2026 Kevin

4-4 (0.500), 755.88 points (94.48 average)

7th place

3.22 expected wins (0.403)

41-63 all-play record (0.394)

-6.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 79.00 85.87 Richie -6.87
2 L 72.90 96.15 Babel -23.25
3 W 111.71 103.48 Derrek 8.23
4 L 93.49 112.72 Schertz -19.23
5 W 104.97 102.84 Scott 2.13
6 W 86.77 72.85 Rob 13.92
7 L 93.83 108.50 Mike R. -14.67
8 W 113.21 102.98 Matt 10.23
9 Pulley
10 Rabbit
11 Richie
12 Ed
13 Pat
14 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456780.0%53.470085470085465141.2307692307692300.0%132.1025641025641141.2307692307692310.0%210.73504273504273141.2307692307692320.0%289.36752136752136141.23076923076923325.5%368.084.2640222840679940.0%446.6324786324787141.2307692307692350.0%525.2649572649573141.2307692307692360.0%603.897435897436141.2307692307692370.0%682.5299145299145141.2307692307692380.9%53.470085470085465139.18770800825606.9%132.1025641025641125.7551250568366120.6%210.7350427350427395.18805769054501231.0%289.3675213675213671.9999999999999930.0%368.027.297275337366756411.7%446.6324786324787115.0430568153178752.9%525.2649572649573134.68857138360460.4%603.897435897436140.421617987084970.0%682.5299145299145141.19266144256758Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.6686390532544114th95.64725274725272298.15384615384613212th179.54835164835166253.18343195266272312th263.44945054945055253.18343195266272412th347.3505494505494253.18343195266272511th431.2516483516483230.698224852071611th515.1527472527472230.698224852071710th599.053846153846208.2130177514793813th11.746153846153845275.6686390532544114th95.64725274725272298.15384615384613211th179.54835164835166230.698224852071311th263.44945054945055230.69822485207149th347.3505494505494185.727810650887657th431.2516483516483140.7573964497041567th515.1527472527472140.7573964497041577th599.053846153846140.75739644970415813th11.746153846153845275.6686390532544113th95.64725274725272275.6686390532544212th179.54835164835166253.18343195266272312th263.44945054945055253.18343195266272411th347.3505494505494230.698224852071511th431.2516483516483230.698224852071611th515.1527472527472230.698224852071710th599.053846153846208.21301775147938Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Ja'Marr Chase K×2 WR
2.03 17 Kyren Williams RB
3.12 40 Jameson Williams WR
4.03 45 Bhayshul Tuten RB
5.12 68 Alec Pierce WR
6.03 73 George Kittle TE
7.12 96 Jordan Addison WR
8.03 101 Quentin Johnston WR
9.12 124 Jake Ferguson TE
10.03 129 Tyrone Tracy, Jr. RB
11.12 152 Baker Mayfield QB
12.03 157 Dylan Sampson RB
13.12 180 Jaxson Dart K QB
14.03 185 Eddy Pineiro K
15.12 208 Detroit DEF
16.03 213 Nick Singleton RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00050.642307692307696141.2307692307692310.000127.37307692307691141.2307692307692320.668204.1038461538461595.0117559854268930.000280.8346153846154141.2307692307692340.573357.56538461538463101.5438856336777550.256434.29615384615386123.4930532890580560.000511.0269230769231141.2307692307692370.702587.757692307692292.6066607692016180.15750.642307692307696130.329581588175210.111127.37307692307691133.536156533850920.000204.1038461538461548.7927427400845530.371280.8346153846154115.550140849915140.000357.5653846153846361.8570020365862850.000434.29615384615386105.755337347346960.382511.0269230769231114.808821624267270.000587.757692307692243.9825523076339958Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678052.07019230769231141.2307692307692310130.96442307692305141.2307692307692329209.8586538461538693.3017751479289930288.75288461538463141.2307692307692346367.6471153846154109.2781065088757455446.5413461538462114.6035502958579960525.435576923077141.2307692307692379604.329807692307693.301775147928998152.07019230769231135.9053254437869812130.96442307692305130.5798816568047320209.8586538461538645.37278106508874533288.75288461538463125.2544378698224840367.647115384615477.3254437869822550446.541346153846287.9763313609467466525.435576923077109.2781065088757470604.329807692307645.3727810650887458All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % StDev Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2026 Kevin 4-4 7th 94.49 0.403 13.80
1 990 2019 Dave 3-5 11th 95.65 0.402 16.05 6-7 10th
2 989 2016 Richie 4-4 8th 93.52 0.402 17.12 5-8 12th
3 986 2014 Pat 3-5 10th 92.14 0.402 16.06 5-8 11th
4 982 2009 Ed 4-4 7th 91.00 0.401 14.25 7-6 4th 6th place
5 977 2014 Ed 3-5 11th 92.02 0.406 17.09 6-7 8th
6 976 2016 Babel 3-5 12th 93.59 0.407 19.36 7-6 6th 6th place
7 973 2019 Richie 3-5 12th 95.57 0.397 19.51 5-8 12th
8 971 2021 Pat 1-7 13th 95.04 0.392 16.18 3-11 12th
9 968 2021 Pulley 2-6 10th 94.91 0.388 14.90 5-9 10th
10 966 2016 Allen 4-4 9th 93.52 0.409 22.10 4-9 13th