2009 Dave (through 7 weeks)

4-3 (0.571), 620.09 points (88.58 average)

5th place

2.44 expected wins (0.348)

23-54 all-play record (0.299)

-9.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 68.30 111.69 Rabbit -43.39 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 91.68 84.13 Kevin 7.55
3 W 95.08 42.13 Pulley 52.95
4 W 91.72 87.73 Pat 3.99
5 L 93.77 115.14 Mike R. -21.37
6 W 96.50 96.12 Derrek 0.38
7 L 83.04 100.36 Babel -17.32
8 Rob
9 Ed
10 Allen
11 Matt
12 Rabbit
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.2307692307692320.0%235.78846153846152141.23076923076923314.2%300.2115384615385109.2505870836404540.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692374.4%42.519230769230774131.33077925367036018.1%106.9423076923077100.52081328138438130.8%171.365384615384672.0227.8%235.7884615384615278.6785204063610630.0%300.211538461538577.270404936511744.0%364.6346153846155132.1962125815968250.6%429.0576923076924139.9832364335675360.0%493.4807692307693141.172577593481357Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th109.6307692307692271.5804195804196211th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196311th305.4271.5804195804196411th403.28461538461534271.5804195804196511th501.16923076923075271.5804195804196611th599.053846153846271.5804195804196712th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th109.6307692307692245.00699300699326th207.5153846153846138.7132867132867534th305.485.5664335664335746th403.28461538461534138.7132867132867553rd501.1692307692307558.99300699300701565th599.053846153846112.13986013986016712th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th109.6307692307692271.5804195804196211th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196311th305.4271.5804195804196411th403.28461538461534271.5804195804196511th501.16923076923075271.5804195804196610th599.053846153846245.0069930069937Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Larry Fitzgerald WR
2.11 23 Dwayne Bowe WR
3.02 26 Julius Jones RB
4.11 47 Greg Olsen TE
5.02 50 Lee Evans WR
6.11 71 Felix Jones RB
7.02 74 Donald Driver WR
8.11 95 Tim Hightower RB
9.02 98 Matt Forte K RB
10.11 119 Philip Rivers K QB
11.02 122 Chicago DEF
12.11 143 Michael Crabtree WR
13.02 146 Chester Taylor RB
14.11 167 Joey Galloway WR
15.02 170 Adam Vinatieri K
16.11 191 Brandon Jackson RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934141.2307692307692310.38398.76043956043955114.7297137730278520.450158.98021978021976110.1058532878808230.386219.19999999999996114.4948653967229140.000279.4197802197802141.2307692307692350.479339.6395604395604108.0458066409943360.000399.8593406593406141.2307692307692370.08138.54065934065934135.6351730123001910.00098.7604395604395588.2286583152864820.000158.9802197802197678.9809373449924130.000219.1999999999999687.758961562676640.419279.4197802197802112.209391164231450.000339.639560439560474.8608440512194460.240399.8593406593406124.621378824369167Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567040.12307692307692141.2307692307692314102.8153846153846116.0559440559440524165.50769230769228116.0559440559440535228.19999999999996109.7622377622377640290.8923076923077141.2307692307692353353.5846153846154122.3496503496503560416.2769230769231141.230769230769237040.12307692307692141.2307692307692310102.815384615384690.881118881118920165.5076923076922890.881118881118930228.1999999999999678.2937062937063144290.8923076923077116.0559440559440550353.5846153846154103.4685314685314763416.2769230769231122.349650349650357All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Dave 4-3 5th 88.58 0.348 9.21 5-8 11th
1 977 2009 Ed 3-4 10th 88.54 0.355 13.55 7-6 4th 6th place
2 972 2019 Richie 3-4 12th 91.50 0.348 17.39 5-8 12th
3 962 2016 Derrek 2-5 13th 89.89 0.356 18.05 3-10 14th
4 959 2013 Derrek 4-3 8th 87.58 0.341 20.03 7-6 7th
5 957 2014 Pat 3-4 10th 88.41 0.365 13.55 5-8 11th
6 957 2024 Derrek 2-5 13th 87.41 0.342 21.73 4-10 14th
7 956 2014 Allen 3-4 11th 88.26 0.364 14.50 6-7 10th
8 956 2017 Pat 1-6 14th 83.41 0.356 12.79 6-7 7th
9 946 2015 Pat 2-5 13th 82.46 0.350 21.95 6-7 9th
10 946 2017 Mike R. 3-4 11th 82.11 0.338 12.82 3-10 14th