2011 Dave (through 10 weeks)

3-7 (0.300), 980.17 points

11th place

4.78 expected wins (0.478)

47-63 all-play record (0.427)

-3.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 95.82 71.61 Pulley 24.21
2 L 113.62 145.29 Mike R. -31.67
3 L 81.20 113.31 Kevin -32.11
4 L 114.74 119.40 Rabbit -4.66
5 L 92.26 108.41 Derrek -16.15
6 W 134.36 70.39 Pat 63.97 Team Blangums
7 W 122.26 70.65 Rob 51.61
8 L 46.33 108.65 Babel -62.32 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 105.61 118.08 Allen -12.47
10 L 73.97 75.87 Ed -1.90
11 Matt
12 Rob
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.23076923076923211.4%174.29370629370626115.715918462256730.0%221.14685314685315141.2307692307692340.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.1952099766521700.3%80.5874125874126140.460775919471812.8%127.44055944055944134.944809208906420.0%174.2937062937062690.20106769374416325.3%221.1468531468531584.85007463819198431.0%268.072.0520.8%314.853146853146894.8765733639858667.2%361.7062937062937125.2136421234439271.1%408.5594405594406138.7175729792715280.1%455.41258741258747141.0959910527582890.0%502.2657342657343141.2307692307692310Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th77.0025641025641191.8601398601399211th142.2589743589743271.580419580419639th207.5153846153846218.43356643356645410th272.77179487179484245.00699300699356th338.0282051282051138.7132867132867563rd403.2846153846153458.99300699300701576th468.5410256410256138.7132867132867587th533.7974358974359165.2867132867133910th599.053846153846245.006993006993106th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th77.0025641025641165.2867132867133210th142.2589743589743245.006993006993311th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196411th272.77179487179484271.5804195804196510th338.0282051282051245.00699300699369th403.28461538461534218.43356643356645710th468.5410256410256245.006993006993811th533.7974358974359271.5804195804196911th599.053846153846271.5804195804196108th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th77.0025641025641191.8601398601399210th142.2589743589743245.00699300699339th207.5153846153846218.43356643356645410th272.77179487179484245.00699300699356th338.0282051282051138.7132867132867564th403.2846153846153485.5664335664335778th468.5410256410256191.860139860139988th533.7974358974359191.8601398601399910th599.053846153846245.00699300699310Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Michael Turner RB
2.07 19 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
3.06 30 Antonio Gates TE
4.07 43 Tim Hightower RB
5.06 54 Jeremy Maclin K WR
6.07 67 Josh Freeman QB
7.06 78 Plaxico Burress WR
8.07 91 Brandon Jacobs RB
9.06 102 Green Bay DEF
10.07 115 Mike Williams K WR
11.06 126 Devin Hester WR
12.07 139 Brent Celek TE
13.06 150 Ryan Torain RB
14.07 163 Stephen Gostkowski K
15.06 174 Darren Sproles RB
16.07 187 Cam Newton QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.41729.507692307692306109.3034781098048710.00071.66153846153847137.3976600612516620.000113.8153846153846137.3976600612516630.000155.96923076923073137.3976600612516640.000198.12307692307692137.3976600612516650.898240.2769230769230576.9281253664019460.819282.430769230769282.276135853708170.000324.58461538461535137.3976600612516680.000366.73846153846154137.3976600612516690.000408.89230769230767137.39766006125166100.00029.50769230769230681.2092961583580910.71871.6615384615384789.0937442641789520.183113.8153846153846125.0933685774918230.733155.9692307692307388.0882298956978240.354198.12307692307692113.5465277526262850.000240.2769230769230516.4585906715522360.000282.430769230769227.154611646164547-0.028324.58461538461535139.3142146460104480.587366.7384615384615497.8892325862774990.098408.89230769230767130.772867318143410Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910430.719230769230762116.055944055944051074.60384615384615141.2307692307692320118.48846153846154141.2307692307692330162.3730769230769141.2307692307692340206.2576923076923141.23076923076923511250.1423076923076772.0610294.02692307692378.293706293706370337.9115384615384141.2307692307692380381.79615384615386141.2307692307692390425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310030.71923076923076290.88111888111891574.60384615384615109.7622377622377621118.48846153846154134.9370629370629336162.3730769230769103.4685314685314743206.2576923076923122.3496503496503550250.142307692307672.769230769230773660294.02692307692315.3566433566433670337.9115384615384141.2307692307692386381.79615384615386103.4685314685314791425.6807692307692134.9370629370629310All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Dave 3-7 11th 98.02 0.478 24.62 3-10 12th
1 992 2021 Mike R. 2-8 10th 97.81 0.478 21.05 4-10 11th
2 984 2011 Derrek 6-4 5th 99.34 0.482 23.75 8-5 3rd 6th place
3 981 2022 Rabbit 5-5 9th 97.08 0.484 26.36 8-6 5th 5th place
4 978 2020 Rabbit 5-5 8th 100.10 0.473 22.61 6-7 10th
5 977 2013 Rob 6-4 5th 98.26 0.468 26.39 8-5 2nd 2nd place
6 974 2020 Derrek 5-5 9th 95.97 0.471 23.09 8-5 5th 5th place
7 974 2019 Ed 4-6 10th 100.79 0.472 23.23 5-8 11th
8 974 2012 Allen 4-6 7th 98.85 0.487 21.97 6-7 8th
9 973 2010 Matt 3-7 10th 97.49 0.466 23.79 5-8 9th
10 971 2024 Pat 5-5 7th 100.82 0.483 21.29 6-8 10th