2016 Matt (through 8 weeks)

3-5 (0.375), 806.00 points

11th place

4.07 expected wins (0.509)

54-50 all-play record (0.519)

+7.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 76.63 119.84 Pulley -43.21
2 W 139.75 75.70 Richie 64.05 Team Blangums
3 L 69.92 135.90 Dave -65.98
4 W 142.08 109.53 Schertz 32.55 Team Blangums
5 W 109.18 71.45 Pat 37.73
6 L 92.83 94.89 Ed -2.06
7 L 129.83 133.02 Babel -3.19
8 L 45.78 86.58 Rabbit -40.80 Slapped Heartbeat
9 Allen
10 Kevin
11 Rob
12 Derrek
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.23076923076923221.5%210.73504273504273106.5918096405995930.0%268.0141.2307692307692340.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.0%38.940170940170944141.223759988915500.2%96.20512820512818140.8910968546104513.5%153.47008547008548135.673791030335520.0%210.7350427350427371.95285005042996343.1%268.072.0426.6%325.264957264957398.5276246942509954.9%382.52991452991455133.338694519017860.3%439.79487179487177140.818015070780670.0%497.05982905982904141.230769230769238Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th95.64725274725272163.24260355029585211th179.54835164835166230.69822485207139th263.44945054945055185.727810650887647th347.3505494505494140.7573964497041557th431.2516483516483140.7573964497041566th515.1527472527472118.2721893491124178th599.053846153846163.24260355029585813th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th95.64725274725272140.75739644970415210th179.54835164835166208.213017751479338th263.44945054945055163.2426035502958547th347.3505494505494140.7573964497041557th431.2516483516483140.7573964497041568th515.1527472527472163.24260355029585711th599.053846153846230.698224852071813th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th95.64725274725272140.75739644970415211th179.54835164835166230.69822485207136th263.44945054945055118.2721893491124147th347.3505494505494140.7573964497041557th431.2516483516483140.7573964497041565th515.152747252747295.786982248520777th599.053846153846140.757396449704158Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Julio Jones K WR
2.05 19 Mark Ingram II RB
3.10 38 Greg Olsen TE
4.05 47 Cam Newton K QB
5.10 66 Giovani Bernard RB
6.05 75 Torrey Smith WR
7.10 94 Tavon Austin WR
8.05 103 Michael Thomas WR
9.10 122 Derrick Henry RB
10.05 131 C.J. Prosise RB
11.10 150 Robert Woods WR
12.05 159 Marcus Mariota QB
13.10 178 Will Tye TE
14.05 187 Will Fuller V WR
15.10 206 Pittsburgh DEF
16.05 215 Chris Boswell K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076140.1347506085636810.94587.4692307692307675.2244368576862320.000140.16153846153844140.1347506085636830.952192.8538461538461874.7734666678000440.669245.5461538461538694.199007597147650.000298.2384615384615140.1347506085636860.000350.93076923076916140.1347506085636870.000403.6230769230769140.1347506085636880.14934.776923076923076129.9045723813865710.00087.4692307692307610.31412310680877920.083140.16153846153844134.4593712992370630.000192.853846153846189.41218272703639540.000245.5461538461538648.2632645857315250.387298.2384615384615113.5681772527593860.896350.9307692307691678.561616262844017-0.008403.6230769230769140.682759919666478Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678036.20480769230769141.2307692307692311391.0605769230769272.020145.91634615384615141.23076923076923313200.7721153846153872.048255.627884615384698.6272189349112450310.48365384615386141.2307692307692360365.3394230769231141.2307692307692370420.1951923076923141.230769230769238136.20480769230769135.905325443786981091.060576923076922.769230769230773621145.91634615384615135.9053254437869830200.772115384615382.769230769230773640255.627884615384656.0236686390532456310.48365384615386109.27810650887574612365.339423076923177.3254437869822570420.1951923076923141.230769230769238All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Matt 3-5 11th 100.75 0.509 33.10 5-8 10th
1 980 2011 Dave 3-5 10th 100.07 0.511 25.96 3-10 12th
2 979 2022 Rabbit 5-3 3rd 99.83 0.513 28.07 8-6 5th 5th place
3 974 2011 Kevin 4-4 6th 104.56 0.511 29.13 6-7 8th
4 968 2023 Dave 4-4 7th 102.73 0.507 22.91 6-8 10th
5 962 2013 Kevin 3-5 12th 95.63 0.504 37.13 6-7 8th
6 960 2023 Pat 3-5 10th 99.89 0.503 20.45 5-9 11th
7 957 2011 Ed 5-3 4th 101.16 0.504 17.06 9-4 1st 3rd place
8 955 2020 Rabbit 4-4 6th 103.79 0.502 23.84 6-7 10th
9 955 2012 Allen 3-5 7th 101.75 0.520 23.52 6-7 8th
10 954 2024 Richie 4-4 6th 105.04 0.499 28.33 8-6 5th