2011 Rob (through 8 weeks)

3-5 (0.375), 856.61 points

9th place

4.20 expected wins (0.525)

50-38 all-play record (0.568)

+17.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 120.97 92.47 Kevin 28.50 Team Blangums
2 W 126.44 119.98 Rabbit 6.46
3 L 109.31 111.02 Derrek -1.71
4 W 165.61 102.38 Pat 63.23 Team Blangums
5 L 84.89 106.18 Allen -21.29
6 L 99.16 101.26 Babel -2.10
7 L 70.65 122.26 Dave -51.61
8 L 79.58 95.88 Ed -16.30
9 Matt
10 Pulley
11 Mike R.
12 Dave
13 Pulley

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.23076923076923219.9%210.73504273504273102.7636898797751130.0%268.0141.2307692307692340.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.0%38.940170940170944141.2051357515485400.5%96.20512820512818140.2939009759362514.9%153.47008547008548131.831984734602220.0%210.7350427350427364.29661052878099335.7%268.072.0428.3%325.264957264957386.4857476061956759.4%382.52991452991455122.9312154773846561.3%439.79487179487177138.7621070863775770.1%497.05982905982904141.12908214571458Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615386811st95.647252747252725.84615384615386821st179.548351648351665.84615384615386831st263.449450549450555.84615384615386841st347.35054945054945.84615384615386851st431.25164835164835.84615384615386865th515.1527472527472112.1398601398601675th599.053846153846112.1398601398601681st11.7461538461538455.84615384615386811st95.647252747252725.84615384615386821st179.548351648351665.84615384615386831st263.449450549450555.84615384615386842nd347.350549450549432.4195804195804354th431.251648351648385.5664335664335768th515.1527472527472191.860139860139979th599.053846153846218.4335664335664581st11.7461538461538455.84615384615386812nd95.6472527472527232.4195804195804322nd179.5483516483516632.4195804195804331st263.449450549450555.84615384615386841st347.35054945054945.84615384615386851st431.25164835164835.84615384615386862nd515.152747252747232.4195804195804372nd599.05384615384632.419580419580438Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
  • Pick 1.02 - from Matt
  • Pick 2.11 - from Matt
  • Pick 1.05 - to Matt
  • Pick 2.08 - to Matt

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Aaron Rodgers QB
2.11 23 DeSean Jackson WR
3.05 29 Knowshon Moreno RB
4.08 44 Wes Welker WR
5.05 53 Kenny Britt WR
6.08 68 Rob Gronkowski TE
7.05 77 Mike Tolbert RB
8.08 92 Peyton Hillis K RB
9.05 101 LeGarrette Blount K RB
10.08 116 Roy Williams WR
11.05 125 Mike Williams WR
12.08 140 Danny Woodhead RB
13.05 149 Kyle Orton QB
14.08 164 Heath Miller TE
15.05 173 Matt Bryant K
16.08 188 New England DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.80834.77692307692307685.3116334789635910.84987.4692307692307682.4592166902368920.000140.16153846153844141.2307692307692330.959192.8538461538461874.8338315697762540.000245.54615384615386141.2307692307692350.000298.2384615384615141.2307692307692360.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.000403.6230769230769141.2307692307692380.00034.77692307692307629.3924977271579310.00087.4692307692307623.68766414970454520.648140.1615384615384496.4031027450881330.000192.853846153846188.43689390878327640.239245.54615384615386124.6545295848275150.468298.2384615384615108.8355488282236560.067350.93076923076916136.5642219935350370.163403.6230769230769129.927523170362128Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456781136.2048076923076972.01991.0605769230769284.5874125874125920145.91634615384615141.23076923076923311200.7721153846153872.040255.6278846153846141.2307692307692350310.48365384615386141.2307692307692360365.3394230769231141.2307692307692370420.1951923076923141.230769230769238036.204807692307692.76923076923077361091.0605769230769227.94405594405594727145.9163461538461597.1748251748251730200.772115384615382.769230769230773642255.6278846153846128.6433566433566454310.48365384615386116.0559440559440564365.3394230769231116.0559440559440572420.1951923076923128.643356643356648All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Rob 3-5 9th 107.08 0.525 28.80 7-6 4th 4th place
1 960 2011 Kevin 4-4 6th 104.56 0.511 29.13 6-7 8th
2 959 2024 Babel 6-2 2nd 103.16 0.529 20.10 9-5 4th
3 958 2012 Allen 3-5 7th 101.75 0.520 23.52 6-7 8th
4 957 2018 Ed 3-5 9th 108.91 0.533 18.87 6-7 9th
5 956 2024 Pat 5-3 3rd 104.99 0.536 21.73 6-8 10th
6 953 2013 Dave 3-5 11th 100.42 0.530 23.00 7-6 5th 4th place
7 948 2024 Ed 4-4 7th 103.03 0.531 16.33 6-8 9th
8 948 2022 Derrek 4-4 7th 102.59 0.534 20.22 8-6 4th 4th place
9 947 2016 Ed 4-4 7th 100.49 0.524 16.57 6-7 9th
10 947 2013 Mike R. 5-3 4th 98.02 0.521 24.10 7-6 6th 5th place