2023 Pat (through 5 weeks)

2-3 (0.400), 490.21 points

9th place

2.37 expected wins (0.474)

29-36 all-play record (0.446)

+30.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 56.18 120.90 Rabbit -64.72 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 99.99 88.68 Derrek 11.31
3 W 132.84 125.95 Matt 6.89
4 L 93.83 103.39 Pulley -9.56
5 L 107.37 118.00 Scott -10.63
6 Babel
7 Dave
8 Rabbit
9 Kevin
10 Rob
11 Mike R.
12 Richie
13 Ed
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692300.0%139.15384615384616141.23076923076923138.5%225.0512820512820472.020.0%310.94871794871796141.2307692307692330.0%396.84615384615387141.2307692307692340.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692351.3%53.25641025641026138.88700633842453014.9%139.15384615384616114.4184332845758810.0%225.051282051282042.7692307692307736235.0%310.9487179487179678.15622099640242310.3%396.84615384615387122.6535478179030940.0%482.7435897435898141.230769230769235Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th158.5730769230769208.213017751479328th305.4163.2426035502958538th452.226923076923163.2426035502958548th599.053846153846163.24260355029585514th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th158.5730769230769208.213017751479327th305.4140.7573964497041538th452.226923076923163.2426035502958549th599.053846153846185.7278106508876514th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th158.5730769230769253.1834319526627229th305.4185.727810650887639th452.226923076923185.727810650887649th599.053846153846185.72781065088765Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Davante Adams WR
2.06 20 Ja'Marr Chase K WR
3.09 37 Lamar Jackson QB
4.06 48 Alvin Kamara RB
5.09 65 D'Andre Swift RB
6.06 76 A.J. Dillon RB
7.09 93 Chris Olave K WR
8.06 104 Dalton Kincaid TE
9.09 121 Dalton Schultz TE
10.06 132 Kenneth Gainwell RB
11.09 149 Devin Singletary RB
12.06 160 K.J. Osborn WR
13.09 177 Matthew Stafford QB
14.06 188 New England DEF
15.09 205 Jason Myers K
16.06 216 Josh Downs WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.00050.58461538461538139.334281494175310.483134.8923076923077106.343016695767420.892219.278.4449199086378130.000303.50769230769225139.334281494175340.000387.8153846153846139.33428149417535-0.01450.58461538461538140.2825253624722610.000134.892307692307773.3517518973595220.000219.217.55555832310035730.385303.50769230769225113.0233162880250340.622387.815384615384696.894203681886225Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345052.661538461538456141.2307692307692315140.43076923076922114.60355029585799212228.2000000000000277.3254437869822530315.9692307692307141.2307692307692340403.7384615384615141.230769230769235052.661538461538456141.2307692307692310140.4307692307692287.9763313609467420228.2000000000000213.4201183431952735315.9692307692307114.6035502958579947403.7384615384615103.952662721893495All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Pat 2-3 9th 98.04 0.474 24.79 5-9 11th
1 984 2024 Pat 3-2 7th 98.23 0.474 17.87 6-8 10th
2 979 2022 Rabbit 3-2 7th 96.24 0.469 27.08 8-6 5th 5th place
3 970 2011 Derrek 3-2 7th 103.22 0.478 24.64 8-5 3rd 6th place
4 963 2021 Pat 1-4 10th 100.30 0.466 18.35 3-11 12th
5 955 2008 Matt 1-4 11th 91.80 0.472 16.89 3-10 12th
6 953 2015 Ed 3-2 4th 97.50 0.494 23.53 4-9 12th
7 953 2018 Scott 2-3 8th 105.08 0.478 19.43 6-7 8th
8 949 2024 Richie 3-2 6th 102.92 0.484 30.03 8-6 5th
9 949 2013 Mike R. 3-2 7th 99.04 0.496 25.77 7-6 6th 5th place
10 946 2017 Ed 1-4 12th 90.15 0.474 14.18 4-9 13th