2026 Dave

2-2 (0.500), 400.66 points (100.16 average)

9th place

1.84 expected wins (0.460)

25-27 all-play record (0.481)

+52.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 145.51 133.88 Pulley 11.63 Team Blangums
2 L 59.58 100.47 Pat -40.89 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 66.60 134.30 Mike R. -67.70 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 128.97 115.95 Ed 13.02
5 Schertz
6 Babel
7 Scott
8 Derrek
9 Rabbit
10 Rob
11 Matt
12 Pulley
13 Richie
14 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%20.0%20.0%40.0%40.0%60.0%60.0%012340.0%84.9230769230769141.2307692307692300.0%226.46153846153845141.23076923076923179.4%368.072.020.0%509.53846153846155141.2307692307692330.0%651.0769230769231141.2307692307692340.7%84.9230769230769140.63726505304723017.1%226.46153846153845126.353513304634410.0%368.02.769230769230773622.8%509.53846153846155138.7479803415762430.0%651.0769230769231141.230769230769234Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381119th207.5153846153846185.7278106508876210th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793310th599.053846153846208.213017751479341st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381117th207.5153846153846140.75739644970415210th403.28461538461534208.213017751479339th599.053846153846185.727810650887641st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381118th207.5153846153846163.24260355029585210th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793310th599.053846153846208.21301775147934Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
1
1

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Ashton Jeanty RB
2.07 21 Nico Collins WR
3.08 36 Tetairoa McMillan WR
4.07 49 D.J. Moore K WR
5.08 64 David Montgomery K RB
5.10 66 Caleb Williams QB
7.08 92 Kyle Monangai RB
9.08 120 Brandon Aubrey K
10.05 131 Houston DEF
10.07 133 T.J. Hockenson TE
11.08 148 Tank Bigsby RB
12.07 161 Malik Willis QB
13.08 176 Adonai Mitchell WR
14.07 189 Terrance Ferguson TE
15.08 204 Jalen Nailor WR
16.07 217 Jaydon Blue RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.95089.0076923076923175.2715882491516810.000242.46923076923076140.839213045161820.000395.9307692307692140.839213045161830.860549.392307692307781.499133279862640.00089.007692307692319.703963453141541-0.003242.46923076923076141.034991137965520.035395.9307692307692138.431128887996830.000549.392307692307722.159053514563414Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312341391.517307692307772.010249.30576923076922141.2307692307692320407.09423076923076141.23076923076923312564.882692307692377.325443786982254091.51730769230772.769230769230773610249.30576923076922141.2307692307692320407.09423076923076141.2307692307692330564.882692307692313.420118343195274All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % StDev Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2026 Dave 2-2 9th 100.17 0.460 37.62
1 954 2023 Pat 2-2 8th 95.71 0.464 27.22 5-9 11th
2 949 2015 Ed 2-2 7th 95.72 0.465 26.00 4-9 12th
3 941 2020 Derrek 2-2 8th 103.30 0.464 18.13 8-5 5th 5th place
4 938 2025 Pat 2-2 7th 97.63 0.452 20.48 4-10 13th
5 938 2019 Rabbit 2-2 8th 97.32 0.454 18.27 6-7 7th
6 938 2012 Dave 2-2 7th 96.07 0.456 19.33 6-7 7th
7 936 2021 Pat 1-3 10th 98.53 0.472 20.13 3-11 12th
8 935 2019 Scott 1-3 12th 96.00 0.452 22.37 4-9 14th
9 934 2025 Babel 2-2 5th 99.73 0.438 28.21 4-10 12th
10 931 2018 Scott 2-2 9th 105.81 0.467 21.66 6-7 8th