2023 Pat (through 11 weeks)

5-6 (0.455), 1,097.51 points

10th place

5.65 expected wins (0.513)

71-72 all-play record (0.497)

+24.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 56.18 120.90 Rabbit -64.72 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 99.99 88.68 Derrek 11.31
3 W 132.84 125.95 Matt 6.89
4 L 93.83 103.39 Pulley -9.56
5 L 107.37 118.00 Scott -10.63
6 W 90.72 86.28 Babel 4.44
7 L 110.68 144.61 Dave -33.93
8 L 107.48 129.08 Rabbit -21.60
9 W 91.18 79.26 Kevin 11.92
10 L 117.18 122.53 Rob -5.35
11 W 90.06 86.87 Mike R. 3.19
12 Richie
13 Ed
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.23076923076923424.5%246.5256410256410277.0848222544156650.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2156287914029600.1%74.73076923076923140.8760278715338411.2%117.67948717948717138.1246098844491125.4%160.62820512820514127.08623937929372314.5%203.57692307692307103.1687272494714940.0%246.5256410256410212.938875278062085526.4%289.47435897435972.0618.2%332.4230769230769693.5766434629331877.7%375.3717948717949121.027011679876181.8%418.3205128205129136.411249474511390.2%461.26923076923083140.72595547571544100.0%504.21794871794873141.227141334118511Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th70.47692307692309208.213017751479328th129.2076923076923163.2426035502958538th187.93846153846152163.2426035502958548th246.66923076923075163.2426035502958557th305.4140.7573964497041566th364.1307692307692118.2721893491124177th422.86153846153843140.7573964497041588th481.59230769230766163.2426035502958597th540.3230769230769140.75739644970415107th599.053846153846140.757396449704151114th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th70.47692307692309208.213017751479327th129.2076923076923140.7573964497041538th187.93846153846152163.2426035502958549th246.66923076923075185.727810650887658th305.4163.2426035502958569th364.1307692307692185.7278106508876710th422.86153846153843208.213017751479389th481.59230769230766185.7278106508876910th540.3230769230769208.21301775147931010th599.053846153846208.21301775147931114th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th70.47692307692309253.1834319526627229th129.2076923076923185.727810650887639th187.93846153846152185.727810650887649th246.66923076923075185.727810650887658th305.4163.2426035502958567th364.1307692307692140.7573964497041578th422.86153846153843163.2426035502958588th481.59230769230766163.2426035502958597th540.3230769230769140.75739644970415107th599.053846153846140.7573964497041511Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Davante Adams WR
2.06 20 Ja'Marr Chase K WR
3.09 37 Lamar Jackson QB
4.06 48 Alvin Kamara RB
5.09 65 D'Andre Swift RB
6.06 76 A.J. Dillon RB
7.09 93 Chris Olave K WR
8.06 104 Dalton Kincaid TE
9.09 121 Dalton Schultz TE
10.06 132 Kenneth Gainwell RB
11.09 149 Devin Singletary RB
12.06 160 K.J. Osborn WR
13.09 177 Matthew Stafford QB
14.06 188 New England DEF
15.09 205 Jason Myers K
16.06 216 Josh Downs WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.50565.91328671328671106.2881839106395920.913104.2349650349650378.0026644399592530.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.350219.19999999999996117.0273626570409260.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.356334.165034965035116.5614300341811990.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.341410.8083916083916117.6523942242918110.00827.59160839160839140.6990127403784610.00065.9132867132867171.3455985905099720.000104.2349650349650314.77455964914926830.407142.55664335664335113.0612532575763140.643180.8783216783216496.7081546162307950.000219.1999999999999692.8239560833126160.693257.521678321678393.2647988911941670.645295.843356643356796.560419882153380.000334.16503496503591.8920908375931490.787372.486713286713386.73037796084415100.000410.808391608391694.0740192178143711Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231568.61958041958042114.60355029585799212108.514685314685377.3254437869822530148.40979020979017141.2307692307692340188.30489510489508141.2307692307692357228.2103.9526627218934960268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692387347.8853146853147103.9526627218934990387.7804195804196141.23076923076923106427.67552447552447109.2781065088757411028.724475524475523141.230769230769231068.6195804195804287.9763313609467420108.514685314685313.4201183431952735148.40979020979017114.6035502958579947188.30489510489508103.9526627218934950228.266.67455621301775610268.0951048951048487.9763313609467474307.9902097902098119.9289940828402380347.885314685314766.6745562130177598387.780419580419698.62721893491124100427.6755244755244777.3254437869822511All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Pat 5-6 10th 99.77 0.513 18.63 5-9 11th
1 987 2010 Pulley 7-4 3rd 97.11 0.513 18.98 8-5 4th 5th place
2 987 2016 Ed 5-6 9th 99.02 0.509 18.50 6-7 9th
3 986 2020 Scott 7-4 5th 99.82 0.511 13.92 7-6 8th
4 986 2011 Ed 8-3 1st 101.88 0.511 19.08 9-4 1st 3rd place
5 986 2009 Rob 7-4 4th 99.33 0.510 15.97 8-5 3rd 4th place
6 985 2010 Babel 6-5 5th 98.79 0.518 19.72 8-5 3rd 6th place
7 980 2010 Derrek 7-4 4th 96.91 0.510 19.11 7-6 5th 3rd place
8 977 2012 Allen 5-6 7th 99.11 0.505 20.96 6-7 8th
9 976 2011 Babel 6-5 8th 101.25 0.521 17.31 7-6 7th
10 976 2012 Derrek 7-4 5th 95.30 0.515 19.71 8-5 5th 5th place