2009 Dave (through 7 weeks)

4-3 (0.571), 620.09 points

5th place

2.51 expected wins (0.359)

23-54 all-play record (0.299)

-9.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 68.30 111.69 Rabbit -43.39 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 91.68 84.13 Kevin 7.55
3 W 95.08 42.13 Pulley 52.95
4 W 91.72 87.73 Pat 3.99
5 L 93.77 115.14 Mike R. -21.37
6 W 96.50 96.12 Derrek 0.38
7 L 83.04 100.36 Babel -17.32
8 Rob
9 Ed
10 Allen
11 Matt
12 Rabbit
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.2307692307692320.0%235.78846153846152141.23076923076923315.4%300.2115384615385105.7092172745123840.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692373.9%42.519230769230774132.11390288107873016.9%106.9423076923077102.24521734123947130.0%171.365384615384671.99999999999999228.4%235.7884615384615275.5577697598101630.0%300.211538461538570.1876653182555444.7%364.6346153846155130.4852544480956750.7%429.0576923076924139.6063694152339660.0%493.4807692307693141.143360295333377Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th109.6307692307692271.5804195804196211th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196311th305.4271.5804195804196411th403.28461538461534271.5804195804196511th501.16923076923075271.5804195804196611th599.053846153846271.5804195804196712th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th109.6307692307692245.00699300699326th207.5153846153846138.7132867132867534th305.485.5664335664335746th403.28461538461534138.7132867132867553rd501.1692307692307558.99300699300701565th599.053846153846112.13986013986016712th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th109.6307692307692271.5804195804196211th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196311th305.4271.5804195804196411th403.28461538461534271.5804195804196511th501.16923076923075271.5804195804196610th599.053846153846245.0069930069937Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Larry Fitzgerald WR
2.11 23 Dwayne Bowe WR
3.02 26 Julius Jones RB
4.11 47 Greg Olsen TE
5.02 50 Lee Evans WR
6.11 71 Felix Jones RB
7.02 74 Donald Driver WR
8.11 95 Tim Hightower RB
9.02 98 Matt Forte K RB
10.11 119 Philip Rivers K QB
11.02 122 Chicago DEF
12.11 143 Michael Crabtree WR
13.02 146 Chester Taylor RB
14.11 167 Joey Galloway WR
15.02 170 Adam Vinatieri K
16.11 191 Brandon Jackson RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934141.2307692307692310.39398.76043956043955114.0544778596321620.456158.98021978021976109.6792568888760730.394219.19999999999996113.9294715461819940.000279.4197802197802141.2307692307692350.478339.6395604395604108.1337242862193660.000399.8593406593406141.2307692307692370.09938.54065934065934134.3623216901286510.00098.7604395604395586.8781864884950920.000158.9802197802197678.127744546982930.000219.1999999999999686.6281738615947540.432279.4197802197802111.3157031740419750.000339.639560439560475.036679341669560.262399.8593406593406123.111753479612967Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567040.12307692307692141.2307692307692314102.8153846153846116.0559440559440524165.50769230769228116.0559440559440535228.19999999999996109.7622377622377640290.8923076923077141.2307692307692353353.5846153846154122.3496503496503560416.2769230769231141.230769230769237040.12307692307692141.2307692307692310102.815384615384690.881118881118920165.5076923076922890.881118881118930228.1999999999999678.2937062937063144290.8923076923077116.0559440559440550353.5846153846154103.4685314685314763416.2769230769231122.349650349650357All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Dave 4-3 5th 88.58 0.359 9.21 5-8 11th
1 990 2014 Pat 3-4 10th 88.41 0.359 13.55 5-8 11th
2 980 2014 Allen 3-4 11th 88.26 0.363 14.50 6-7 10th
3 975 2009 Ed 3-4 10th 88.54 0.367 13.55 7-6 4th 6th place
4 972 2015 Kevin 2-5 12th 87.04 0.364 15.35 3-10 14th
5 971 2016 Derrek 2-5 13th 89.89 0.356 18.05 3-10 14th
6 966 2013 Richie 4-3 7th 88.39 0.362 22.75 6-7 10th
7 964 2017 Pat 1-6 14th 83.41 0.355 12.79 6-7 7th
8 958 2019 Rob 3-4 11th 91.72 0.367 16.03 5-8 13th
9 949 2019 Richie 3-4 12th 91.50 0.348 17.39 5-8 12th
10 944 2016 Babel 3-4 11th 91.88 0.370 20.13 7-6 6th 6th place