2023 Pat (through 11 weeks)

5-6 (0.455), 1,097.51 points (99.77 average)

10th place

5.66 expected wins (0.515)

71-72 all-play record (0.497)

+24.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 56.18 120.90 Rabbit -64.72 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 99.99 88.68 Derrek 11.31
3 W 132.84 125.95 Matt 6.89
4 L 93.83 103.39 Pulley -9.56
5 L 107.37 118.00 Scott -10.63
6 W 90.72 86.28 Babel 4.44
7 L 110.68 144.61 Dave -33.93
8 L 107.48 129.08 Rabbit -21.60
9 W 91.18 79.26 Kevin 11.92
10 L 117.18 122.53 Rob -5.35
11 W 90.06 86.87 Mike R. 3.19
12 Richie
13 Ed
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.23076923076923424.2%246.5256410256410277.4462044784587850.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.216864499893300.1%74.73076923076923140.8829553868142511.2%117.67948717948717138.1408789127757225.4%160.62820512820514127.15106452908681314.4%203.57692307692307103.4103199573339340.0%246.5256410256410213.661639726148337526.3%289.47435897435972.0618.3%332.4230769230769693.0182594071759577.9%375.3717948717949120.4135900078691581.9%418.3205128205129136.1302165672826790.2%461.26923076923083140.67111493524627100.0%504.21794871794873141.2242198249386411Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th70.47692307692309208.213017751479328th129.2076923076923163.2426035502958538th187.93846153846152163.2426035502958548th246.66923076923075163.2426035502958557th305.4140.7573964497041566th364.1307692307692118.2721893491124176th422.86153846153843118.2721893491124188th481.59230769230766163.2426035502958597th540.3230769230769140.75739644970415107th599.053846153846140.757396449704151114th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th70.47692307692309208.213017751479327th129.2076923076923140.7573964497041538th187.93846153846152163.2426035502958549th246.66923076923075185.727810650887658th305.4163.2426035502958569th364.1307692307692185.7278106508876710th422.86153846153843208.213017751479389th481.59230769230766185.7278106508876910th540.3230769230769208.21301775147931010th599.053846153846208.21301775147931114th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th70.47692307692309253.1834319526627229th129.2076923076923185.727810650887639th187.93846153846152185.727810650887649th246.66923076923075185.727810650887658th305.4163.2426035502958567th364.1307692307692140.7573964497041578th422.86153846153843163.2426035502958588th481.59230769230766163.2426035502958597th540.3230769230769140.75739644970415107th599.053846153846140.7573964497041511Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Davante Adams WR
2.06 20 Ja'Marr Chase K WR
3.09 37 Lamar Jackson QB
4.06 48 Alvin Kamara RB
5.09 65 D'Andre Swift RB
6.06 76 A.J. Dillon RB
7.09 93 Chris Olave K WR
8.06 104 Dalton Kincaid TE
9.09 121 Dalton Schultz TE
10.06 132 Kenneth Gainwell RB
11.09 149 Devin Singletary RB
12.06 160 K.J. Osborn WR
13.09 177 Matthew Stafford QB
14.06 188 New England DEF
15.09 205 Jason Myers K
16.06 216 Josh Downs WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.50765.91328671328671106.1257503416497220.926104.2349650349650377.1316823861262430.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.358219.19999999999996116.4208581179977760.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.365334.165034965035115.9339341232706590.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.344410.8083916083916117.40796504622153110.01327.59160839160839140.3281709122729210.00065.9132867132867171.0207314525302120.000104.2349650349650313.0325955414832630.426142.55664335664335111.7307767036646340.627180.8783216783216497.8072276567862750.000219.1999999999999691.6109470052263160.687257.521678321678393.6593208821282170.633295.843356643356797.4157784442109980.000334.16503496503590.6370990157720790.777372.486713286713387.46376145161452100.000410.808391608391693.5851608616738411Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231568.61958041958042114.60355029585799212108.514685314685377.3254437869822530148.40979020979017141.2307692307692340188.30489510489508141.2307692307692357228.2103.9526627218934960268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692387347.8853146853147103.9526627218934990387.7804195804196141.23076923076923106427.67552447552447109.2781065088757411028.724475524475523141.230769230769231068.6195804195804287.9763313609467420108.514685314685313.4201183431952735148.40979020979017114.6035502958579947188.30489510489508103.9526627218934950228.266.67455621301775610268.0951048951048487.9763313609467474307.9902097902098119.9289940828402380347.885314685314766.6745562130177598387.780419580419698.62721893491124100427.6755244755244777.3254437869822511All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Pat 5-6 10th 99.77 0.515 18.63 5-9 11th
1 988 2009 Rob 7-4 4th 99.33 0.512 15.97 8-5 3rd 4th place
2 987 2010 Pulley 7-4 3rd 97.11 0.516 18.98 8-5 4th 5th place
3 986 2010 Derrek 7-4 4th 96.91 0.514 19.11 7-6 5th 3rd place
4 985 2010 Babel 6-5 5th 98.79 0.519 19.72 8-5 3rd 6th place
5 981 2011 Ed 8-3 1st 101.88 0.510 19.08 9-4 1st 3rd place
6 979 2020 Scott 7-4 5th 99.82 0.509 13.92 7-6 8th
7 979 2022 Matt 5-6 11th 99.91 0.508 22.43 6-8 11th
8 978 2012 Derrek 7-4 5th 95.30 0.516 19.71 8-5 5th 5th place
9 975 2016 Ed 5-6 9th 99.02 0.504 18.50 6-7 9th
10 974 2009 Derrek 5-6 8th 98.85 0.506 17.02 7-6 5th 3rd place