2018 Babel (through 11 weeks)

4-7 (0.364), 1,162.23 points (105.66 average)

11th place

5.25 expected wins (0.477)

67-76 all-play record (0.469)

+4.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 99.69 103.70 Rob -4.01
2 L 91.45 109.71 Schertz -18.26
3 W 116.13 87.17 Pulley 28.96
4 L 124.69 135.93 Richie -11.24
5 W 71.44 46.68 Pat 24.76
6 L 83.98 115.97 Scott -31.99 Slapped Heartbeat
7 L 104.27 149.12 Mike R. -44.85
8 W 119.28 86.90 Dave 32.38
9 L 96.25 96.36 Rabbit -0.11
10 L 103.04 143.91 Matt -40.87
11 W 152.01 116.90 Kevin 35.11 Team Blangums
12 Derrek
13 Ed

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.23076923076923319.2%203.5769230769230792.5244820474119140.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2022266214128800.3%74.73076923076923140.5921392384557312.0%117.67948717948717136.0966104983468828.2%160.62820512820514120.3667828466322230.0%203.5769230769230743.81819486405459427.3%246.5256410256410272.0524.2%289.47435897435979.85513671443772613.4%332.42307692307696107.4030768339846174.4%375.3717948717949130.0360375153125680.8%418.3205128205129139.1873130503151490.1%461.26923076923083141.06185242667974100.0%504.21794871794873141.227473101337811Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415110th70.47692307692309208.213017751479329th129.2076923076923185.727810650887637th187.93846153846152140.75739644970415410th246.66923076923075208.2130177514793512th305.4253.18343195266272611th364.1307692307692230.698224852071710th422.86153846153843208.213017751479389th481.59230769230766185.727810650887699th540.3230769230769185.7278106508876108th599.053846153846163.24260355029585118th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585110th70.47692307692309208.2130177514793210th129.2076923076923208.2130177514793311th187.93846153846152230.698224852071411th246.66923076923075230.698224852071512th305.4253.18343195266272612th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272710th422.86153846153843208.2130177514793812th481.59230769230766253.18343195266272913th540.3230769230769275.66863905325441011th599.053846153846230.698224852071117th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415110th70.47692307692309208.2130177514793210th129.2076923076923208.213017751479338th187.93846153846152163.24260355029585411th246.66923076923075230.698224852071512th305.4253.18343195266272611th364.1307692307692230.698224852071710th422.86153846153843208.2130177514793810th481.59230769230766208.2130177514793911th540.3230769230769230.698224852071108th599.053846153846163.2426035502958511Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.13 13 Mike Evans WR
2.02 16 Leonard Fournette K RB
3.13 41 Marshawn Lynch RB
4.02 44 Michael Crabtree WR
5.13 69 Delanie Walker TE
6.02 72 Kareem Hunt K RB
7.13 97 Jared Goff QB
8.02 100 D.J. Moore WR
9.13 125 Jacksonville DEF
10.02 128 Anthony Miller WR
11.13 153 Derek Carr QB
12.02 156 Charles Clay TE
13.13 181 Theo Riddick RB
14.02 184 Doug Martin RB
15.13 209 Chris Boswell K
16.02 212 Baker Mayfield QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.674104.2349650349650394.599402458073630.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.027180.87832167832164139.3928173869137850.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.713295.843356643356791.8967049623602680.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.915410.808391608391677.87356666375594110.41227.59160839160839112.7104605116161910.26465.91328671328671122.9418090943369220.000104.2349650349650347.96803568537798430.772142.5566433566433587.7721869529089840.000180.87832167832164137.5548655430583350.164219.19999999999996129.8625328301524260.489257.5216783216783107.400245752315670.000295.843356643356742.56264069395129580.359334.165034965035116.4044071782094590.462372.4867132867133109.27325896043918100.000410.808391608391614.51636409674264911Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231068.61958041958042141.23076923076923212108.514685314685377.3254437869822530148.40979020979017141.2307692307692341188.30489510489508135.9053254437869850228.2141.2307692307692360268.09510489510484141.23076923076923710307.990209790209887.9763313609467480347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.230769230769231013427.6755244755244772.011728.724475524475523103.952662721893491268.61958041958042130.5798816568047320108.514685314685313.4201183431952737148.40979020979017103.9526627218934940188.30489510489508130.5798816568047350228.2141.2307692307692367268.09510489510484103.9526627218934970307.990209790209834.7218934911242585347.8853146853147114.6035502958579993387.7804195804196125.25443786982248100427.675524475524472.769230769230773611All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2018 Babel 4-7 11th 105.66 0.477 20.85 4-9 12th
1 968 2018 Ed 4-7 10th 105.99 0.491 19.40 6-7 9th
2 968 2021 Matt 9-2 4th 102.36 0.483 24.29 11-3 2nd 4th place
3 966 2024 Babel 8-3 2nd 99.64 0.481 19.58 9-5 4th 4th place
4 965 2018 Rob 7-4 5th 102.27 0.468 21.84 8-5 5th 5th place
5 963 2011 Dave 3-8 12th 97.98 0.478 23.47 3-10 12th
6 962 2024 Pat 5-6 7th 101.33 0.487 20.36 6-8 10th
7 961 2024 Matt 7-4 5th 98.28 0.482 21.21 8-6 6th 6th place
8 960 2019 Mike R. 7-4 4th 100.69 0.484 23.70 8-5 4th 4th place
9 960 2018 Rabbit 6-5 7th 104.29 0.461 19.62 7-6 7th
10 952 2011 Derrek 7-4 2nd 98.42 0.470 22.83 8-5 3rd 6th place