2011 Dave (through 12 weeks)

3-9 (0.250), 1,159.90 points (96.66 average)

12th place

5.39 expected wins (0.450)

54-78 all-play record (0.409)

+1.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 95.82 71.61 Pulley 24.21
2 L 113.62 145.29 Mike R. -31.67
3 L 81.20 113.31 Kevin -32.11
4 L 114.74 119.40 Rabbit -4.66
5 L 92.26 108.41 Derrek -16.15
6 W 134.36 70.39 Pat 63.97 Team Blangums
7 W 122.26 70.65 Rob 51.61
8 L 46.33 108.65 Babel -62.32 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 105.61 118.08 Allen -12.47
10 L 73.97 75.87 Ed -1.90
11 L 97.57 120.82 Matt -23.25
12 L 82.16 97.95 Rob -15.79
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692326.5%149.06508875739644124.569335333975530.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.2144947783995400.2%69.77514792899409140.8411122048337311.4%109.42011834319527137.6572874887724320.0%149.06508875739644107.90790143718178317.2%188.7100591715976397.2167383970787427.0%228.3550295857988371.99999999999999525.9%268.074.8345589915688615.2%307.64497041420117102.1953564667952375.4%347.28994082840245127.3883458686674781.1%386.93491124260356138.4036859943810890.1%426.5798816568048140.93026032068326100.0%466.2248520710059141.21815108728305110.0%505.8698224852071141.2307692307692312Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th65.13776223776223191.8601398601399212th118.52937062937062298.1538461538461339th171.92097902097902218.43356643356645410th225.3125874125874245.00699300699356th278.7041958041958138.7132867132867563rd332.0958041958041358.99300699300701576th385.4874125874125138.7132867132867587th438.87902097902094165.286713286713399th492.27062937062936218.43356643356645108th545.6622377622377191.86013986013991110th599.053846153846245.006993006993126th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th65.13776223776223165.2867132867133210th118.52937062937062245.006993006993311th171.92097902097902271.5804195804196411th225.3125874125874271.5804195804196510th278.7041958041958245.00699300699369th332.09580419580413218.43356643356645710th385.4874125874125245.006993006993811th438.87902097902094271.5804195804196911th492.27062937062936271.58041958041961012th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131112th599.053846153846298.15384615384613128th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th65.13776223776223191.8601398601399210th118.52937062937062245.00699300699339th171.92097902097902218.43356643356645410th225.3125874125874245.00699300699356th278.7041958041958138.7132867132867564th332.0958041958041385.5664335664335778th385.4874125874125191.860139860139988th438.87902097902094191.8601398601399910th492.27062937062936245.0069930069931010th545.6622377622377245.0069930069931110th599.053846153846245.00699300699312Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Michael Turner RB
2.07 19 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
3.06 30 Antonio Gates TE
4.07 43 Tim Hightower RB
5.06 54 Jeremy Maclin K WR
6.07 67 Josh Freeman QB
7.06 78 Plaxico Burress WR
8.07 91 Brandon Jacobs RB
9.06 102 Green Bay DEF
10.07 115 Mike Williams K WR
11.06 126 Devin Hester WR
12.07 139 Brent Celek TE
13.06 150 Ryan Torain RB
14.07 163 Stephen Gostkowski K
15.06 174 Darren Sproles RB
16.07 187 Cam Newton QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.40225.994871794871795110.0185480536935910.00061.12307692307692137.029454388965720.00096.25128205128203137.029454388965730.000131.37948717948717137.029454388965740.000166.5076923076923137.029454388965750.904201.6358974358974576.3262998451592460.838236.7641025641025680.7800683112113870.000271.89230769230767137.029454388965780.000307.0205128205128137.029454388965790.000342.14871794871794137.0294543889657100.000377.2769230769231137.0294543889657110.000412.4051282051282137.0294543889657120.00025.99487179487179583.0076417184214810.72261.1230769230769288.5632701810461620.17696.25128205128203125.2267755032509330.740131.3794871794871787.3237626173900940.332166.5076923076923114.7479430187906450.000201.6358974358974515.62314530135279360.000236.7641025641025624.5306822334570577-0.031271.89230769230767139.1301118098674680.580307.020512820512898.0701738597577790.106342.14871794871794129.9368196229733100.428377.2769230769231108.29064967594036110.197412.4051282051282123.7917561854790712Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101112427.062179487179485116.055944055944051063.6326923076923141.2307692307692320100.20320512820511141.2307692307692330136.77371794871794141.2307692307692340173.3442307692307141.23076923076923511209.9147435897435872.0610246.485256410256478.293706293706370283.0557692307692141.2307692307692380319.62628205128203141.2307692307692390356.19679487179485141.23076923076923100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312027.06217948717948590.88111888111891563.6326923076923109.7622377622377621100.20320512820511134.9370629370629336136.77371794871794103.4685314685314743173.3442307692307122.3496503496503550209.914743589743582.769230769230773660246.485256410256415.3566433566433670283.0557692307692141.2307692307692386319.62628205128203103.4685314685314791356.19679487179485134.93706293706293105392.7673076923077109.76223776223776112429.3378205128205128.6433566433566412All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Dave 3-9 12th 96.66 0.450 22.89 3-10 12th
1 991 2023 Schertz 5-7 11th 97.51 0.449 21.01 6-8 9th
2 978 2019 Pat 5-7 10th 97.95 0.449 15.32 6-7 9th
3 974 2016 Babel 6-6 9th 96.67 0.458 17.79 7-6 6th 6th place
4 973 2021 Pat 2-10 13th 95.64 0.447 13.85 3-11 12th
5 970 2013 Schertz 6-6 8th 90.57 0.452 22.87 6-7 9th
6 967 2022 Rabbit 7-5 4th 96.35 0.464 24.58 8-6 5th 5th place
7 966 2011 Derrek 8-4 2nd 98.36 0.462 21.86 8-5 3rd 6th place
8 963 2014 Pat 5-7 9th 92.59 0.443 19.11 5-8 11th
9 961 2009 Dave 5-7 10th 95.35 0.441 14.10 5-8 11th
10 961 2019 Scott 4-8 12th 94.23 0.436 21.73 4-9 14th