2023 Pat (through 4 weeks)

2-2 (0.500), 382.84 points (95.71 average)

8th place

1.86 expected wins (0.464)

22-30 all-play record (0.423)

+28.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 56.18 120.90 Rabbit -64.72 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 99.99 88.68 Derrek 11.31
3 W 132.84 125.95 Matt 6.89
4 L 93.83 103.39 Pulley -9.56
5 Scott
6 Babel
7 Dave
8 Rabbit
9 Kevin
10 Rob
11 Mike R.
12 Richie
13 Ed
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.2307692307692300.0%164.92307692307693141.23076923076923147.6%268.0000000000000672.020.0%371.0769230769231141.2307692307692330.0%474.1538461538462141.2307692307692342.2%61.846153846153854138.01968874870866030.1%164.9230769230769397.5277261485293810.0%268.000000000000062.7692307692307736219.9%371.0769230769231112.3521615274975730.2%474.1538461538462140.963668671366074Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th207.5153846153846208.213017751479328th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958538th599.053846153846163.24260355029585414th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th207.5153846153846208.213017751479327th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041538th599.053846153846163.24260355029585414th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th207.5153846153846253.1834319526627229th403.28461538461534185.727810650887639th599.053846153846185.72781065088764Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Davante Adams WR
2.06 20 Ja'Marr Chase K WR
3.09 37 Lamar Jackson QB
4.06 48 Alvin Kamara RB
5.09 65 D'Andre Swift RB
6.06 76 A.J. Dillon RB
7.09 93 Chris Olave K WR
8.06 104 Dalton Kincaid TE
9.09 121 Dalton Schultz TE
10.06 132 Kenneth Gainwell RB
11.09 149 Devin Singletary RB
12.06 160 K.J. Osborn WR
13.09 177 Matthew Stafford QB
14.06 188 New England DEF
15.09 205 Jason Myers K
16.06 216 Josh Downs WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692310.503166.5076923076923106.3793967468251820.922271.8923076923076777.385328791301730.000377.276923076923141.2307692307692340.00961.12307692307692140.5818173174483810.000166.507692307692371.5280242628811320.000271.8923076923076713.53988835183417930.422377.276923076923111.98442310884014Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234063.6326923076923141.2307692307692315173.34423076923076114.60355029585799212283.055769230769277.3254437869822530392.76730769230767141.230769230769234063.6326923076923141.2307692307692310173.3442307692307687.9763313609467420283.055769230769213.4201183431952735392.76730769230767114.603550295857994All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Pat 2-2 8th 95.71 0.464 27.22 5-9 11th
1 996 2015 Ed 2-2 7th 95.72 0.465 26.00 4-9 12th
2 965 2012 Dave 2-2 7th 96.07 0.456 19.33 6-7 7th
3 964 2019 Scott 1-3 12th 96.00 0.452 22.37 4-9 14th
4 960 2021 Pat 1-3 10th 98.53 0.472 20.13 3-11 12th
5 956 2019 Rabbit 2-2 8th 97.32 0.454 18.27 6-7 7th
6 950 2020 Derrek 2-2 8th 103.30 0.464 18.13 8-5 5th 5th place
7 947 2023 Richie 0-4 11th 97.55 0.469 9.19 4-10 13th
8 945 2022 Derrek 2-2 7th 99.00 0.481 22.66 8-6 4th 4th place
9 942 2018 Scott 2-2 9th 105.81 0.467 21.66 6-7 8th
10 933 2008 Matt 1-3 11th 92.94 0.484 18.72 3-10 12th