2010 Derrek (through 11 weeks)

7-4 (0.636), 1,066.05 points (96.91 average)

4th place

5.65 expected wins (0.514)

65-56 all-play record (0.537)

-5.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 88.82 82.53 Matt 6.29
2 W 101.51 85.30 Rob 16.21
3 W 85.65 84.48 Kevin 1.17
4 W 128.72 90.03 Ed 38.69
5 L 83.68 104.34 Rabbit -20.66
6 W 104.37 69.62 Mike R. 34.75
7 L 104.37 107.09 Babel -2.72
8 L 63.45 87.14 Pulley -23.69
9 W 109.77 100.78 Dave 8.99
10 L 73.18 106.97 Allen -33.79 Slapped Heartbeat
11 W 122.53 119.70 Pat 2.83
12 Rob
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.23076923076923618.1%332.4230769230769696.3177482629540470.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2266921455506300.1%74.73076923076923141.0778108219891210.8%117.67948717948717139.2669982375071824.6%160.62820512820514129.82248568439243314.3%203.57692307692307105.74798634098832425.8%246.5256410256410277.1891239297077527.9%289.47435897435972.060.0%332.4230769230769651.40472729513885576.9%375.3717948717949124.0892928916671481.5%418.3205128205129137.5881657602161690.2%461.26923076923083140.8504910739542100.0%504.21794871794873141.2164554055388811Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845165.286713286713318th70.47692307692309191.860139860139927th129.2076923076923165.286713286713334th187.9384615384615285.5664335664335745th246.66923076923075112.1398601398601654th305.485.5664335664335764th364.130769230769285.5664335664335775th422.86153846153843112.1398601398601684th481.5923076923076685.5664335664335796th540.3230769230769138.71328671328675106th599.053846153846138.71328671328675116th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867514th70.4769230769230985.5664335664335722nd129.207692307692332.4195804195804331st187.938461538461525.84615384615386843rd246.6692307692307558.99300699300701552nd305.432.4195804195804363rd364.130769230769258.99300699300701574th422.8615384615384385.5664335664335784th481.5923076923076685.5664335664335795th540.3230769230769112.13986013986016104th599.05384615384685.56643356643357117th11.746153846153845165.286713286713318th70.47692307692309191.860139860139927th129.2076923076923165.286713286713336th187.93846153846152138.7132867132867547th246.66923076923075165.286713286713355th305.4112.1398601398601665th364.1307692307692112.1398601398601676th422.86153846153843138.7132867132867586th481.59230769230766138.7132867132867597th540.3230769230769165.2867132867133107th599.053846153846165.286713286713311Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Drew Brees QB
2.03 15 Ryan Grant RB
3.10 34 Chad Ochocinco WR
4.03 39 Donald Driver WR
5.10 58 Kellen Winslow II TE
6.03 63 Brandon Jacobs RB
7.10 82 Braylon Edwards WR
8.03 87 Bernard Berrian WR
9.10 106 Rashard Mendenhall K RB
10.03 111 Darren McFadden RB
11.10 130 Sidney Rice K WR
12.03 135 Willis McGahee RB
13.10 154 Chad Henne QB
14.03 159 Kevin Smith RB
15.10 178 Matt Prater K
16.03 183 Denver DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.36027.59160839160839116.2899460579581910.58565.91328671328671100.7499444340426720.321104.23496503496503119.0185543381343530.948142.5566433566433575.6124777754035240.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.642219.1999999999999696.805426217530260.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.738334.16503496503590.1469646722704990.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.908410.808391608391678.37609456414074110.00027.5916083916083991.3491228851471510.00065.9132867132867160.2691196373161120.000104.2349650349650396.8063394454994830.000142.556643356643359.99418632003781240.280180.87832167832164121.827867650880850.000219.1999999999999652.3800832042911760.642257.521678321678396.805426217530270.075295.8433566433567136.0302612734730680.000334.16503496503539.06316011377174490.155372.4867132867133130.50656487463533100.000410.808391608391615.5214198975122611Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567891011528.724475524475523109.762237762237761768.6195804195804297.1748251748251725108.5146853146853109.76223776223776310148.4097902097901778.293706293706340188.30489510489508141.2307692307692358228.290.8811188811188860268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.9902097902098141.23076923076923810347.885314685314778.293706293706390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923109427.6755244755244784.5874125874125911028.72447552447552378.293706293706311068.6195804195804253.1188811188811220108.514685314685378.2937062937063130148.4097902097901715.3566433566433643188.30489510489508122.3496503496503550228.240.5314685314685366268.09510489510484103.4685314685314772307.9902097902098128.6433566433566480347.885314685314715.3566433566433690387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.6755244755244727.94405594405594711All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2010 Derrek 7-4 4th 96.91 0.514 19.11 7-6 5th 3rd place
1 995 2010 Pulley 7-4 3rd 97.11 0.516 18.98 8-5 4th 5th place
2 989 2012 Derrek 7-4 5th 95.30 0.516 19.71 8-5 5th 5th place
3 986 2023 Pat 5-6 10th 99.77 0.515 18.63 5-9 11th
4 984 2015 Rabbit 5-6 9th 96.79 0.520 21.07 5-8 11th
5 981 2009 Rob 7-4 4th 99.33 0.512 15.97 8-5 3rd 4th place
6 981 2010 Babel 6-5 5th 98.79 0.519 19.72 8-5 3rd 6th place
7 972 2011 Ed 8-3 1st 101.88 0.510 19.08 9-4 1st 3rd place
8 971 2009 Derrek 5-6 8th 98.85 0.506 17.02 7-6 5th 3rd place
9 971 2020 Derrek 6-5 7th 98.97 0.508 23.97 8-5 5th 5th place
10 971 2016 Ed 5-6 9th 99.02 0.504 18.50 6-7 9th