2010 Derrek (through 11 weeks)

7-4 (0.636), 1,066.05 points

4th place

5.61 expected wins (0.510)

65-56 all-play record (0.537)

-6.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 88.82 82.53 Matt 6.29
2 W 101.51 85.30 Rob 16.21
3 W 85.65 84.48 Kevin 1.17
4 W 128.72 90.03 Ed 38.69
5 L 83.68 104.34 Rabbit -20.66
6 W 104.37 69.62 Mike R. 34.75
7 L 104.37 107.09 Babel -2.72
8 L 63.45 87.14 Pulley -23.69
9 W 109.77 100.78 Dave 8.99
10 L 73.18 106.97 Allen -33.79 Slapped Heartbeat
11 W 122.53 119.70 Pat 2.83
12 Rob
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.23076923076923617.5%332.4230769230769696.7600549480962770.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2238833025908500.1%74.73076923076923141.0149040907432211.0%117.67948717948717138.8097487195141225.1%160.62820512820514128.32819248995276314.9%203.57692307692307103.38770383085146425.9%246.5256410256410275.6089558845903527.3%289.47435897435972.060.0%332.4230769230769652.28934066542332576.7%375.3717948717949124.215791335393381.4%418.3205128205129137.5668981368038490.2%461.26923076923083140.83897047499931100.0%504.21794871794873141.215446623994111Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845165.286713286713318th70.47692307692309191.860139860139927th129.2076923076923165.286713286713334th187.9384615384615285.5664335664335745th246.66923076923075112.1398601398601654th305.485.5664335664335764th364.130769230769285.5664335664335775th422.86153846153843112.1398601398601684th481.5923076923076685.5664335664335796th540.3230769230769138.71328671328675106th599.053846153846138.71328671328675116th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867514th70.4769230769230985.5664335664335722nd129.207692307692332.4195804195804331st187.938461538461525.84615384615386843rd246.6692307692307558.99300699300701552nd305.432.4195804195804363rd364.130769230769258.99300699300701574th422.8615384615384385.5664335664335784th481.5923076923076685.5664335664335795th540.3230769230769112.13986013986016104th599.05384615384685.56643356643357117th11.746153846153845165.286713286713318th70.47692307692309191.860139860139927th129.2076923076923165.286713286713336th187.93846153846152138.7132867132867547th246.66923076923075165.286713286713355th305.4112.1398601398601665th364.1307692307692112.1398601398601676th422.86153846153843138.7132867132867586th481.59230769230766138.7132867132867597th540.3230769230769165.2867132867133107th599.053846153846165.286713286713311Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Drew Brees QB
2.03 15 Ryan Grant RB
3.10 34 Chad Ochocinco WR
4.03 39 Donald Driver WR
5.10 58 Kellen Winslow II TE
6.03 63 Brandon Jacobs RB
7.10 82 Braylon Edwards WR
8.03 87 Bernard Berrian WR
9.10 106 Rashard Mendenhall K RB
10.03 111 Darren McFadden RB
11.10 130 Sidney Rice K WR
12.03 135 Willis McGahee RB
13.10 154 Chad Henne QB
14.03 159 Kevin Smith RB
15.10 178 Matt Prater K
16.03 183 Denver DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.36927.59160839160839115.6527728673165310.57965.91328671328671101.1406762967826620.322104.23496503496503118.9256654376483630.934142.5566433566433576.5826178089802640.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.629219.1999999999999697.7086847820596960.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.728334.16503496503590.8447017526137690.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.890410.808391608391679.6395903833527110.00027.5916083916083990.0747765038638310.00065.9132867132867161.05058336279610420.000104.2349650349650396.620561644527530.000142.5566433566433511.93446638719129340.290180.87832167832164121.1757790797514950.000219.1999999999999654.1866003333501760.629257.521678321678397.7086847820596970.080295.8433566433567135.6992398605990280.000334.16503496503540.45863427445830590.158372.4867132867133130.26714733067325100.000410.808391608391618.04841153593615411Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567891011528.724475524475523109.762237762237761768.6195804195804297.1748251748251725108.5146853146853109.76223776223776310148.4097902097901778.293706293706340188.30489510489508141.2307692307692358228.290.8811188811188860268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.9902097902098141.23076923076923810347.885314685314778.293706293706390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923109427.6755244755244784.5874125874125911028.72447552447552378.293706293706311068.6195804195804253.1188811188811220108.514685314685378.2937062937063130148.4097902097901715.3566433566433643188.30489510489508122.3496503496503550228.240.5314685314685366268.09510489510484103.4685314685314772307.9902097902098128.6433566433566480347.885314685314715.3566433566433690387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.6755244755244727.94405594405594711All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2010 Derrek 7-4 4th 96.91 0.510 19.11 7-6 5th 3rd place
1 993 2010 Pulley 7-4 3rd 97.11 0.513 18.98 8-5 4th 5th place
2 988 2016 Ed 5-6 9th 99.02 0.509 18.50 6-7 9th
3 984 2009 Rob 7-4 4th 99.33 0.510 15.97 8-5 3rd 4th place
4 981 2012 Derrek 7-4 5th 95.30 0.515 19.71 8-5 5th 5th place
5 980 2023 Pat 5-6 10th 99.77 0.513 18.63 5-9 11th
6 979 2012 Allen 5-6 7th 99.11 0.505 20.96 6-7 8th
7 979 2020 Derrek 6-5 7th 98.97 0.508 23.97 8-5 5th 5th place
8 978 2011 Ed 8-3 1st 101.88 0.511 19.08 9-4 1st 3rd place
9 977 2017 Ed 4-7 8th 94.93 0.503 20.19 4-9 13th
10 976 2015 Mike R. 8-3 2nd 95.15 0.504 16.58 8-5 4th 6th place