2011 Dave (through 10 weeks)

3-7 (0.300), 980.17 points (98.02 average)

11th place

4.78 expected wins (0.478)

47-63 all-play record (0.427)

-2.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 95.82 71.61 Pulley 24.21
2 L 113.62 145.29 Mike R. -31.67
3 L 81.20 113.31 Kevin -32.11
4 L 114.74 119.40 Rabbit -4.66
5 L 92.26 108.41 Derrek -16.15
6 W 134.36 70.39 Pat 63.97 Team Blangums
7 W 122.26 70.65 Rob 51.61
8 L 46.33 108.65 Babel -62.32 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 105.61 118.08 Allen -12.47
10 L 73.97 75.87 Ed -1.90
11 Matt
12 Rob
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.23076923076923211.3%174.29370629370626116.3470290387946930.0%221.14685314685315141.2307692307692340.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.201287674551900.3%80.5874125874126140.5480428538626812.7%127.44055944055944135.3366097038662620.0%174.2937062937062691.46328884682015325.4%221.1468531468531585.04042428457862431.4%268.071.99999999999999520.7%314.853146853146895.427754524504767.0%361.7062937062937125.6823470403963571.1%408.5594405594406138.8090578829899880.1%455.41258741258747141.0980632903211490.0%502.2657342657343141.2307692307692310Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th77.0025641025641191.8601398601399212th142.2589743589743298.1538461538461339th207.5153846153846218.43356643356645410th272.77179487179484245.00699300699356th338.0282051282051138.7132867132867563rd403.2846153846153458.99300699300701576th468.5410256410256138.7132867132867587th533.7974358974359165.286713286713399th599.053846153846218.43356643356645106th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th77.0025641025641165.2867132867133210th142.2589743589743245.006993006993311th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196411th272.77179487179484271.5804195804196510th338.0282051282051245.00699300699369th403.28461538461534218.43356643356645710th468.5410256410256245.006993006993811th533.7974358974359271.5804195804196911th599.053846153846271.5804195804196108th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th77.0025641025641191.8601398601399210th142.2589743589743245.00699300699339th207.5153846153846218.43356643356645410th272.77179487179484245.00699300699356th338.0282051282051138.7132867132867564th403.2846153846153485.5664335664335778th468.5410256410256191.860139860139988th533.7974358974359191.8601398601399910th599.053846153846245.00699300699310Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Michael Turner RB
2.07 19 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
3.06 30 Antonio Gates TE
4.07 43 Tim Hightower RB
5.06 54 Jeremy Maclin K WR
6.07 67 Josh Freeman QB
7.06 78 Plaxico Burress WR
8.07 91 Brandon Jacobs RB
9.06 102 Green Bay DEF
10.07 115 Mike Williams K WR
11.06 126 Devin Hester WR
12.07 139 Brent Celek TE
13.06 150 Ryan Torain RB
14.07 163 Stephen Gostkowski K
15.06 174 Darren Sproles RB
16.07 187 Cam Newton QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.40329.507692307692306110.059148019974810.00071.66153846153847137.1728307363257220.000113.8153846153846137.1728307363257230.000155.96923076923073137.1728307363257240.000198.12307692307692137.1728307363257250.905240.2769230769230576.3309198960772360.839282.430769230769280.7894445366495170.000324.58461538461535137.1728307363257280.000366.73846153846154137.1728307363257290.000408.89230769230767137.17283073632572100.00029.50769230769230682.9454653036238910.72371.6615384615384788.580958079329620.177113.8153846153846125.2836163191505230.742155.9692307692307387.3401268468890440.333198.12307692307692114.7935935008317650.000240.2769230769230515.48900905582874560.000282.430769230769224.4060583369732887-0.030324.58461538461535139.2017999835474680.581366.7384615384615498.098014170180990.107408.89230769230767129.9986902898859910Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910430.719230769230762116.055944055944051074.60384615384615141.2307692307692320118.48846153846154141.2307692307692330162.3730769230769141.2307692307692340206.2576923076923141.23076923076923511250.1423076923076772.0610294.02692307692378.293706293706370337.9115384615384141.2307692307692380381.79615384615386141.2307692307692390425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310030.71923076923076290.88111888111891574.60384615384615109.7622377622377621118.48846153846154134.9370629370629336162.3730769230769103.4685314685314743206.2576923076923122.3496503496503550250.142307692307672.769230769230773660294.02692307692315.3566433566433670337.9115384615384141.2307692307692386381.79615384615386103.4685314685314791425.6807692307692134.9370629370629310All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Dave 3-7 11th 98.02 0.478 24.62 3-10 12th
1 991 2021 Mike R. 2-8 10th 97.81 0.477 21.05 4-10 11th
2 988 2013 Rob 6-4 5th 98.26 0.475 26.39 8-5 2nd 2nd place
3 986 2022 Rabbit 5-5 9th 97.08 0.481 26.36 8-6 5th 5th place
4 983 2011 Derrek 6-4 5th 99.34 0.483 23.75 8-5 3rd 6th place
5 981 2020 Rabbit 5-5 8th 100.10 0.475 22.61 6-7 10th
6 979 2011 Kevin 4-6 9th 102.45 0.478 26.40 6-7 8th
7 977 2019 Ed 4-6 10th 100.79 0.474 23.23 5-8 11th
8 977 2024 Pat 5-5 7th 100.82 0.481 21.29 6-8 10th
9 974 2012 Allen 4-6 7th 98.85 0.487 21.97 6-7 8th
10 973 2020 Derrek 5-5 9th 95.97 0.470 23.09 8-5 5th 5th place