2023 Pat (through 5 weeks)

2-3 (0.400), 490.21 points (98.04 average)

9th place

2.39 expected wins (0.478)

29-36 all-play record (0.446)

+30.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 56.18 120.90 Rabbit -64.72 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 99.99 88.68 Derrek 11.31
3 W 132.84 125.95 Matt 6.89
4 L 93.83 103.39 Pulley -9.56
5 L 107.37 118.00 Scott -10.63
6 Babel
7 Dave
8 Rabbit
9 Kevin
10 Rob
11 Mike R.
12 Richie
13 Ed
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692300.0%139.15384615384616141.23076923076923138.1%225.0512820512820471.9999999999999920.0%310.94871794871796141.2307692307692330.0%396.84615384615387141.2307692307692340.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692351.2%53.25641025641026139.1279590442362014.6%139.15384615384616114.7491831784561210.0%225.051282051282042.769230769230745235.4%310.9487179487179677.04475448930945310.7%396.84615384615387121.7235958216023740.0%482.7435897435898141.230769230769235Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th158.5730769230769208.213017751479328th305.4163.2426035502958538th452.226923076923163.2426035502958548th599.053846153846163.24260355029585514th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th158.5730769230769208.213017751479327th305.4140.7573964497041538th452.226923076923163.2426035502958549th599.053846153846185.7278106508876514th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th158.5730769230769253.1834319526627229th305.4185.727810650887639th452.226923076923185.727810650887649th599.053846153846185.72781065088765Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Davante Adams WR
2.06 20 Ja'Marr Chase K WR
3.09 37 Lamar Jackson QB
4.06 48 Alvin Kamara RB
5.09 65 D'Andre Swift RB
6.06 76 A.J. Dillon RB
7.09 93 Chris Olave K WR
8.06 104 Dalton Kincaid TE
9.09 121 Dalton Schultz TE
10.06 132 Kenneth Gainwell RB
11.09 149 Devin Singletary RB
12.06 160 K.J. Osborn WR
13.09 177 Matthew Stafford QB
14.06 188 New England DEF
15.09 205 Jason Myers K
16.06 216 Josh Downs WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.00050.58461538461538140.0421614530344810.485134.8923076923077106.7276516715002120.904219.277.9824800886663930.000303.50769230769225140.0421614530344840.000387.8153846153846140.042161453034485-0.00950.58461538461538140.6364653419018410.000134.892307692307773.4131418899659420.000219.215.92279872429830330.404303.50769230769225112.2845623040329640.606387.815384615384698.480538425476985Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345052.661538461538456141.2307692307692315140.43076923076922114.60355029585799212228.2000000000000277.3254437869822530315.9692307692307141.2307692307692340403.7384615384615141.230769230769235052.661538461538456141.2307692307692310140.4307692307692287.9763313609467420228.2000000000000213.4201183431952735315.9692307692307114.6035502958579947403.7384615384615103.952662721893495All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Pat 2-3 9th 98.04 0.478 24.79 5-9 11th
1 976 2011 Derrek 3-2 7th 103.22 0.477 24.64 8-5 3rd 6th place
2 969 2010 Matt 2-3 8th 101.07 0.480 32.59 5-8 9th
3 969 2013 Mike R. 3-2 7th 99.04 0.491 25.77 7-6 6th 5th place
4 968 2024 Pat 3-2 7th 98.23 0.470 17.87 6-8 10th
5 966 2022 Rabbit 3-2 7th 96.24 0.467 27.08 8-6 5th 5th place
6 961 2018 Scott 2-3 8th 105.08 0.478 19.43 6-7 8th
7 960 2015 Ed 3-2 4th 97.50 0.496 23.53 4-9 12th
8 952 2016 Allen 3-2 8th 99.63 0.459 23.40 4-9 13th
9 951 2021 Pat 1-4 10th 100.30 0.465 18.35 3-11 12th
10 950 2024 Richie 3-2 6th 102.92 0.488 30.03 8-6 5th 5th place