2019 Kevin (through 12 weeks)

6-6 (0.500), 1,232.37 points

7th place

5.69 expected wins (0.474)

77-79 all-play record (0.494)

+14.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 121.30 111.03 Derrek 10.27
2 L 75.97 87.25 Pat -11.28
3 W 181.71 119.30 Scott 62.41 Team Blangums
4 L 93.76 119.19 Matt -25.43
5 W 86.28 83.38 Rob 2.90
6 L 71.94 121.13 Rabbit -49.19
7 W 97.47 87.98 Ed 9.49
8 L 102.05 144.54 Mike R. -42.49
9 W 113.50 85.70 Richie 27.80
10 L 98.04 126.27 Schertz -28.23
11 W 127.07 109.93 Babel 17.14
12 L 63.28 83.53 Pulley -20.25
13 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.23076923076923527.9%268.071.9999999999999960.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.2282294253435600.1%69.77514792899409141.1022531889781810.7%109.42011834319527139.473438406178924.3%149.06508875739644130.47617354171177314.0%188.71005917159763106.61470055521974425.6%228.3550295857988377.804935108001350.0%268.02.769230769230745618.4%307.6449704142011795.5640335093249377.2%347.28994082840245123.3458644330182881.6%386.93491124260356137.2964708335602890.2%426.5798816568048140.79338657581798100.0%466.2248520710059141.2102146459351110.0%505.8698224852071141.2305351797179512Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520719th65.13776223776223185.727810650887624th118.5293706293706273.3017751479289934th171.9209790209790273.3017751479289948th225.3125874125874163.24260355029585510th278.7041958041958208.213017751479368th332.09580419580413163.24260355029585710th385.4874125874125208.213017751479387th438.87902097902094140.7573964497041597th492.27062937062936140.75739644970415105th545.662237762237795.7869822485207119th599.053846153846185.7278106508876125th11.74615384615384595.786982248520719th65.13776223776223185.727810650887623rd118.5293706293706250.81656804733728435th171.9209790209790295.786982248520744th225.312587412587473.3017751479289957th278.7041958041958140.7573964497041565th332.0958041958041395.786982248520777th385.4874125874125140.7573964497041586th438.87902097902094118.2721893491124197th492.27062937062936140.75739644970415106th545.6622377622377118.27218934911241117th599.053846153846140.75739644970415125th11.74615384615384595.786982248520719th65.13776223776223185.727810650887623rd118.5293706293706250.81656804733728434th171.9209790209790273.3017751479289944th225.312587412587473.3017751479289957th278.7041958041958140.7573964497041565th332.0958041958041395.786982248520775th385.487412587412595.786982248520785th438.8790209790209495.786982248520795th492.2706293706293695.7869822485207105th545.662237762237795.7869822485207115th599.05384615384695.786982248520712Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Mike Evans WR
2.03 17 Keenan Allen WR
3.12 40 Matt Ryan QB
4.03 45 Hunter Henry TE
5.12 68 Marvin Jones, Jr. WR
6.03 73 Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR
7.12 96 Matt Breida RB
8.03 101 Marlon Mack K RB
9.12 124 Jamison Crowder WR
10.03 129 Kyle Rudolph TE
11.12 152 Josh Allen QB
12.03 157 Alvin Kamara K RB
13.12 180 Stephen Gostkowski K
14.03 185 Mike Davis RB
15.12 208 Marquise Goodwin WR
16.03 213 Houston DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.81825.99487179487179584.6220525206900810.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692320.97196.2512820512820374.0192442980525730.000131.37948717948717141.2307692307692340.270166.5076923076923122.5557865476611450.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.448236.76410256410256110.2028899367211970.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.721307.020512820512891.2928439748039390.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.862377.276923076923181.58780836694493110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.00025.99487179487179528.01333581061092610.12661.12307692307692132.4994705721068220.00096.251282051282036.80771936533591330.388131.37948717948717114.3508267012042440.000166.5076923076923103.8808038645530450.084201.63589743589745135.4087084124017860.000236.7641025641025679.1750106426731670.525271.89230769230767104.8503468789909980.000307.020512820512841.3549187188386290.458342.14871794871794109.52103731790206100.000377.276923076923121.94484750312064110.016412.4051282051282140.1248556925674512Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112927.06217948717948593.301775147928991063.6326923076923141.23076923076923213100.2032051282051172.030136.77371794871794141.2307692307692343173.3442307692307125.2544378698224850209.91474358974358141.2307692307692367246.4852564102564103.9526627218934970283.0557692307692141.23076923076923810319.6262820512820387.9763313609467490356.19679487179485141.230769230769231012392.767307692307777.32544378698225110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312027.06217948717948545.3727810650887451363.6326923076923125.2544378698224820100.203205128205112.769230769230773636136.77371794871794109.2781065088757440173.3442307692307109.2781065088757452209.91474358974358130.5798816568047360246.485256410256466.6745562130177574283.0557692307692119.9289940828402380319.6262820512820334.7218934911242596356.19679487179485109.27810650887574100392.767307692307713.42011834319527112429.3378205128205130.5798816568047312All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2019 Kevin 6-6 7th 102.70 0.474 30.16 6-7 8th
1 973 2019 Ed 5-7 9th 98.70 0.476 26.64 5-8 11th
2 966 2021 Kevin 5-7 9th 98.61 0.477 24.33 5-9 9th
3 964 2013 Babel 3-9 14th 97.83 0.467 31.60 4-9 13th
4 964 2015 Schertz 8-4 2nd 97.00 0.474 23.75 9-4 2nd 2nd place
5 962 2016 Matt 5-7 10th 98.23 0.483 29.27 5-8 10th
6 960 2016 Allen 4-8 12th 98.00 0.475 20.44 4-9 13th
7 960 2018 Rabbit 7-5 6th 105.37 0.477 19.12 7-6 7th
8 952 2024 Schertz 5-7 9th 98.37 0.480 21.46 7-7 7th
9 952 2012 Allen 6-6 6th 96.84 0.470 21.44 6-7 8th
10 950 2013 Rob 7-5 5th 97.82 0.484 25.09 8-5 2nd 2nd place