2019 Pat (through 12 weeks)

5-7 (0.417), 1,175.39 points

10th place

5.42 expected wins (0.452)

65-91 all-play record (0.417)

+17.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 102.27 115.23 Rob -12.96
2 W 87.25 75.97 Kevin 11.28
3 L 95.86 145.86 Pulley -50.00
4 W 131.67 92.84 Babel 38.83 Team Blangums
5 W 117.60 94.00 Ed 23.60
6 L 101.80 109.50 Mike R. -7.70
7 L 79.02 95.43 Richie -16.41
8 W 110.23 104.75 Scott 5.48
9 L 75.76 118.48 Dave -42.72
10 W 92.76 74.83 Derrek 17.93
11 L 92.13 145.10 Matt -52.97
12 L 89.04 147.13 Rabbit -58.09
13 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.23076923076923424.9%228.3550295857988372.050.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.1884264993783200.3%69.77514792899409140.425758883377412.1%109.42011834319527135.447532901226827.8%149.06508875739644119.56591843728782317.4%188.7100591715976392.8155709615357140.0%228.355029585798832.7692307692307736523.7%268.075.49936668323934615.1%307.6449704142011799.1627189639885176.5%347.28994082840245123.1456037915801481.8%386.93491124260356136.1323379473438490.3%426.5798816568048140.3377365346393100.0%466.2248520710059141.14387051783945110.0%505.8698224852071141.2272304578789312Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876110th65.13776223776223208.213017751479329th118.52937062937062185.727810650887635th171.9209790209790295.786982248520744th225.312587412587473.3017751479289956th278.7041958041958118.2721893491124165th332.0958041958041395.786982248520775th385.487412587412595.786982248520786th438.87902097902094118.2721893491124198th492.27062937062936163.24260355029585108th545.6622377622377163.242603550295851110th599.053846153846208.21301775147931210th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793110th65.13776223776223208.2130177514793211th118.52937062937062230.69822485207136th171.92097902097902118.2721893491124146th225.3125874125874118.2721893491124156th278.7041958041958118.2721893491124169th332.09580419580413185.727810650887678th385.4874125874125163.2426035502958589th438.87902097902094185.727810650887698th492.27062937062936163.24260355029585108th545.6622377622377163.242603550295851110th599.053846153846208.2130177514793129th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876110th65.13776223776223208.2130177514793210th118.52937062937062208.213017751479335th171.9209790209790295.786982248520746th225.3125874125874118.2721893491124156th278.7041958041958118.2721893491124166th332.09580419580413118.2721893491124176th385.4874125874125118.2721893491124187th438.87902097902094140.7573964497041597th492.27062937062936140.75739644970415108th545.6622377622377163.242603550295851110th599.053846153846208.213017751479312Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
7
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Michael Thomas WR
2.09 23 Leonard Fournette RB
3.06 34 David Montgomery RB
4.09 51 Josh Gordon WR
5.06 62 Carson Wentz QB
6.09 79 Sterling Shepard WR
7.06 90 David Njoku TE
8.09 107 Nick Chubb K RB
9.06 118 Christian Kirk K WR
10.09 135 Mitchell Trubisky QB
11.06 146 Nyheim Hines RB
12.09 163 Jordan Reed TE
13.06 174 DaeSean Hamilton WR
14.09 191 Hollywood Brown WR
15.06 202 New Orleans DEF
16.09 219 Mike Badgley K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.28361.12307692307692121.6352855122553120.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.892131.3794871794871779.4740652486056340.775166.507692307692387.610839833180650.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.671271.8923076923076794.8043849617224580.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.370342.14871794871794115.62361825633329100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.52925.994871794871795104.58897004177710.00061.12307692307692102.0398017937413920.42596.25128205128203111.8393362218871130.000131.3794871794871717.71736126644202640.000166.507692307692333.99091043559198550.521201.63589743589745105.1458163471459560.164236.76410256410256129.885702199966870.000271.8923076923076748.3780006926756780.123307.0205128205128132.7267547783798790.000342.1487179487179490.01646728189735100.359377.2769230769231116.37365613703433110.310412.4051282051282119.7601908105026912Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231663.6326923076923109.2781065088757420100.20320512820511141.23076923076923313136.7737179487179472.047173.3442307692307103.9526627218934950209.91474358974358141.2307692307692360246.4852564102564141.2307692307692376283.0557692307692109.2781065088757480319.62628205128203141.2307692307692394356.19679487179485119.92899408284023100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312527.062179487179485114.603550295857991063.632692307692377.3254437869822525100.20320512820511114.6035502958579930136.773717948717942.769230769230773640173.344230769230766.6745562130177554209.91474358974358119.9289940828402361246.4852564102564135.9053254437869870283.055769230769277.3254437869822581319.62628205128203135.9053254437869890356.1967948717948598.62721893491124107392.7673076923077103.95266272189349116429.3378205128205109.2781065088757412All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2019 Pat 5-7 10th 97.95 0.452 15.32 6-7 9th
1 984 2016 Babel 6-6 9th 96.67 0.455 17.79 7-6 6th 6th place
2 978 2011 Dave 3-9 12th 96.66 0.451 22.89 3-10 12th
3 977 2021 Pat 2-10 13th 95.64 0.446 13.85 3-11 12th
4 973 2009 Dave 5-7 10th 95.35 0.445 14.10 5-8 11th
5 973 2023 Schertz 5-7 11th 97.51 0.445 21.01 6-8 9th
6 972 2012 Babel 5-7 8th 93.42 0.456 15.77 6-7 6th 2nd place
7 964 2022 Mike R. 7-5 3rd 96.58 0.467 15.69 9-5 2nd Blingabowl XV champion
8 963 2014 Ed 6-6 8th 95.37 0.465 16.03 6-7 8th
9 961 2011 Derrek 8-4 2nd 98.36 0.464 21.86 8-5 3rd 6th place
10 961 2009 Pat 6-6 7th 97.48 0.440 22.48 6-7 8th