2023 Richie (through 12 weeks)

3-9 (0.250), 1,078.02 points

13th place

4.17 expected wins (0.347)

52-104 all-play record (0.333)

+16.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 98.90 152.17 Babel -53.27
2 L 111.18 119.18 Mike R. -8.00
3 L 94.43 109.45 Rob -15.02
4 L 85.70 139.82 Schertz -54.12
5 L 102.03 113.48 Derrek -11.45
6 W 79.89 76.75 Ed 3.14
7 L 68.21 100.81 Pulley -32.60
8 L 99.46 115.07 Matt -15.61
9 L 67.19 78.43 Babel -11.24
10 W 87.60 86.38 Kevin 1.22
11 L 90.37 123.07 Rabbit -32.70
12 W 93.06 83.25 Pat 9.81
13 Dave
14 Scott

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.23076923076923220.3%149.0650887573964486.4866056286195430.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.4%30.130177514792905140.269304950903402.9%69.77514792899409133.38275703664218110.2%109.42011834319527113.7620047255676420.0%149.0650887573964431.742442026469874325.7%188.7100591715976372.0421.7%228.3550295857988382.83087801125743512.5%268.0107.698951829489464.9%307.64497041420117128.1325074200571271.3%347.28994082840245137.818979695593680.2%386.93491124260356140.663752816162690.0%426.5798816568048141.17531158317897100.0%466.2248520710059141.22800917939372110.0%505.8698224852071141.230716396499612Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124116th65.13776223776223118.2721893491124127th118.52937062937062140.7573964497041537th171.92097902097902140.7573964497041549th225.3125874125874185.727810650887658th278.7041958041958163.24260355029585612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272711th385.4874125874125230.698224852071811th438.87902097902094230.698224852071913th492.27062937062936275.66863905325441013th545.6622377622377275.66863905325441113th599.053846153846275.6686390532544128th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th65.13776223776223230.698224852071211th118.52937062937062230.698224852071311th171.92097902097902230.698224852071413th225.3125874125874275.6686390532544512th278.7041958041958253.18343195266272614th332.09580419580413298.15384615384613714th385.4874125874125298.15384615384613814th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613914th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131014th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131113th599.053846153846275.6686390532544126th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124116th65.13776223776223118.2721893491124127th118.52937062937062140.7573964497041537th171.92097902097902140.7573964497041548th225.3125874125874163.2426035502958559th278.7041958041958185.7278106508876612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272711th385.4874125874125230.698224852071811th438.87902097902094230.698224852071912th492.27062937062936253.183431952662721012th545.6622377622377253.183431952662721113th599.053846153846275.668639053254412Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
6
11
11
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Austin Ekeler RB
2.13 27 Deebo Samuel, Sr. WR
3.02 30 Christian Watson WR
4.13 55 Darren Waller TE
5.02 58 David Montgomery RB
6.13 83 Gabe Davis WR
7.02 86 Antonio Gibson RB
8.13 111 JuJu Smith-Schuster WR
9.02 114 Garrett Wilson K WR
10.13 139 Tua Tagovailoa K QB
11.02 142 Russell Wilson QB
12.13 167 Chuba Hubbard RB
13.02 170 Juwan Johnson TE
14.13 195 DeVante Parker WR
15.02 198 Miami DEF
16.13 223 Chad Ryland K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692320.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.000131.37948717948717141.2307692307692340.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.179201.63589743589745128.8228779592042860.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.295342.14871794871794120.79974547776582100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.382412.4051282051282114.7653498012165120.47725.994871794871795108.1854720296118710.69161.1230769230769293.4006344115503720.40796.25128205128203113.0266256232277230.267131.37948717948717122.7202970207730540.531166.5076923076923104.4693752570476250.000201.63589743589745116.4149866876393660.061236.76410256410256136.9937451747202370.487271.89230769230767107.492255200479180.051307.0205128205128137.709690424480390.000342.14871794871794100.36872172476242100.335377.2769230769231118.01551395092105110.000412.405128205128288.2999303716637812Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231063.6326923076923141.2307692307692320100.20320512820511141.2307692307692330136.77371794871794141.2307692307692340173.3442307692307141.2307692307692353209.91474358974358125.2544378698224860246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692141.2307692307692380319.62628205128203141.2307692307692392356.19679487179485130.57988165680473100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923114429.3378205128205119.9289940828402312827.06217948717948598.6272189349112411163.632692307692382.650887573964523100.20320512820511125.2544378698224834136.77371794871794119.9289940828402345173.3442307692307114.6035502958579950209.91474358974358109.2781065088757461246.4852564102564135.9053254437869873283.0557692307692125.2544378698224881319.62628205128203135.9053254437869890356.19679487179485119.92899408284023107392.7673076923077103.95266272189349110429.337820512820598.6272189349112412All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Richie 3-9 13th 89.84 0.347 12.62 4-10 13th
1 981 2016 Derrek 2-10 14th 88.77 0.343 15.58 3-10 14th
2 978 2019 Rob 4-8 14th 89.44 0.340 15.94 5-8 13th
3 963 2017 Matt 4-8 13th 84.82 0.353 15.52 5-8 11th
4 962 2022 Babel 3-9 14th 86.80 0.338 16.02 3-11 14th
5 961 2022 Pat 6-6 10th 88.96 0.361 15.85 8-6 6th 6th place
6 953 2024 Pulley 4-8 13th 88.19 0.330 15.61 4-10 13th
7 950 2014 Allen 5-7 13th 86.15 0.332 15.77 6-7 10th
8 949 2020 Pat 4-8 13th 88.35 0.329 17.02 5-8 12th
9 948 2016 Pat 7-5 5th 89.61 0.369 16.58 7-6 7th
10 948 2019 Richie 4-8 13th 90.95 0.364 19.87 5-8 12th