2010 Derrek (through 8 weeks)

5-3 (0.625), 760.57 points (95.07 average)

4th place

4.16 expected wins (0.520)

46-42 all-play record (0.523)

-15.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 88.82 82.53 Matt 6.29
2 W 101.51 85.30 Rob 16.21
3 W 85.65 84.48 Kevin 1.17
4 W 128.72 90.03 Ed 38.69
5 L 83.68 104.34 Rabbit -20.66
6 W 104.37 69.62 Mike R. 34.75
7 L 104.37 107.09 Babel -2.72
8 L 63.45 87.14 Pulley -23.69
9 Dave
10 Allen
11 Pat
12 Rob
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.2307692307692330.0%268.0141.23076923076923425.7%325.264957264957385.5466935707439150.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.0%38.940170940170944141.2047290700224401.0%96.20512820512818139.1168185832192717.1%153.47008547008548125.82136499695929221.2%210.7350427350427395.29988325257933331.9%268.072.040.0%325.264957264957329.862617910718583510.9%382.52991452991455117.6265266477170762.2%439.79487179487177136.4747559973906470.1%497.05982905982904140.90856654677358Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845165.286713286713318th95.64725274725272191.860139860139927th179.54835164835166165.286713286713334th263.4494505494505585.5664335664335745th347.3505494505494112.1398601398601654th431.251648351648385.5664335664335764th515.152747252747285.5664335664335775th599.053846153846112.1398601398601686th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867514th95.6472527472527285.5664335664335722nd179.5483516483516632.4195804195804331st263.449450549450555.84615384615386843rd347.350549450549458.99300699300701552nd431.251648351648332.4195804195804363rd515.152747252747258.99300699300701574th599.05384615384685.5664335664335787th11.746153846153845165.286713286713318th95.64725274725272191.860139860139927th179.54835164835166165.286713286713336th263.44945054945055138.7132867132867547th347.3505494505494165.286713286713355th431.2516483516483112.1398601398601665th515.1527472527472112.1398601398601676th599.053846153846138.713286713286758Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Drew Brees QB
2.03 15 Ryan Grant RB
3.10 34 Chad Ochocinco WR
4.03 39 Donald Driver WR
5.10 58 Kellen Winslow II TE
6.03 63 Brandon Jacobs RB
7.10 82 Braylon Edwards WR
8.03 87 Bernard Berrian WR
9.10 106 Rashard Mendenhall K RB
10.03 111 Darren McFadden RB
11.10 130 Sidney Rice K WR
12.03 135 Willis McGahee RB
13.10 154 Chad Henne QB
14.03 159 Kevin Smith RB
15.10 178 Matt Prater K
16.03 183 Denver DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.39934.776923076923076113.6074459224870510.62387.4692307692307698.0674442985715320.360140.16153846153844116.336054202663230.987192.8538461538461872.9299776399323740.000245.54615384615386141.2307692307692350.680298.238461538461594.1229260820590560.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.000403.6230769230769141.2307692307692380.00034.77692307692307685.9841226142048610.00087.4692307692307654.9041193663738220.000140.1615384615384491.441339174557230.000192.853846153846184.62918604909552340.319245.54615384615386119.1453675154096750.000298.238461538461547.0150829333488960.680350.9307692307691694.1229260820590570.114403.6230769230769133.347761138001948Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678536.20480769230769109.762237762237761791.0605769230769297.1748251748251725145.91634615384615109.76223776223776310200.7721153846153878.293706293706340255.6278846153846141.2307692307692358310.4836538461538690.8811188811188860365.3394230769231141.2307692307692370420.1951923076923141.230769230769238036.2048076923076978.293706293706311091.0605769230769253.1188811188811220145.9163461538461578.2937062937063130200.7721153846153815.3566433566433643255.6278846153846122.3496503496503550310.4836538461538640.5314685314685366365.3394230769231103.4685314685314772420.1951923076923128.643356643356648All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2010 Derrek 5-3 4th 95.07 0.520 18.04 7-6 5th 3rd place
1 980 2009 Rob 4-4 6th 98.45 0.523 17.62 8-5 3rd 4th place
2 977 2010 Babel 4-4 6th 97.18 0.523 22.22 8-5 3rd 6th place
3 974 2016 Ed 4-4 7th 100.49 0.520 16.57 6-7 9th
4 972 2012 Rob 2-6 12th 98.15 0.525 14.36 3-10 13th
5 970 2017 Kevin 5-3 5th 94.00 0.532 19.51 10-3 2nd 4th place
6 968 2009 Allen 3-5 9th 96.99 0.512 14.79 6-7 7th
7 968 2013 Mike R. 5-3 4th 98.02 0.516 24.10 7-6 6th 5th place
8 960 2012 Allen 3-5 7th 101.75 0.519 23.52 6-7 8th
9 958 2017 Ed 3-5 8th 95.19 0.502 20.17 4-9 13th
10 957 2008 Ed 4-4 7th 92.62 0.507 14.62 6-7 6th 3rd place