2011 Derrek (through 5 weeks)

3-2 (0.600), 516.09 points (103.22 average)

7th place

2.38 expected wins (0.477)

30-25 all-play record (0.545)

+16.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 62.28 120.32 Allen -58.04 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 138.17 104.84 Pat 33.33
3 W 111.02 109.31 Rob 1.71
4 L 96.21 121.00 Babel -24.79
5 W 108.41 92.26 Dave 16.15
6 Ed
7 Matt
8 Pulley
9 Mike R.
10 Kevin
11 Rabbit
12 Pulley
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692300.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692310.0%225.05128205128204141.23076923076923236.6%310.9487179487179672.9677424290141830.0%396.84615384615387141.2307692307692340.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692351.4%53.25641025641026138.6533785289615013.8%139.15384615384616115.4876207881045137.1%225.0512820512820472.020.0%310.948717948717964.704715627259134311.1%396.84615384615387120.505118037228740.0%482.7435897435898141.230769230769235Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th158.5730769230769245.00699300699328th305.4191.8601398601399310th452.226923076923245.00699300699348th599.053846153846191.8601398601399512th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461318th158.5730769230769191.860139860139925th305.4112.1398601398601637th452.226923076923165.286713286713347th599.053846153846165.2867132867133512th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461319th158.5730769230769218.4335664335664527th305.4165.286713286713338th452.226923076923191.860139860139948th599.053846153846191.86013986013995Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Philip Rivers QB
2.03 15 Larry Fitzgerald WR
3.10 34 Pittsburgh DEF
4.03 39 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB
5.10 58 Mario Manningham WR
6.03 63 Sidney Rice WR
7.10 82 Rashard Mendenhall K RB
8.03 87 Owen Daniels TE
9.10 106 Darren McFadden K RB
10.03 111 Joe Flacco QB
11.10 130 Michael Bush RB
12.03 135 Marcedes Lewis TE
13.10 154 Jerome Harrison RB
14.03 159 Jacoby Ford WR
15.10 178 Jerome Simpson WR
16.03 183 Garrett Hartley K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.00050.58461538461538135.9313495243383410.865134.892307692307778.3317687669381820.624219.294.3911333339322330.000303.50769230769225135.9313495243383440.576387.815384615384697.557694296392045-0.04050.58461538461538138.581059377553810.000134.892307692307720.73218800953800720.000219.252.8509171435261230.357303.50769230769225112.1510235262468540.000387.815384615384659.1840390684457565Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345052.661538461538456141.23076923076923110140.4307692307692278.293706293706328228.2000000000000290.8811188811188830315.9692307692307141.2307692307692349403.738461538461584.587412587412595052.661538461538456141.2307692307692310140.4307692307692215.3566433566433620228.2000000000000240.5314685314685333315.9692307692307122.3496503496503540403.738461538461527.9440559440559475All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Derrek 3-2 7th 103.22 0.477 24.64 8-5 3rd 6th place
1 979 2018 Scott 2-3 8th 105.08 0.478 19.43 6-7 8th
2 976 2023 Pat 2-3 9th 98.04 0.478 24.79 5-9 11th
3 969 2010 Matt 2-3 8th 101.07 0.480 32.59 5-8 9th
4 965 2024 Richie 3-2 6th 102.92 0.488 30.03 8-6 5th 5th place
5 958 2023 Schertz 4-1 5th 103.35 0.495 27.36 6-8 9th
6 953 2024 Pat 3-2 7th 98.23 0.470 17.87 6-8 10th
7 952 2013 Mike R. 3-2 7th 99.04 0.491 25.77 7-6 6th 5th place
8 952 2021 Pat 1-4 10th 100.30 0.465 18.35 3-11 12th
9 950 2018 Richie 2-3 10th 102.87 0.455 21.98 5-8 11th
10 948 2022 Rabbit 3-2 7th 96.24 0.467 27.08 8-6 5th 5th place