2023 Pat (through 11 weeks)

5-6 (0.455), 1,097.51 points (99.77 average)

10th place

5.66 expected wins (0.514)

71-72 all-play record (0.497)

+23.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 56.18 120.90 Rabbit -64.72 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 99.99 88.68 Derrek 11.31
3 W 132.84 125.95 Matt 6.89
4 L 93.83 103.39 Pulley -9.56
5 L 107.37 118.00 Scott -10.63
6 W 90.72 86.28 Babel 4.44
7 L 110.68 144.61 Dave -33.93
8 L 107.48 129.08 Rabbit -21.60
9 W 91.18 79.26 Kevin 11.92
10 L 117.18 122.53 Rob -5.35
11 W 90.06 86.87 Mike R. 3.19
12 Richie
13 Ed
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%43.64102564102564141.2307692307692300.0%102.61538461538461141.2307692307692310.0%161.5897435897436141.2307692307692320.0%220.5641025641026141.2307692307692330.0%279.53846153846155141.23076923076923424.3%338.5128205128205577.3166674809578550.0%397.4871794871795141.2307692307692360.0%456.4615384615385141.2307692307692370.0%515.4358974358973141.2307692307692380.0%574.4102564102564141.2307692307692390.0%633.3846153846154141.23076923076923100.0%692.3589743589743141.23076923076923110.0%43.64102564102564141.2164099289723800.1%102.61538461538461140.875871961769711.2%161.5897435897436138.100170628899625.4%220.5641025641026127.03493536426902314.4%279.53846153846155103.233287295672440.0%338.5128205128205513.402565731146467526.3%397.487179487179571.99999999999999618.3%456.461538461538593.0984783863755277.9%515.4358974358973120.4803562045249481.9%574.4102564102564136.1556320952877390.2%633.3846153846154140.6756655476288100.0%692.3589743589743141.2244948813027511Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th70.47692307692309208.213017751479328th129.2076923076923163.2426035502958538th187.93846153846152163.2426035502958548th246.66923076923075163.2426035502958557th305.4140.7573964497041566th364.1307692307692118.2721893491124176th422.86153846153843118.2721893491124188th481.59230769230766163.2426035502958597th540.3230769230769140.75739644970415107th599.053846153846140.757396449704151114th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th70.47692307692309208.213017751479327th129.2076923076923140.7573964497041538th187.93846153846152163.2426035502958549th246.66923076923075185.727810650887658th305.4163.2426035502958569th364.1307692307692185.7278106508876710th422.86153846153843208.213017751479389th481.59230769230766185.7278106508876910th540.3230769230769208.21301775147931010th599.053846153846208.21301775147931114th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th70.47692307692309253.1834319526627229th129.2076923076923185.727810650887639th187.93846153846152185.727810650887649th246.66923076923075185.727810650887658th305.4163.2426035502958567th364.1307692307692140.7573964497041578th422.86153846153843163.2426035502958588th481.59230769230766163.2426035502958597th540.3230769230769140.75739644970415107th599.053846153846140.7573964497041511Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1
1.02 2
1.03 3
1.04 4
1.05 5
1.06 6
1.07 7
1.08 8
1.09 9 Davante Adams WR
1.10 10
1.11 11
1.12 12
1.13 13
1.14 14
2.01 15
2.02 16
2.03 17
2.04 18
2.05 19
2.06 20 Ja'Marr Chase Kx2 WR
2.07 21
2.08 22
2.09 23
2.10 24
2.11 25
2.12 26
2.13 27
2.14 28
3.01 29
3.02 30
3.03 31
3.04 32
3.05 33
3.06 34
3.07 35
3.08 36
3.09 37 Lamar Jackson QB
3.10 38
3.11 39
3.12 40
3.13 41
3.14 42
4.01 43
4.02 44
4.03 45
4.04 46
4.05 47
4.06 48 Alvin Kamara RB
4.07 49
4.08 50
4.09 51
4.10 52
4.11 53
4.12 54
4.13 55
4.14 56
5.01 57
5.02 58
5.03 59
5.04 60
5.05 61
5.06 62
5.07 63
5.08 64
5.09 65 D'Andre Swift RB
5.10 66
5.11 67
5.12 68
5.13 69
5.14 70
6.01 71
6.02 72
6.03 73
6.04 74
6.05 75
6.06 76 A.J. Dillon RB
6.07 77
6.08 78
6.09 79
6.10 80
6.11 81
6.12 82
6.13 83
6.14 84
7.01 85
7.02 86
7.03 87
7.04 88
7.05 89
7.06 90
7.07 91
7.08 92
7.09 93 Chris Olave K WR
7.10 94
7.11 95
7.12 96
7.13 97
7.14 98
8.01 99
8.02 100
8.03 101
8.04 102
8.05 103
8.06 104 Dalton Kincaid TE
8.07 105
8.08 106
8.09 107
8.10 108
8.11 109
8.12 110
8.13 111
8.14 112
9.01 113
9.02 114
9.03 115
9.04 116
9.05 117
9.06 118
9.07 119
9.08 120
9.09 121 Dalton Schultz TE
9.10 122
9.11 123
9.12 124
9.13 125
9.14 126
10.01 127
10.02 128
10.03 129
10.04 130
10.05 131
10.06 132 Kenneth Gainwell RB
10.07 133
10.08 134
10.09 135
10.10 136
10.11 137
10.12 138
10.13 139
10.14 140
11.01 141
11.02 142
11.03 143
11.04 144
11.05 145
11.06 146
11.07 147
11.08 148
11.09 149 Devin Singletary RB
11.10 150
11.11 151
11.12 152
11.13 153
11.14 154
12.01 155
12.02 156
12.03 157
12.04 158
12.05 159
12.06 160 K.J. Osborn WR
12.07 161
12.08 162
12.09 163
12.10 164
12.11 165
12.12 166
12.13 167
12.14 168
13.01 169
13.02 170
13.03 171
13.04 172
13.05 173
13.06 174
13.07 175
13.08 176
13.09 177 Matthew Stafford QB
13.10 178
13.11 179
13.12 180
13.13 181
13.14 182
14.01 183
14.02 184
14.03 185
14.04 186
14.05 187
14.06 188 New England DEF
14.07 189
14.08 190
14.09 191
14.10 192
14.11 193
14.12 194
14.13 195
14.14 196
15.01 197
15.02 198
15.03 199
15.04 200
15.05 201
15.06 202
15.07 203
15.08 204
15.09 205 Jason Myers K
15.10 206
15.11 207
15.12 208
15.13 209
15.14 210
16.01 211
16.02 212
16.03 213
16.04 214
16.05 215
16.06 216 Josh Downs WR
16.07 217
16.08 218
16.09 219
16.10 220
16.11 221
16.12 222
16.13 223
16.14 224

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00040.17902097902099141.2307692307692310.50995.98321678321679105.9927857304138320.924151.7874125874125877.2277306682709830.000207.5916083916084141.2307692307692340.000263.3958041958042141.2307692307692350.358319.2116.44476371358860.000375.0041958041958141.2307692307692370.000430.80839160839156141.2307692307692380.365486.6125874125874115.9700746339071690.000542.4167832167833141.23076923076923100.344598.2209790209789117.40618753594197110.01340.17902097902099140.362281789184410.00095.9832167832167970.7548022300584220.000151.7874125874125813.22469210577273230.426207.5916083916084111.7313506273887540.627263.395804195804297.8051872229134250.000319.291.6587581964067860.685375.004195804195893.794427289886270.633430.8083916083915697.4333972231012280.000486.612587412587490.709380037045190.775542.416783216783387.58401013985718100.000598.220979020978993.5816058411147111Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011041.31188811188811141.230769230769231598.68951048951048114.60355029585799212156.0671328671328477.3254437869822530213.44475524475524141.2307692307692340270.82237762237764141.2307692307692357328.2103.9526627218934960385.57762237762233141.2307692307692370442.95524475524473141.2307692307692387500.33286713286714103.9526627218934990557.7104895104894141.23076923076923106615.0881118881118109.2781065088757411041.31188811188811141.230769230769231098.6895104895104887.9763313609467420156.0671328671328413.4201183431952735213.44475524475524114.6035502958579947270.82237762237764103.9526627218934950328.266.67455621301775610385.5776223776223387.9763313609467474442.95524475524473119.9289940828402380500.3328671328671466.6745562130177598557.710489510489498.62721893491124100615.088111888111877.3254437869822511All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Pat 5-6 10th 99.77 0.514 18.63 5-9 11th
1 989 2009 Rob 7-4 4th 99.33 0.512 15.97 8-5 3rd 4th place
2 987 2010 Derrek 7-4 4th 96.91 0.514 19.11 7-6 5th 3rd place
3 986 2010 Pulley 7-4 3rd 97.11 0.516 18.98 8-5 4th 5th place
4 984 2010 Babel 6-5 5th 98.79 0.519 19.72 8-5 3rd 6th place
5 982 2011 Ed 8-3 1st 101.88 0.510 19.08 9-4 1st 3rd place
6 981 2025 Pulley 5-6 8th 100.58 0.518 13.99 6-8 8th
7 980 2020 Scott 7-4 5th 99.82 0.509 13.92 7-6 8th
8 980 2022 Matt 5-6 11th 99.91 0.508 22.43 6-8 11th
9 977 2012 Derrek 7-4 5th 95.30 0.516 19.71 8-5 5th 5th place
10 976 2016 Ed 5-6 9th 99.02 0.504 18.50 6-7 9th