.39 Pat 63.97 Team Blangums
7 W 122.26 70.65 Rob 51.61
8 L 46.33 108.65 Babel -62.32 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 105.61 118.08 Allen -12.47
10 L 73.97 75.87 Ed -1.90
11 L 97.57 120.82 Matt -23.25
12 L 82.16 97.95 Rob -15.79
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692326.5%149.06508875739644124.3365125275475130.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.2118171223310700.2%69.77514792899409140.8033528873483511.4%109.42011834319527137.4929620929535820.0%149.06508875739644107.4422558243258316.9%188.7100591715976397.2488559447317426.6%228.3550295857988372.0525.9%268.073.97919585505971615.5%307.64497041420117100.8907866940841175.6%347.28994082840245126.6079038880749381.2%386.93491124260356138.1898850973548790.1%426.5798816568048140.90479728743068100.0%466.2248520710059141.2172138671226110.0%505.8698224852071141.2307692307692312Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th65.13776223776223191.8601398601399211th118.52937062937062271.580419580419639th171.92097902097902218.43356643356645410th225.3125874125874245.00699300699356th278.7041958041958138.7132867132867563rd332.0958041958041358.99300699300701576th385.4874125874125138.7132867132867587th438.87902097902094165.2867132867133910th492.27062937062936245.006993006993108th545.6622377622377191.86013986013991110th599.053846153846245.006993006993126th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th65.13776223776223165.2867132867133210th118.52937062937062245.006993006993311th171.92097902097902271.5804195804196411th225.3125874125874271.5804195804196510th278.7041958041958245.00699300699369th332.09580419580413218.43356643356645710th385.4874125874125245.006993006993811th438.87902097902094271.5804195804196911th492.27062937062936271.58041958041961012th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131112th599.053846153846298.15384615384613128th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th65.13776223776223191.8601398601399210th118.52937062937062245.00699300699339th171.92097902097902218.43356643356645410th225.3125874125874245.00699300699356th278.7041958041958138.7132867132867564th332.0958041958041385.5664335664335778th385.4874125874125191.860139860139988th438.87902097902094191.8601398601399910th492.27062937062936245.0069930069931010th545.6622377622377245.0069930069931110th599.053846153846245.00699300699312Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Michael Turner RB
2.07 19 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
3.06 30 Antonio Gates TE
4.07 43 Tim Hightower RB
5.06 54 Jeremy Maclin K WR
6.07 67 Josh Freeman QB
7.06 78 Plaxico Burress WR
8.07 91 Brandon Jacobs RB
9.06 102 Green Bay DEF
10.07 115 Mike Williams K WR
11.06 126 Devin Hester WR
12.07 139 Brent Celek TE
13.06 150 Ryan Torain RB
14.07 163 Stephen Gostkowski K
15.06 174 Darren Sproles RB
16.07 187 Cam Newton QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.41625.994871794871795109.2715779531084510.00061.12307692307692137.2825322445487220.00096.25128205128203137.2825322445487230.000131.37948717948717137.2825322445487240.000166.5076923076923137.2825322445487250.897201.6358974358974576.9239110684497560.818236.7641025641025682.267348192058970.000271.89230769230767137.2825322445487280.000307.0205128205128137.2825322445487290.000342.14871794871794137.28253224454872100.000377.2769230769231137.28253224454872110.000412.4051282051282137.28253224454872120.00025.99487179487179581.2606236616681810.71761.1230769230769289.0791265087259320.18296.25128205128203125.0479656589710130.732131.3794871794871788.0744720082126540.353166.5076923076923113.5109991420876150.000201.6358974358974516.5652898923507960.000236.7641025641025627.252164139569097-0.029271.89230769230767139.2566507376589680.586307.020512820512897.8670933483806590.098342.14871794871794130.72260756296916100.443377.2769230769231107.48307213900787110.200412.4051282051282123.8445882902243212Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101112427.062179487179485116.055944055944051063.6326923076923141.2307692307692320100.20320512820511141.2307692307692330136.77371794871794141.2307692307692340173.3442307692307141.23076923076923511209.9147435897435872.0610246.485256410256478.293706293706370283.0557692307692141.2307692307692380319.62628205128203141.2307692307692390356.19679487179485141.23076923076923100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312027.06217948717948590.88111888111891563.6326923076923109.7622377622377621100.20320512820511134.9370629370629336136.77371794871794103.4685314685314743173.3442307692307122.3496503496503550209.914743589743582.769230769230773660246.485256410256415.3566433566433670283.0557692307692141.2307692307692386319.62628205128203103.4685314685314791356.19679487179485134.93706293706293105392.7673076923077109.76223776223776112429.3378205128205128.6433566433566412All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Dave 3-9 12th 96.66 0.451 22.89 3-10 12th
1 983 2016 Babel 6-6 9th 96.67 0.455 17.79 7-6 6th 6th place
2 980 2023 Schertz 5-7 11th 97.51 0.445 21.01 6-8 9th
3 978 2019 Pat 5-7 10th 97.95 0.452 15.32 6-7 9th
4 974 2009 Pat 6-6 7th 97.48 0.440 22.48 6-7 8th
5 973 2013 Schertz 6-6 8th 90.57 0.452 22.87 6-7 9th
6 969 2010 Matt 4-8 9th 96.18 0.437 22.19 5-8 9th
7 968 2021 Pat 2-10 13th 95.64 0.446 13.85 3-11 12th
8 966 2022 Kevin 6-6 9th 95.92 0.466 23.30 6-8 12th
9 966 2022 Rabbit 7-5 4th 96.35 0.466 24.58 8-6 5th 5th place
10 965 2011 Derrek 8-4 2nd 98.36 0.464 21.86 8-5 3rd 6th place