2010 Derrek (through 8 weeks)

5-3 (0.625), 760.57 points

4th place

4.13 expected wins (0.517)

46-42 all-play record (0.523)

-15.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 88.82 82.53 Matt 6.29
2 W 101.51 85.30 Rob 16.21
3 W 85.65 84.48 Kevin 1.17
4 W 128.72 90.03 Ed 38.69
5 L 83.68 104.34 Rabbit -20.66
6 W 104.37 69.62 Mike R. 34.75
7 L 104.37 107.09 Babel -2.72
8 L 63.45 87.14 Pulley -23.69
9 Dave
10 Allen
11 Pat
12 Rob
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.2307692307692330.0%268.0141.23076923076923425.1%325.264957264957386.1576571941516550.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.0%38.940170940170944141.17114267518701.1%96.20512820512818138.7432545619562317.6%153.47008547008548124.64530425360087221.5%210.7350427350427394.05221549041016331.6%268.072.040.0%325.264957264957331.084545157534066510.7%382.52991452991455117.8655815521232762.2%439.79487179487177136.4725589148956770.2%497.05982905982904140.90108267367818Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845165.286713286713318th95.64725274725272191.860139860139927th179.54835164835166165.286713286713334th263.4494505494505585.5664335664335745th347.3505494505494112.1398601398601654th431.251648351648385.5664335664335764th515.152747252747285.5664335664335775th599.053846153846112.1398601398601686th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867514th95.6472527472527285.5664335664335722nd179.5483516483516632.4195804195804331st263.449450549450555.84615384615386843rd347.350549450549458.99300699300701552nd431.251648351648332.4195804195804363rd515.152747252747258.99300699300701574th599.05384615384685.5664335664335787th11.746153846153845165.286713286713318th95.64725274725272191.860139860139927th179.54835164835166165.286713286713336th263.44945054945055138.7132867132867547th347.3505494505494165.286713286713355th431.2516483516483112.1398601398601665th515.1527472527472112.1398601398601676th599.053846153846138.713286713286758Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Drew Brees QB
2.03 15 Ryan Grant RB
3.10 34 Chad Ochocinco WR
4.03 39 Donald Driver WR
5.10 58 Kellen Winslow II TE
6.03 63 Brandon Jacobs RB
7.10 82 Braylon Edwards WR
8.03 87 Bernard Berrian WR
9.10 106 Rashard Mendenhall K RB
10.03 111 Darren McFadden RB
11.10 130 Sidney Rice K WR
12.03 135 Willis McGahee RB
13.10 154 Chad Henne QB
14.03 159 Kevin Smith RB
15.10 178 Matt Prater K
16.03 183 Denver DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.40734.776923076923076113.0346245391181410.61787.4692307692307698.5225279685842720.360140.16153846153844116.3075171094499830.972192.8538461538461873.9644694807818640.000245.54615384615386141.2307692307692350.666298.238461538461595.090536453861360.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.000403.6230769230769141.2307692307692380.00034.77692307692307684.8384798474670410.00087.4692307692307655.81428670639931520.000140.1615384615384491.3842649881307130.000192.853846153846186.6981697307944940.328245.54615384615386118.557630751553150.000298.238461538461548.9503036769533860.666350.9307692307691695.090536453861370.118403.6230769230769133.081091532400628Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678536.20480769230769109.762237762237761791.0605769230769297.1748251748251725145.91634615384615109.76223776223776310200.7721153846153878.293706293706340255.6278846153846141.2307692307692358310.4836538461538690.8811188811188860365.3394230769231141.2307692307692370420.1951923076923141.230769230769238036.2048076923076978.293706293706311091.0605769230769253.1188811188811220145.9163461538461578.2937062937063130200.7721153846153815.3566433566433643255.6278846153846122.3496503496503550310.4836538461538640.5314685314685366365.3394230769231103.4685314685314772420.1951923076923128.643356643356648All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2010 Derrek 5-3 4th 95.07 0.517 18.04 7-6 5th 3rd place
1 980 2009 Rob 4-4 6th 98.45 0.520 17.62 8-5 3rd 4th place
2 970 2010 Babel 4-4 6th 97.18 0.523 22.22 8-5 3rd 6th place
3 969 2012 Rob 2-6 12th 98.15 0.522 14.36 3-10 13th
4 967 2009 Allen 3-5 9th 96.99 0.508 14.79 6-7 7th
5 967 2013 Mike R. 5-3 4th 98.02 0.521 24.10 7-6 6th 5th place
6 964 2017 Schertz 3-5 9th 93.67 0.503 16.54 5-8 10th
7 964 2017 Ed 3-5 8th 95.19 0.501 20.17 4-9 13th
8 964 2008 Ed 4-4 7th 92.62 0.507 14.62 6-7 6th 3rd place
9 962 2017 Kevin 5-3 5th 94.00 0.532 19.51 10-3 2nd 4th place
10 962 2008 Rob 5-3 4th 94.95 0.532 14.00 9-4 2nd 2nd place