2016 Matt (through 8 weeks)

3-5 (0.375), 806.00 points (100.75 average)

11th place

4.07 expected wins (0.508)

54-50 all-play record (0.519)

+7.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 76.63 119.84 Pulley -43.21
2 W 139.75 75.70 Richie 64.05 Team Blangums
3 L 69.92 135.90 Dave -65.98
4 W 142.08 109.53 Schertz 32.55 Team Blangums
5 W 109.18 71.45 Pat 37.73
6 L 92.83 94.89 Ed -2.06
7 L 129.83 133.02 Babel -3.19
8 L 45.78 86.58 Rabbit -40.80 Slapped Heartbeat
9 Allen
10 Kevin
11 Rob
12 Derrek
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.23076923076923221.6%210.73504273504273106.1550306721346730.0%268.0141.2307692307692340.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.0%38.940170940170944141.2226035856153300.2%96.20512820512818140.851457647441413.6%153.47008547008548135.312061293035420.0%210.7350427350427371.07929211350012342.6%268.072.0426.6%325.264957264957397.9539873617611155.1%382.52991452991455132.9146447206485760.3%439.79487179487177140.789850575729570.0%497.05982905982904141.230769230769238Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th95.64725274725272163.24260355029585211th179.54835164835166230.69822485207139th263.44945054945055185.727810650887647th347.3505494505494140.7573964497041557th431.2516483516483140.7573964497041566th515.1527472527472118.2721893491124178th599.053846153846163.24260355029585813th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th95.64725274725272140.75739644970415210th179.54835164835166208.213017751479338th263.44945054945055163.2426035502958547th347.3505494505494140.7573964497041557th431.2516483516483140.7573964497041568th515.1527472527472163.24260355029585711th599.053846153846230.698224852071813th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th95.64725274725272140.75739644970415211th179.54835164835166230.69822485207136th263.44945054945055118.2721893491124147th347.3505494505494140.7573964497041557th431.2516483516483140.7573964497041565th515.152747252747295.786982248520777th599.053846153846140.757396449704158Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Julio Jones K WR
2.05 19 Mark Ingram II RB
3.10 38 Greg Olsen TE
4.05 47 Cam Newton K QB
5.10 66 Giovani Bernard RB
6.05 75 Torrey Smith WR
7.10 94 Tavon Austin WR
8.05 103 Michael Thomas WR
9.10 122 Derrick Henry RB
10.05 131 C.J. Prosise RB
11.10 150 Robert Woods WR
12.05 159 Marcus Mariota QB
13.10 178 Will Tye TE
14.05 187 Will Fuller V WR
15.10 206 Pittsburgh DEF
16.05 215 Chris Boswell K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076139.217175600283210.94487.4692307692307674.8420121811820.000140.16153846153844139.217175600283230.950192.8538461538461874.38680023009140.670245.5461538461538693.4772820540172550.000298.2384615384615139.217175600283260.000350.93076923076916139.217175600283270.000403.6230769230769139.217175600283280.16334.776923076923076128.1018104585931810.00087.4692307692307610.4668487620767820.081140.16153846153844133.721644545826530.000192.853846153846189.55642485989878340.000245.5461538461538647.73738850775130550.388298.2384615384615112.7181945227059760.885350.9307692307691678.861499409148857-0.015403.6230769230769140.223972415526228Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678036.20480769230769141.2307692307692311391.0605769230769272.020145.91634615384615141.23076923076923313200.7721153846153872.048255.627884615384698.6272189349112450310.48365384615386141.2307692307692360365.3394230769231141.2307692307692370420.1951923076923141.230769230769238136.20480769230769135.905325443786981091.060576923076922.769230769230773621145.91634615384615135.9053254437869830200.772115384615382.769230769230773640255.627884615384656.0236686390532456310.48365384615386109.27810650887574612365.339423076923177.3254437869822570420.1951923076923141.230769230769238All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Matt 3-5 11th 100.75 0.508 33.10 5-8 10th
1 981 2022 Rabbit 5-3 3rd 99.83 0.511 28.07 8-6 5th 5th place
2 978 2011 Dave 3-5 10th 100.07 0.511 25.96 3-10 12th
3 970 2011 Kevin 4-4 6th 104.56 0.505 29.13 6-7 8th
4 966 2023 Pat 3-5 10th 99.89 0.505 20.45 5-9 11th
5 962 2023 Dave 4-4 7th 102.73 0.504 22.91 6-8 10th
6 961 2024 Richie 4-4 6th 105.04 0.502 28.33 8-6 5th 5th place
7 958 2020 Rabbit 4-4 6th 103.79 0.503 23.84 6-7 10th
8 956 2013 Mike R. 5-3 4th 98.02 0.516 24.10 7-6 6th 5th place
9 955 2012 Allen 3-5 7th 101.75 0.519 23.52 6-7 8th
10 955 2019 Pat 4-4 8th 103.21 0.508 15.66 6-7 9th