2018 Rob (through 11 weeks)

7-4 (0.636), 1,125.00 points

5th place

5.19 expected wins (0.471)

68-75 all-play record (0.476)

-13.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.70 99.69 Babel 4.01
2 W 132.39 95.28 Ed 37.11
3 W 114.48 73.75 Richie 40.73
4 W 114.02 106.41 Matt 7.61
5 W 120.49 102.15 Scott 18.34
6 W 110.61 104.47 Pat 6.14
7 L 76.38 86.22 Dave -9.84 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 115.68 113.73 Mike R. 1.95
9 L 70.66 140.11 Schertz -69.45
10 L 106.52 121.04 Rabbit -14.52
11 L 60.07 75.19 Derrek -15.12 Slapped Heartbeat
12 Kevin
13 Pulley

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.23076923076923614.0%332.42307692307696106.6261926765445870.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.193706685513700.3%74.73076923076923140.5929744713530511.9%117.67948717948717136.6022132760460327.5%160.62820512820514122.63825406032532318.4%203.5769230769230795.84158003923594428.0%246.5256410256410272.0526.2%289.47435897435976.4039495900632260.0%332.4230769230769672.0216161223199173.5%375.3717948717949132.6055445200018480.2%418.3205128205129140.7868100853832590.0%461.26923076923083141.22927592966693100.0%504.21794871794873141.2307692307692311Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520714th70.4769230769230973.3017751479289922nd129.207692307692328.33136094674557632nd187.9384615384615228.33136094674557642nd246.6692307692307528.33136094674557652nd305.428.33136094674557666th364.1307692307692118.2721893491124175th422.8615384615384395.786982248520787th481.59230769230766140.7573964497041597th540.3230769230769140.75739644970415109th599.053846153846185.7278106508876115th11.74615384615384595.786982248520713rd70.4769230769230950.81656804733728422nd129.207692307692328.33136094674557631st187.938461538461525.84615384615381141st246.669230769230755.84615384615381151st305.45.84615384615381162nd364.130769230769228.33136094674557671st422.861538461538435.84615384615381183rd481.5923076923076650.81656804733728495th540.323076923076995.7869822485207105th599.05384615384695.7869822485207115th11.74615384615384595.786982248520713rd70.4769230769230950.81656804733728423rd129.207692307692350.81656804733728435th187.9384615384615295.786982248520742nd246.6692307692307528.33136094674557654th305.473.3017751479289967th364.1307692307692140.7573964497041576th422.86153846153843118.2721893491124188th481.59230769230766163.2426035502958597th540.3230769230769140.757396449704151011th599.053846153846230.69822485207111Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
6
10
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 A.J. Green WR
2.05 19 Tyreek Hill WR
3.10 38 Jay Ajayi RB
4.05 47 Mark Ingram II RB
5.10 66 Kelvin Benjamin WR
6.05 75 Zach Ertz K TE
7.10 94 C.J. Anderson RB
8.05 103 Calvin Ridley WR
9.10 122 Cameron Meredith WR
10.05 131 Deshaun Watson K QB
11.10 150 Matt Breida RB
12.05 159 Nyheim Hines RB
13.10 178 Blake Bortles QB
14.05 187 Stephen Gostkowski K
15.10 206 Dede Westbrook WR
16.05 215 New Orleans DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.48427.59160839160839101.116448280438910.82365.9132867132867179.1007937853940620.665104.2349650349650389.3634102908211530.659142.5566433566433589.7466615296130440.739180.8783216783216484.572769805922650.604219.1999999999999693.2810896206937360.000257.5216783216783132.4784833647947370.680295.843356643356788.3626987228645680.000334.165034965035132.4784833647947390.000372.4867132867133132.47848336479473100.000410.8083916083916132.47848336479473110.00027.5916083916083969.7544131960830610.00065.9132867132867125.72310420599339420.000104.2349650349650346.2483372168475930.000142.5566433566433547.01483969443134540.000180.8783216783216436.66705624705049650.000219.1999999999999654.0836958765927360.059257.5216783216783128.6466622669891570.000295.843356643356744.2469140809344280.004334.165034965035132.2449655645351690.537372.486713286713397.6671871313119510-0.067410.8083916083916136.8546262977819811Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011928.72447552447552393.3017751479289911268.6195804195804277.32544378698225210108.514685314685387.9763313609467435148.40979020979017114.60355029585799410188.3048951048950887.9763313609467455228.2114.6035502958579960268.09510489510484141.2307692307692379307.990209790209893.3017751479289980347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311028.72447552447552345.3727810650887451068.6195804195804213.4201183431952720108.514685314685334.7218934911242530148.4097902097901787.9763313609467440188.3048951048950834.7218934911242550228.287.9763313609467460268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.990209790209845.37278106508874582347.8853146853147130.5798816568047396387.7804195804196109.27810650887574100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2018 Rob 7-4 5th 102.27 0.471 21.84 8-5 5th 5th place
1 980 2011 Derrek 7-4 2nd 98.42 0.470 22.83 8-5 3rd 6th place
2 977 2011 Kevin 4-7 9th 100.76 0.467 25.73 6-7 8th
3 973 2014 Mike R. 5-6 7th 96.12 0.471 21.56 6-7 7th
4 973 2018 Babel 4-7 11th 105.66 0.477 20.85 4-9 12th
5 972 2021 Matt 9-2 4th 102.36 0.483 24.29 11-3 2nd 4th place
6 971 2018 Rabbit 6-5 7th 104.29 0.463 19.62 7-6 7th
7 965 2011 Dave 3-8 12th 97.98 0.479 23.47 3-10 12th
8 964 2019 Mike R. 7-4 4th 100.69 0.485 23.70 8-5 4th 4th place
9 963 2024 Babel 8-3 2nd 99.64 0.483 19.58 9-5 4th
10 962 2024 Matt 7-4 5th 98.28 0.482 21.21 8-6 6th