2011 Dave (through 10 weeks)

3-7 (0.300), 980.17 points (98.02 average)

11th place

4.78 expected wins (0.478)

47-63 all-play record (0.427)

-2.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 95.82 71.61 Pulley 24.21
2 L 113.62 145.29 Mike R. -31.67
3 L 81.20 113.31 Kevin -32.11
4 L 114.74 119.40 Rabbit -4.66
5 L 92.26 108.41 Derrek -16.15
6 W 134.36 70.39 Pat 63.97 Team Blangums
7 W 122.26 70.65 Rob 51.61
8 L 46.33 108.65 Babel -62.32 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 105.61 118.08 Allen -12.47
10 L 73.97 75.87 Ed -1.90
11 Matt
12 Rob
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%46.32167832167832141.2307692307692300.0%110.65734265734265141.2307692307692310.0%174.993006993007141.23076923076923211.3%239.3286713286713116.347012796428430.0%303.6643356643357141.2307692307692340.0%367.99999999999994141.2307692307692350.0%432.33566433566426141.2307692307692360.0%496.67132867132864141.2307692307692370.0%561.006993006993141.2307692307692380.0%625.3426573426574141.2307692307692390.0%689.6783216783215141.23076923076923100.0%46.32167832167832141.2012875421876600.3%110.65734265734265140.548040512258512.7%174.993006993007135.3365982811421320.0%239.328671328671391.46325636208756325.4%303.664335664335785.04042975850858431.4%367.9999999999999472.0520.7%432.3356643356642695.427700682510167.0%496.67132867132864125.6822964202293571.1%561.006993006993138.8090430524532680.1%625.3426573426574141.0980619272949690.0%689.6783216783215141.2307692307692310Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th77.0025641025641191.8601398601399212th142.2589743589743298.1538461538461339th207.5153846153846218.43356643356645410th272.77179487179484245.00699300699356th338.0282051282051138.7132867132867563rd403.2846153846153458.99300699300701576th468.5410256410256138.7132867132867587th533.7974358974359165.286713286713399th599.053846153846218.43356643356645106th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th77.0025641025641165.2867132867133210th142.2589743589743245.006993006993311th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196411th272.77179487179484271.5804195804196510th338.0282051282051245.00699300699369th403.28461538461534218.43356643356645710th468.5410256410256245.006993006993811th533.7974358974359271.5804195804196911th599.053846153846271.5804195804196108th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th77.0025641025641191.8601398601399210th142.2589743589743245.00699300699339th207.5153846153846218.43356643356645410th272.77179487179484245.00699300699356th338.0282051282051138.7132867132867564th403.2846153846153485.5664335664335778th468.5410256410256191.860139860139988th533.7974358974359191.8601398601399910th599.053846153846245.00699300699310Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Michael Turner RB
2.07 19 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
3.06 30 Antonio Gates TE
4.07 43 Tim Hightower RB
5.06 54 Jeremy Maclin K WR
6.07 67 Josh Freeman QB
7.06 78 Plaxico Burress WR
8.07 91 Brandon Jacobs RB
9.06 102 Green Bay DEF
10.07 115 Mike Williams K WR
11.06 126 Devin Hester WR
12.07 139 Brent Celek TE
13.06 150 Ryan Torain RB
14.07 163 Stephen Gostkowski K
15.06 174 Darren Sproles RB
16.07 187 Cam Newton QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.40342.969230769230776110.0591015274609810.000104.35384615384616137.1728606638525320.000165.73846153846156137.1728606638525330.000227.12307692307695137.1728606638525340.000288.5076923076923137.1728606638525350.905349.8923076923076776.330928464933760.839411.27692307692380.7895114986685670.000472.6615384615384137.1728606638525380.000534.0461538461539137.1728606638525390.000595.4307692307691137.17286066385253100.00042.96923076923077682.9453423910694310.723104.3538461538461688.5810042267086320.177165.73846153846156125.2836376566826330.742227.1230769230769587.3401755402063340.333288.5076923076923114.7935577710609750.000349.8923076923076715.4889962660148860.000411.27692307692324.4061623334846027-0.030472.6615384615384139.2018149473108880.581534.046153846153998.0980724291571890.107595.4307692307691129.998670835812410Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910444.18076923076923116.0559440559440510107.29615384615383141.2307692307692320170.41153846153844141.2307692307692330233.52692307692305141.2307692307692340296.6423076923077141.23076923076923511359.757692307692372.0610422.873076923076978.293706293706370485.9884615384615141.2307692307692380549.1038461538462141.2307692307692390612.2192307692309141.2307692307692310044.1807692307692390.881118881118915107.29615384615383109.7622377622377621170.41153846153844134.9370629370629336233.52692307692305103.4685314685314743296.6423076923077122.3496503496503550359.75769230769232.769230769230773660422.873076923076915.3566433566433670485.9884615384615141.2307692307692386549.1038461538462103.4685314685314791612.2192307692309134.9370629370629310All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Dave 3-7 11th 98.02 0.478 24.62 3-10 12th
1 991 2021 Mike R. 2-8 10th 97.81 0.477 21.05 4-10 11th
2 988 2013 Rob 6-4 5th 98.26 0.475 26.39 8-5 2nd 2nd place
3 986 2022 Rabbit 5-5 9th 97.08 0.481 26.36 8-6 5th 5th place
4 983 2011 Derrek 6-4 5th 99.34 0.483 23.75 8-5 3rd 6th place
5 981 2020 Rabbit 5-5 8th 100.10 0.475 22.61 6-7 10th
6 979 2011 Kevin 4-6 9th 102.45 0.478 26.40 6-7 8th
7 977 2019 Ed 4-6 10th 100.79 0.474 23.23 5-8 11th
8 976 2024 Pat 5-5 7th 100.82 0.481 21.29 6-8 10th
9 974 2012 Allen 4-6 7th 98.85 0.487 21.97 6-7 8th
10 973 2020 Derrek 5-5 9th 95.97 0.470 23.09 8-5 5th 5th place