2009 Rob (through 9 weeks)

5-4 (0.556), 877.69 points

5th place

4.48 expected wins (0.498)

51-48 all-play record (0.515)

+13.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 74.36 103.24 Babel -28.88
2 W 115.60 86.69 Pulley 28.91 Team Blangums
3 W 104.58 93.65 Ed 10.93
4 W 118.20 101.62 Allen 16.58
5 L 81.24 95.19 Matt -13.95
6 L 96.75 116.11 Rabbit -19.36
7 W 119.43 118.61 Kevin 0.82
8 L 77.40 121.28 Dave -43.88
9 W 90.13 83.77 Pat 6.36
10 Mike R.
11 Derrek
12 Babel
13 Pulley

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692320.0%190.6923076923077141.2307692307692330.0%242.23076923076925141.23076923076923428.6%293.769230769230873.1633015495481750.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692390.0%36.07692307692308141.1352659254320400.7%87.61538461538464139.558607534796914.8%139.15384615384616129.83075346522386216.2%190.6923076923077102.68876402708267329.0%242.2307692307692572.040.0%293.76923076923085.095833868327105515.5%345.3076923076923104.3449153042648764.5%396.8461538461538130.4491384611418470.7%448.3846153846154139.65276829583980.0%499.9230769230769141.140618807033069Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845271.580419580419618th85.15961538461536191.860139860139927th158.5730769230769165.286713286713332nd231.9865384615384632.4195804195804346th305.4138.7132867132867558th378.8134615384615191.860139860139965th452.226923076923112.1398601398601675th525.6403846153845112.1398601398601686th599.053846153846138.71328671328675911th11.746153846153845271.580419580419619th85.15961538461536218.4335664335664525th158.5730769230769112.1398601398601632nd231.9865384615384632.4195804195804344th305.485.5664335664335757th378.8134615384615165.286713286713363rd452.22692307692358.99300699300701576th525.6403846153845138.7132867132867585th599.053846153846112.13986013986016911th11.746153846153845271.580419580419619th85.15961538461536218.4335664335664527th158.5730769230769165.286713286713332nd231.9865384615384632.4195804195804346th305.4138.7132867132867558th378.8134615384615191.860139860139965th452.226923076923112.1398601398601676th525.6403846153845138.7132867132867587th599.053846153846165.28671328671339Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Ronnie Brown RB
2.02 14 Andre Johnson K WR
3.11 35 DeSean Jackson WR
4.02 38 Donovan McNabb QB
5.11 59 Derrick Ward RB
6.02 62 Chris Cooley TE
7.11 83 Donnie Avery WR
8.02 86 Laveranues Coles WR
9.11 107 Fred Jackson RB
10.02 110 Steve Slaton K RB
11.11 131 Justin Gage WR
12.02 134 Joe Flacco QB
13.11 155 Correll Buckhalter RB
14.02 158 Garrett Hartley K
15.11 179 Mario Manningham WR
16.02 182 New Orleans DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.00031.84957264957265141.2307692307692310.79278.6871794871794886.4046626934020320.612125.524786324786398.8712014074784830.821172.3623931623931884.3591048369446240.000219.2141.2307692307692350.000266.03760683760686141.2307692307692360.842312.875213675213682.9499427580517570.000359.7128205128205141.2307692307692380.367406.5504273504273115.8379674057612390.15031.84957264957265130.850089230095810.00078.6871794871794831.5785561560348220.000125.524786324786356.5116335841877530.000172.3623931623931827.48744044312002240.231219.2125.236169335151650.479266.03760683760686108.0875759718504460.000312.875213675213624.6691162853342770.186359.7128205128205128.3840555920332680.000406.550427350427390.445165580753249Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789033.15726495726496141.2307692307692311181.917948717948772.028130.6786324786324790.88111888111888310179.439316239316278.293706293706340228.2141.2307692307692350276.96068376068376141.23076923076923610325.721367521367578.293706293706370374.4820512820512141.2307692307692384423.242735042735116.055944055944059133.15726495726496134.937062937062931081.91794871794872.769230769230773620130.6786324786324740.5314685314685330179.439316239316215.3566433566433642228.2128.6433566433566454276.96068376068376116.0559440559440560325.721367521367515.3566433566433671374.4820512820512134.9370629370629380423.24273504273590.88111888111899All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Rob 5-4 5th 97.52 0.498 16.82 8-5 3rd 4th place
1 993 2015 Rabbit 4-5 10th 97.62 0.495 16.50 5-8 11th
2 986 2012 Rob 2-7 12th 96.59 0.495 14.25 3-10 13th
3 984 2024 Ed 4-5 9th 101.03 0.497 16.39 6-8 9th
4 983 2023 Pat 4-5 9th 98.92 0.501 19.48 5-9 11th
5 969 2010 Pulley 7-2 3rd 94.36 0.504 19.82 8-5 4th 5th place
6 966 2009 Allen 3-6 10th 96.18 0.486 14.13 6-7 7th
7 963 2010 Matt 3-6 9th 97.66 0.488 25.08 5-8 9th
8 961 2020 Babel 6-3 5th 99.23 0.484 14.56 8-5 3rd 3rd place
9 961 2012 Allen 3-6 9th 99.52 0.489 23.06 6-7 8th
10 960 2024 Pat 5-4 6th 102.08 0.492 22.08 6-8 10th