2019 Kevin (through 7 weeks)

4-3 (0.571), 728.43 points (104.06 average)

5th place

3.07 expected wins (0.439)

43-48 all-play record (0.473)

+8.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 121.30 111.03 Derrek 10.27
2 L 75.97 87.25 Pat -11.28
3 W 181.71 119.30 Scott 62.41 Team Blangums
4 L 93.76 119.19 Matt -25.43
5 W 86.28 83.38 Rob 2.90
6 L 71.94 121.13 Rabbit -49.19
7 W 97.47 87.98 Ed 9.49
8 Mike R.
9 Richie
10 Schertz
11 Babel
12 Pulley
13 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.2307692307692320.0%235.78846153846152141.23076923076923324.4%300.211538461538597.314424286573440.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.1%42.519230769230774141.1326634327055804.3%106.9423076923077133.42095996463678125.0%171.365384615384696.10212531099184238.4%235.7884615384615272.030.0%300.211538461538553.3980793423775746.9%364.6346153846155128.7457514818921750.8%429.0576923076924139.7395162754133760.0%493.4807692307693141.170021521640147Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520719th109.6307692307692185.727810650887624th207.515384615384673.3017751479289934th305.473.3017751479289947th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041559th501.16923076923075185.727810650887668th599.053846153846163.2426035502958575th11.74615384615384595.786982248520719th109.6307692307692185.727810650887623rd207.515384615384650.81656804733728435th305.495.786982248520744th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289957th501.16923076923075140.7573964497041565th599.05384615384695.786982248520775th11.74615384615384595.786982248520719th109.6307692307692185.727810650887623rd207.515384615384650.81656804733728434th305.473.3017751479289944th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289957th501.16923076923075140.7573964497041565th599.05384615384695.78698224852077Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Mike Evans WR
2.03 17 Keenan Allen WR
3.12 40 Matt Ryan QB
4.03 45 Hunter Henry TE
5.12 68 Marvin Jones, Jr. WR
6.03 73 Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR
7.12 96 Matt Breida RB
8.03 101 Marlon Mack K RB
9.12 124 Jamison Crowder WR
10.03 129 Kyle Rudolph TE
11.12 152 Josh Allen QB
12.03 157 Alvin Kamara K RB
13.12 180 Stephen Gostkowski K
14.03 185 Mike Davis RB
15.12 208 Marquise Goodwin WR
16.03 213 Houston DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.80738.5406593406593485.3758449924097510.00098.76043956043955141.2307692307692320.987158.9802197802197672.9295846633021130.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692340.264279.4197802197802122.9385040537270650.000339.6395604395604141.2307692307692360.435399.8593406593406111.1454482045997270.00038.5406593406593429.5209207540502810.12098.76043956043955132.9571715545193620.000158.980219780219764.62840009583499130.376219.19999999999996115.2038567434661340.000279.4197802197802104.6462388766848950.082339.6395604395604135.547601667041160.000399.859340659340681.06012717843027Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567940.1230769230769293.3017751479289910102.8153846153846141.23076923076923213165.5076923076922872.030228.19999999999996141.2307692307692343290.8923076923077125.2544378698224850353.5846153846154141.2307692307692367416.2769230769231103.952662721893497040.1230769230769245.37278106508874513102.8153846153846125.2544378698224820165.507692307692282.769230769230773636228.19999999999996109.2781065088757440290.8923076923077109.2781065088757452353.5846153846154130.5798816568047360416.276923076923166.674556213017757All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2019 Kevin 4-3 5th 104.06 0.439 35.08 6-7 8th
1 956 2011 Kevin 3-4 10th 99.79 0.432 28.06 6-7 8th
2 947 2023 Schertz 4-3 7th 96.72 0.442 26.49 6-8 9th
3 946 2021 Matt 5-2 7th 103.89 0.417 30.15 11-3 2nd 4th place
4 942 2024 Richie 3-4 8th 99.70 0.450 26.26 8-6 5th 5th place
5 939 2011 Derrek 4-3 7th 96.54 0.433 25.65 8-5 3rd 6th place
6 939 2018 Rabbit 3-4 9th 102.21 0.426 21.01 7-6 7th
7 925 2019 Babel 4-3 7th 98.04 0.427 20.66 8-5 5th 5th place
8 924 2024 Matt 3-4 10th 94.93 0.447 23.35 8-6 6th 6th place
9 923 2020 Derrek 4-3 6th 97.57 0.428 19.95 8-5 5th 5th place
10 922 2013 Rabbit 2-5 13th 94.90 0.425 27.56 5-8 11th