2009 Dave (through 10 weeks)

5-5 (0.500), 963.21 points

8th place

4.75 expected wins (0.475)

48-62 all-play record (0.436)

+1.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 68.30 111.69 Rabbit -43.39 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 91.68 84.13 Kevin 7.55
3 W 95.08 42.13 Pulley 52.95
4 W 91.72 87.73 Pat 3.99
5 L 93.77 115.14 Mike R. -21.37
6 W 96.50 96.12 Derrek 0.38
7 L 83.04 100.36 Babel -17.32
8 W 121.28 77.40 Rob 43.88 Team Blangums
9 L 111.26 121.30 Ed -10.04
10 L 110.58 128.82 Allen -18.24
11 Matt
12 Rabbit
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.23076923076923427.1%268.072.050.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.1%33.73426573426574141.1021530895371800.8%80.5874125874126139.2982468376979214.4%127.44055944055944129.90121783048016213.6%174.29370629370626106.50559185695073324.4%221.1468531468531578.9024835950037340.0%268.02.7692307692307736519.0%314.853146853146892.7181035972851668.3%361.7062937062937120.0629454666459772.1%408.5594405594406135.784672095618380.3%455.41258741258747140.5061207458613290.0%502.2657342657343141.1956807291521210Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th77.0025641025641271.5804195804196211th142.2589743589743271.5804195804196311th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196411th272.77179487179484271.5804195804196511th338.0282051282051271.5804195804196611th403.28461538461534271.5804195804196710th468.5410256410256245.006993006993810th533.7974358974359245.006993006993910th599.053846153846245.0069930069931012th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th77.0025641025641245.00699300699326th142.2589743589743138.7132867132867534th207.515384615384685.5664335664335746th272.77179487179484138.7132867132867553rd338.028205128205158.99300699300701565th403.28461538461534112.1398601398601674th468.541025641025685.5664335664335786th533.7974358974359138.7132867132867598th599.053846153846191.86013986013991012th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th77.0025641025641271.5804195804196211th142.2589743589743271.5804195804196311th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196411th272.77179487179484271.5804195804196511th338.0282051282051271.5804195804196610th403.28461538461534245.006993006993710th468.5410256410256245.006993006993810th533.7974358974359245.006993006993910th599.053846153846245.00699300699310Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Larry Fitzgerald WR
2.11 23 Dwayne Bowe WR
3.02 26 Julius Jones RB
4.11 47 Greg Olsen TE
5.02 50 Lee Evans WR
6.11 71 Felix Jones RB
7.02 74 Donald Driver WR
8.11 95 Tim Hightower RB
9.02 98 Matt Forte K RB
10.11 119 Philip Rivers K QB
11.02 122 Chicago DEF
12.11 143 Michael Crabtree WR
13.02 146 Chester Taylor RB
14.11 167 Joey Galloway WR
15.02 170 Adam Vinatieri K
16.11 191 Brandon Jackson RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306141.2307692307692310.38571.66153846153847114.5564106773069320.448113.8153846153846110.1811897065508430.387155.96923076923073114.4314043638567640.000198.12307692307692141.2307692307692350.471240.27692307692305108.6356571038941360.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.853324.5846153846153582.157047073084580.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.000408.89230769230767141.23076923076923100.09229.507692307692306134.8642545078034210.00071.6615384615384787.8820521238446320.000113.815384615384679.1316101823324430.000155.9692307692307387.6320394969442940.425198.12307692307692111.8176359917167450.000240.2769230769230576.0405449770190460.254282.4307692307692123.6136862972877470.000324.5846153846153523.0833249153997780.722366.7384615384615491.214322693065390.711408.8923076923076791.9870889943936610Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910030.719230769230762141.230769230769231474.60384615384615116.0559440559440524118.48846153846154116.0559440559440535162.3730769230769109.7622377622377640206.2576923076923141.2307692307692353250.14230769230767122.3496503496503560294.026923076923141.23076923076923711337.911538461538472.080381.79615384615386141.2307692307692390425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310030.719230769230762141.230769230769231074.6038461538461590.881118881118920118.4884615384615490.881118881118930162.373076923076978.2937062937063144206.2576923076923116.0559440559440550250.14230769230767103.4685314685314763294.026923076923122.3496503496503570337.91153846153842.769230769230773687381.7961538461538697.1748251748251797425.680769230769297.1748251748251710All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Dave 5-5 8th 96.32 0.475 14.36 5-8 11th
1 978 2010 Mike R. 4-6 7th 93.46 0.474 18.57 4-9 11th
2 974 2021 Mike R. 2-8 10th 97.81 0.478 21.05 4-10 11th
3 972 2020 Derrek 5-5 9th 95.97 0.471 23.09 8-5 5th 5th place
4 970 2010 Derrek 6-4 5th 94.35 0.483 18.15 7-6 5th 3rd place
5 967 2022 Mike R. 6-4 4th 95.63 0.460 13.99 9-5 2nd Blingabowl XV champion
6 967 2011 Dave 3-7 11th 98.02 0.478 24.62 3-10 12th
7 966 2012 Dave 6-4 6th 94.94 0.470 23.62 6-7 7th
8 965 2020 Rabbit 5-5 8th 100.10 0.473 22.61 6-7 10th
9 961 2024 Ed 5-5 8th 99.72 0.486 16.05 6-8 9th
10 959 2010 Matt 3-7 10th 97.49 0.466 23.79 5-8 9th