2023 Pat (through 4 weeks)

2-2 (0.500), 382.84 points

8th place

1.82 expected wins (0.455)

22-30 all-play record (0.423)

+28.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 56.18 120.90 Rabbit -64.72 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 99.99 88.68 Derrek 11.31
3 W 132.84 125.95 Matt 6.89
4 L 93.83 103.39 Pulley -9.56
5 Scott
6 Babel
7 Dave
8 Rabbit
9 Kevin
10 Rob
11 Mike R.
12 Richie
13 Ed
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.2307692307692300.0%164.92307692307693141.23076923076923147.3%268.0000000000000672.020.0%371.0769230769231141.2307692307692330.0%474.1538461538462141.2307692307692342.7%61.846153846153854137.30796844635475031.5%164.9230769230769395.1171344988516710.0%268.000000000000062.7692307692307736218.5%371.0769230769231114.1324171004723830.1%474.1538461538462141.121454842007754Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th207.5153846153846208.213017751479328th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958538th599.053846153846163.24260355029585414th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th207.5153846153846208.213017751479327th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041538th599.053846153846163.24260355029585414th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th207.5153846153846253.1834319526627229th403.28461538461534185.727810650887639th599.053846153846185.72781065088764Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Davante Adams WR
2.06 20 Ja'Marr Chase K WR
3.09 37 Lamar Jackson QB
4.06 48 Alvin Kamara RB
5.09 65 D'Andre Swift RB
6.06 76 A.J. Dillon RB
7.09 93 Chris Olave K WR
8.06 104 Dalton Kincaid TE
9.09 121 Dalton Schultz TE
10.06 132 Kenneth Gainwell RB
11.09 149 Devin Singletary RB
12.06 160 K.J. Osborn WR
13.09 177 Matthew Stafford QB
14.06 188 New England DEF
15.09 205 Jason Myers K
16.06 216 Josh Downs WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692310.501166.5076923076923106.538879128094520.910271.8923076923076778.2533596574141530.000377.276923076923141.2307692307692340.00461.12307692307692140.9497079578333710.000166.507692307692371.8469890254197520.000271.8923076923076715.27595008405907630.403377.276923076923113.31194847503124Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234063.6326923076923141.2307692307692315173.34423076923076114.60355029585799212283.055769230769277.3254437869822530392.76730769230767141.230769230769234063.6326923076923141.2307692307692310173.3442307692307687.9763313609467420283.055769230769213.4201183431952735392.76730769230767114.603550295857994All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Pat 2-2 8th 95.71 0.455 27.22 5-9 11th
1 989 2019 Scott 1-3 12th 96.00 0.455 22.37 4-9 14th
2 982 2012 Dave 2-2 7th 96.07 0.455 19.33 6-7 7th
3 981 2015 Ed 2-2 7th 95.72 0.463 26.00 4-9 12th
4 972 2019 Rabbit 2-2 8th 97.32 0.456 18.27 6-7 7th
5 959 2009 Mike R. 1-3 10th 94.38 0.455 9.86 5-8 10th
6 953 2012 Derrek 2-2 8th 92.06 0.444 21.14 8-5 5th 5th place
7 947 2021 Ed 1-3 11th 97.07 0.446 11.80 6-8 8th
8 946 2011 Matt 2-2 8th 100.72 0.447 17.55 7-6 6th 2nd place
9 944 2012 Pulley 1-3 10th 93.00 0.444 15.26 4-9 12th
10 938 2021 Pat 1-3 10th 98.53 0.473 20.13 3-11 12th