2021 Matt (through 7 weeks)

5-2 (0.714), 727.26 points

7th place

2.91 expected wins (0.416)

38-53 all-play record (0.418)

-45.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 81.96 102.07 Kevin -20.11
2 W 114.85 106.49 Pulley 8.36
3 W 100.35 80.16 Ed 20.19
4 L 78.00 108.67 Babel -30.67
5 W 172.33 87.89 Rob 84.44 Team Blangums
6 W 90.72 46.10 Scott 44.62
7 W 89.05 52.19 Derrek 36.86
8 Kevin
9 Pat
10 Richie
11 Schertz
12 Dave
13 Rabbit
14 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.2307692307692320.0%235.78846153846152141.2307692307692330.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692346.1%364.6346153846155129.4323973373159650.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.5%42.519230769230774140.3448731065514607.8%106.9423076923077126.07014376652509127.7%171.365384615384687.70413545816625235.8%235.7884615384615272.0321.2%300.2115384615385100.3526637639324340.0%364.6346153846155117.6340254438627150.8%429.0576923076924139.6434241207052260.0%493.4807692307693141.15242549508787Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th109.6307692307692163.2426035502958527th207.5153846153846140.75739644970415311th305.4230.69822485207148th403.28461538461534163.24260355029585510th501.16923076923075208.2130177514793610th599.053846153846208.2130177514793713th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th109.6307692307692140.7573964497041527th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041537th305.4140.7573964497041547th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041556th501.16923076923075118.2721893491124167th599.053846153846140.75739644970415713th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th109.6307692307692163.2426035502958528th207.5153846153846163.24260355029585311th305.4230.69822485207148th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958558th501.16923076923075163.2426035502958569th599.053846153846185.72781065088767Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
2

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.13 13 Dalvin Cook K RB
2.02 16 DeAndre Hopkins WR
3.13 41 Mark Andrews TE
4.02 44 Lamar Jackson K QB
5.13 69 Mike Williams WR
6.02 72 Michael Gallup WR
7.13 97 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
8.02 100 Leonard Fournette RB
9.13 125 Irv Smith, Jr. TE
10.02 128 Marquez Callaway WR
11.13 153 Matt Ryan QB
12.02 156 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
13.13 181 James White RB
14.02 184 San Francisco DEF
15.13 209 Jason Myers K
16.02 212 Joshua Palmer WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934141.2307692307692310.69898.7604395604395592.8789533794223720.454158.98021978021976109.7888983261368630.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692340.928279.419780219780276.9917873609365850.292339.6395604395604120.9826454850842860.270399.8593406593406122.5281780877409770.16038.54065934065934130.1308347875743210.00098.7604395604395544.5271375280755320.000158.9802197802197678.3470274215044930.109219.19999999999996133.699196826061140.000279.419780219780212.75280549110394250.000339.6395604395604100.7345217393993360.000399.8593406593406103.825586944712737Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567040.12307692307692141.23076923076923110102.815384615384687.9763313609467426165.50769230769228109.2781065088757430228.19999999999996141.23076923076923413290.892307692307772.052353.5846153846154130.5798816568047364416.2769230769231119.928994082840237140.12307692307692135.9053254437869810102.815384615384634.7218934911242520165.5076923076922877.3254437869822532228.19999999999996130.5798816568047340290.89230769230772.769230769230773650353.5846153846154119.9289940828402360416.276923076923198.627218934911247All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Matt 5-2 7th 103.89 0.416 30.15 11-3 2nd 4th place
1 953 2018 Rabbit 3-4 9th 102.21 0.427 21.01 7-6 7th
2 952 2019 Kevin 4-3 5th 104.06 0.435 35.08 6-7 8th
3 949 2020 Matt 3-4 11th 97.84 0.413 20.33 8-5 2nd 2nd place
4 946 2013 Rabbit 2-5 13th 94.90 0.422 27.56 5-8 11th
5 945 2019 Ed 3-4 10th 95.81 0.413 21.44 5-8 11th
6 937 2019 Mike R. 4-3 8th 94.53 0.412 21.25 8-5 4th 4th place
7 934 2016 Richie 4-3 7th 94.58 0.414 18.06 5-8 12th
8 933 2019 Babel 4-3 7th 98.04 0.428 20.66 8-5 5th 5th place
9 933 2021 Pulley 2-5 10th 97.18 0.412 14.58 5-9 10th
10 933 2011 Kevin 3-4 10th 99.79 0.439 28.06 6-7 8th