2011 Dave (through 12 weeks)

3-9 (0.250), 1,159.90 points (96.66 average)

12th place

5.39 expected wins (0.450)

54-78 all-play record (0.409)

+1.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 95.82 71.61 Pulley 24.21
2 L 113.62 145.29 Mike R. -31.67
3 L 81.20 113.31 Kevin -32.11
4 L 114.74 119.40 Rabbit -4.66
5 L 92.26 108.41 Derrek -16.15
6 W 134.36 70.39 Pat 63.97 Team Blangums
7 W 122.26 70.65 Rob 51.61
8 L 46.33 108.65 Babel -62.32 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 105.61 118.08 Allen -12.47
10 L 73.97 75.87 Ed -1.90
11 L 97.57 120.82 Matt -23.25
12 L 82.16 97.95 Rob -15.79
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%41.37278106508876141.2307692307692300.0%95.81065088757397141.2307692307692310.0%150.24852071005915141.2307692307692326.5%204.68639053254438124.569333751926930.0%259.1242603550296141.2307692307692340.0%313.56213017751486141.2307692307692350.0%368.0141.2307692307692360.0%422.4378698224852141.2307692307692370.0%476.87573964497045141.2307692307692380.0%531.3136094674556141.2307692307692390.0%585.7514792899409141.23076923076923100.0%640.189349112426141.23076923076923110.0%694.6272189349113141.23076923076923120.0%41.37278106508876141.2144946755270800.2%95.81065088757397140.841110578532911.4%150.24852071005915137.6572811011645320.0%204.68639053254438107.9078982730846317.2%259.124260355029697.2167630104968427.0%313.5621301775148671.99999999999999525.9%368.074.83444285813738615.2%422.4378698224852102.195180502774475.4%476.87573964497045127.3882335987441181.1%531.3136094674556138.4036506888466290.1%585.7514792899409140.9302550036356100.0%640.189349112426141.2181507843859110.0%694.6272189349113141.2307692307692312Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th65.13776223776223191.8601398601399212th118.52937062937062298.1538461538461339th171.92097902097902218.43356643356645410th225.3125874125874245.00699300699356th278.7041958041958138.7132867132867563rd332.0958041958041358.99300699300701576th385.4874125874125138.7132867132867587th438.87902097902094165.286713286713399th492.27062937062936218.43356643356645108th545.6622377622377191.86013986013991110th599.053846153846245.006993006993126th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th65.13776223776223165.2867132867133210th118.52937062937062245.006993006993311th171.92097902097902271.5804195804196411th225.3125874125874271.5804195804196510th278.7041958041958245.00699300699369th332.09580419580413218.43356643356645710th385.4874125874125245.006993006993811th438.87902097902094271.5804195804196911th492.27062937062936271.58041958041961012th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131112th599.053846153846298.15384615384613128th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th65.13776223776223191.8601398601399210th118.52937062937062245.00699300699339th171.92097902097902218.43356643356645410th225.3125874125874245.00699300699356th278.7041958041958138.7132867132867564th332.0958041958041385.5664335664335778th385.4874125874125191.860139860139988th438.87902097902094191.8601398601399910th492.27062937062936245.0069930069931010th545.6622377622377245.0069930069931110th599.053846153846245.00699300699312Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Michael Turner RB
2.07 19 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
3.06 30 Antonio Gates TE
4.07 43 Tim Hightower RB
5.06 54 Jeremy Maclin K WR
6.07 67 Josh Freeman QB
7.06 78 Plaxico Burress WR
8.07 91 Brandon Jacobs RB
9.06 102 Green Bay DEF
10.07 115 Mike Williams K WR
11.06 126 Devin Hester WR
12.07 139 Brent Celek TE
13.06 150 Ryan Torain RB
14.07 163 Stephen Gostkowski K
15.06 174 Darren Sproles RB
16.07 187 Cam Newton QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.40237.853846153846156110.0184581411499510.00089.00769230769231137.029472378013820.000140.16153846153844137.029472378013830.000191.3153846153846137.029472378013840.000242.46923076923073137.029472378013850.904293.6230769230769576.3263036066131860.838344.776923076923180.78017625400470.000395.9307692307692137.029472378013880.000447.0846153846154137.029472378013890.000498.23846153846154137.0294723780138100.000549.3923076923077137.0294723780138110.000600.5461538461539137.0294723780138120.00037.85384615384615683.0074439042860910.72289.0076923076923188.5633211014483720.176140.16153846153844125.2267532218082530.740191.315384615384687.3238187165432340.332242.46923076923073114.7478985675699650.000293.6230769230769515.62313483521256860.000344.776923076923124.5308801299942167-0.031395.9307692307692139.130120804391580.580447.084615384615498.0702108798822590.106498.23846153846154129.9367655758207100.428549.3923076923077108.29057718941233110.197600.5461538461539123.7917267161931712Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101112438.92115384615384116.055944055944051091.5173076923077141.2307692307692320144.1134615384615141.2307692307692330196.7096153846154141.2307692307692340249.30576923076924141.23076923076923511301.90192307692372.0610354.498076923076978.293706293706370407.09423076923076141.2307692307692380459.6903846153845141.2307692307692390512.2865384615385141.23076923076923100564.8826923076923141.23076923076923110617.4788461538461141.2307692307692312038.9211538461538490.88111888111891591.5173076923077109.7622377622377621144.1134615384615134.9370629370629336196.7096153846154103.4685314685314743249.30576923076924122.3496503496503550301.9019230769232.769230769230773660354.498076923076915.3566433566433670407.09423076923076141.2307692307692386459.6903846153845103.4685314685314791512.2865384615385134.93706293706293105564.8826923076923109.76223776223776112617.4788461538461128.6433566433566412All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Dave 3-9 12th 96.66 0.450 22.89 3-10 12th
1 993 2023 Schertz 5-7 11th 97.51 0.450 21.01 6-8 9th
2 978 2019 Pat 5-7 10th 97.95 0.449 15.32 6-7 9th
3 974 2016 Babel 6-6 9th 96.67 0.458 17.79 7-6 6th 6th place
4 973 2021 Pat 2-10 13th 95.64 0.447 13.85 3-11 12th
5 971 2025 Ed 6-6 9th 96.70 0.457 16.31 6-8 9th
6 970 2013 Schertz 6-6 8th 90.57 0.452 22.87 6-7 9th
7 967 2022 Rabbit 7-5 4th 96.35 0.464 24.58 8-6 5th 5th place
8 966 2011 Derrek 8-4 2nd 98.36 0.462 21.86 8-5 3rd 6th place
9 963 2014 Pat 5-7 9th 92.59 0.443 19.11 5-8 11th
10 961 2009 Dave 5-7 10th 95.35 0.441 14.10 5-8 11th