2009 Rob (through 8 weeks)

4-4 (0.500), 787.56 points

6th place

4.16 expected wins (0.520)

47-41 all-play record (0.534)

+22.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 74.36 103.24 Babel -28.88
2 W 115.60 86.69 Pulley 28.91 Team Blangums
3 W 104.58 93.65 Ed 10.93
4 W 118.20 101.62 Allen 16.58
5 L 81.24 95.19 Matt -13.95
6 L 96.75 116.11 Rabbit -19.36
7 W 119.43 118.61 Kevin 0.82
8 L 77.40 121.28 Dave -43.88
9 Pat
10 Mike R.
11 Derrek
12 Babel
13 Pulley

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.23076923076923333.3%268.072.040.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.1%38.940170940170944141.1164295326824701.0%96.20512820512818139.222943808759516.5%153.47008547008548127.77053724036028220.8%210.7350427350427398.0198212771652530.0%268.02.7692307692307736426.5%325.264957264957386.16490911557605510.1%382.52991452991455120.1795732442935961.8%439.79487179487177137.5069752842015370.1%497.05982905982904140.986002153065078Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845271.580419580419618th95.64725274725272191.860139860139927th179.54835164835166165.286713286713332nd263.4494505494505532.4195804195804346th347.3505494505494138.7132867132867558th431.2516483516483191.860139860139965th515.1527472527472112.1398601398601675th599.053846153846112.13986013986016811th11.746153846153845271.580419580419619th95.64725274725272218.4335664335664525th179.54835164835166112.1398601398601632nd263.4494505494505532.4195804195804344th347.350549450549485.5664335664335757th431.2516483516483165.286713286713363rd515.152747252747258.99300699300701576th599.053846153846138.71328671328675811th11.746153846153845271.580419580419619th95.64725274725272218.4335664335664527th179.54835164835166165.286713286713332nd263.4494505494505532.4195804195804346th347.3505494505494138.7132867132867558th431.2516483516483191.860139860139965th515.1527472527472112.1398601398601676th599.053846153846138.713286713286758Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Ronnie Brown RB
2.02 14 Andre Johnson K WR
3.11 35 DeSean Jackson WR
4.02 38 Donovan McNabb QB
5.11 59 Derrick Ward RB
6.02 62 Chris Cooley TE
7.11 83 Donnie Avery WR
8.02 86 Laveranues Coles WR
9.11 107 Fred Jackson RB
10.02 110 Steve Slaton K RB
11.11 131 Justin Gage WR
12.02 134 Joe Flacco QB
13.11 155 Correll Buckhalter RB
14.02 158 Garrett Hartley K
15.11 179 Mario Manningham WR
16.02 182 New Orleans DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076141.2307692307692310.79887.4692307692307686.0171615359361720.617140.1615384615384498.4837002500126230.827192.8538461538461883.9716036794787640.000245.54615384615386141.2307692307692350.000298.2384615384615141.2307692307692360.847350.9307692307691682.5624416005858870.000403.6230769230769141.2307692307692380.15634.776923076923076130.4625880726299310.00087.4692307692307630.80355384110309620.000140.1615384615384455.7366312692560130.000192.8538461538461826.71243812818829640.237245.54615384615386124.8486681776857450.484298.2384615384615107.7000748143845860.000350.9307692307691623.89411397040254370.191403.6230769230769127.99655443456748Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678036.20480769230769141.2307692307692311191.0605769230769272.028145.9163461538461590.88111888111888310200.7721153846153878.293706293706340255.6278846153846141.2307692307692350310.48365384615386141.23076923076923610365.339423076923178.293706293706370420.1951923076923141.230769230769238136.20480769230769134.937062937062931091.060576923076922.769230769230773620145.9163461538461540.5314685314685330200.7721153846153815.3566433566433642255.6278846153846128.6433566433566454310.48365384615386116.0559440559440560365.339423076923115.3566433566433671420.1951923076923134.937062937062938All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Rob 4-4 6th 98.45 0.520 17.62 8-5 3rd 4th place
1 987 2012 Rob 2-6 12th 98.15 0.522 14.36 3-10 13th
2 982 2013 Mike R. 5-3 4th 98.02 0.521 24.10 7-6 6th 5th place
3 981 2016 Ed 4-4 7th 100.49 0.524 16.57 6-7 9th
4 980 2010 Derrek 5-3 4th 95.07 0.517 18.04 7-6 5th 3rd place
5 978 2010 Babel 4-4 6th 97.18 0.523 22.22 8-5 3rd 6th place
6 974 2012 Allen 3-5 7th 101.75 0.520 23.52 6-7 8th
7 964 2009 Allen 3-5 9th 96.99 0.508 14.79 6-7 7th
8 961 2013 Dave 3-5 11th 100.42 0.530 23.00 7-6 5th 4th place
9 961 2019 Pat 4-4 8th 103.21 0.512 15.66 6-7 9th
10 960 2022 Rabbit 5-3 3rd 99.83 0.513 28.07 8-6 5th 5th place