2016 Derrek (through 12 weeks)

2-10 (0.167), 1,065.23 points

14th place

4.11 expected wins (0.343)

52-104 all-play record (0.333)

+20.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 123.45 112.14 Dave 11.31
2 L 70.45 91.15 Schertz -20.70 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 67.22 84.08 Richie -16.86 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 89.35 68.08 Ed 21.27
5 L 103.42 109.35 Rob -5.93
6 L 93.53 128.65 Kevin -35.12
7 L 81.78 83.86 Mike R. -2.08
8 L 90.63 134.91 Pulley -44.28
9 L 72.25 133.99 Rabbit -61.74
10 L 104.88 104.96 Pat -0.08
11 L 88.93 121.38 Babel -32.45
12 L 79.34 111.80 Matt -32.46
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.23076923076923110.2%109.42011834319527115.4194723049178320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.2%30.130177514792905140.696403205634402.5%69.77514792899409134.9944266856845710.0%109.4201183431952789.60817537906644221.6%149.0650887573964486.31429906227419327.2%188.7100591715976372.0421.8%228.3550295857988385.82032209465109511.5%268.0112.1141341073376364.0%307.64497041420117131.0762017353200770.9%347.28994082840245138.8977520398739880.1%386.93491124260356140.8868956609974290.0%426.5798816568048141.1999440790521100.0%466.2248520710059141.22925909086337110.0%505.8698224852071141.2307385734794412Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576111th65.13776223776223230.698224852071212th118.52937062937062253.18343195266272314th171.92097902097902298.15384615384613411th225.3125874125874230.698224852071511th278.7041958041958230.698224852071612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272713th385.4874125874125275.6686390532544814th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613912th492.27062937062936253.183431952662721013th545.6622377622377275.66863905325441113th599.053846153846275.6686390532544122nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557618th65.13776223776223163.24260355029585212th118.52937062937062253.18343195266272311th171.92097902097902230.698224852071410th225.3125874125874208.2130177514793511th278.7041958041958230.698224852071613th332.09580419580413275.6686390532544713th385.4874125874125275.6686390532544814th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613913th492.27062937062936275.66863905325441014th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131114th599.053846153846298.15384615384613122nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576111th65.13776223776223230.698224852071213th118.52937062937062275.6686390532544314th171.92097902097902298.15384615384613411th225.3125874125874230.698224852071511th278.7041958041958230.698224852071612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272712th385.4874125874125253.18343195266272813th438.87902097902094275.6686390532544911th492.27062937062936230.6982248520711013th545.6622377622377275.66863905325441113th599.053846153846275.668639053254412Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Le'Veon Bell RB
2.11 25 Brandin Cooks WR
3.04 32 Andrew Luck QB
4.11 53 Allen Robinson II K WR
5.04 60 T.J. Yeldon RB
6.11 81 Zach Ertz TE
7.04 88 Chris Ivory RB
8.11 109 Devin Funchess WR
9.04 116 James Starks RB
10.11 137 Denver DEF
11.04 144 Josh Gordon K WR
12.11 165 Josh Doctson WR
13.04 172 Austin Seferian-Jenkins TE
14.11 193 Teddy Bridgewater QB
15.04 200 Blair Walsh K
16.11 221 Kenny Britt WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.85425.99487179487179582.1042034951260310.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692320.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.335131.37948717948717118.0605649275215840.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.00025.99487179487179522.97763775948281810.09361.12307692307692134.8000467195312820.06596.25128205128203136.7092340522248730.000131.3794871794871794.8903606242739440.570166.5076923076923101.7415589171170350.402201.63589743589745113.3671460679832360.219236.76410256410256126.0836974089600570.352271.89230769230767116.8332302136471480.108307.0205128205128133.777267791302690.597342.1487179487179499.92328526693268100.328377.2769230769231118.49240491944038110.186412.4051282051282128.3338110510631812Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121227.06217948717948577.325443786982251063.6326923076923141.2307692307692320100.20320512820511141.2307692307692335136.77371794871794114.6035502958579940173.3442307692307141.2307692307692350209.91474358974358141.2307692307692360246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692141.2307692307692380319.62628205128203141.2307692307692390356.19679487179485141.23076923076923100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312027.06217948717948513.420118343195271063.6326923076923141.2307692307692320100.20320512820511141.2307692307692330136.7737179487179487.9763313609467446173.3442307692307109.2781065088757457209.91474358974358103.9526627218934963246.4852564102564125.2544378698224876283.0557692307692109.2781065088757481319.62628205128203135.9053254437869897356.19679487179485103.95266272189349104392.7673076923077119.92899408284023111429.3378205128205135.9053254437869812All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Derrek 2-10 14th 88.77 0.343 15.58 3-10 14th
1 992 2019 Rob 4-8 14th 89.44 0.340 15.94 5-8 13th
2 981 2022 Babel 3-9 14th 86.80 0.338 16.02 3-11 14th
3 981 2023 Richie 3-9 13th 89.84 0.347 12.62 4-10 13th
4 972 2024 Pulley 4-8 13th 88.19 0.330 15.61 4-10 13th
5 969 2014 Allen 5-7 13th 86.15 0.332 15.77 6-7 10th
6 968 2020 Pat 4-8 13th 88.35 0.329 17.02 5-8 12th
7 964 2017 Matt 4-8 13th 84.82 0.353 15.52 5-8 11th
8 961 2022 Pat 6-6 10th 88.96 0.361 15.85 8-6 6th 6th place
9 959 2015 Derrek 6-6 7th 83.34 0.335 18.13 7-6 7th
10 953 2016 Richie 5-7 11th 87.31 0.324 17.91 5-8 12th