2012 Derrek (through 11 weeks)

7-4 (0.636), 1,048.25 points

5th place

5.67 expected wins (0.515)

82-61 all-play record (0.573)

+4.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 118.79 109.62 Pulley 9.17
2 L 59.84 89.85 Rob -30.01 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 91.61 125.00 Ed -33.39
4 W 98.01 92.45 Dave 5.56
5 W 112.42 94.96 Babel 17.46
6 W 111.83 104.58 Matt 7.25
7 W 97.03 41.41 Pat 55.62
8 W 109.75 75.73 Kevin 34.02
9 L 81.69 109.17 Mike R. -27.48
10 W 108.23 105.32 Richie 2.91
11 L 59.05 100.04 Schertz -40.99
12 Rabbit
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.23076923076923618.8%332.4230769230769694.1362222482978370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2169339805614600.1%74.73076923076923140.941625663175911.0%117.67948717948717138.7104689377845324.8%160.62820512820514129.20334678202985313.8%203.57692307692307106.6636680965714424.8%246.5256410256410279.30594432678933527.7%289.47435897435972.060.0%332.4230769230769647.0416752658264377.4%375.3717948717949122.851799242666381.5%418.3205128205129137.5556673505131290.1%461.26923076923083140.92225779649377100.0%504.21794871794873141.221887012445811Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557619th70.47692307692309185.7278106508876210th129.2076923076923208.213017751479338th187.93846153846152163.2426035502958546th246.66923076923075118.2721893491124155th305.495.786982248520765th364.130769230769295.786982248520775th422.8615384615384395.786982248520785th481.5923076923076695.786982248520795th540.323076923076995.7869822485207106th599.053846153846118.27218934911241112nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557619th70.47692307692309185.7278106508876211th129.2076923076923230.69822485207138th187.93846153846152163.2426035502958546th246.66923076923075118.2721893491124155th305.495.786982248520765th364.130769230769295.786982248520775th422.8615384615384395.786982248520785th481.5923076923076695.786982248520795th540.323076923076995.7869822485207105th599.05384615384695.7869822485207112nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576110th70.47692307692309208.2130177514793211th129.2076923076923230.69822485207139th187.93846153846152185.727810650887647th246.66923076923075140.7573964497041556th305.4118.2721893491124166th364.1307692307692118.2721893491124176th422.86153846153843118.2721893491124186th481.59230769230766118.2721893491124195th540.323076923076995.7869822485207107th599.053846153846140.7573964497041511Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Adrian Peterson RB
2.06 20 Larry Fitzgerald K WR
3.09 37 Dez Bryant WR
4.06 48 Percy Harvin WR
5.09 65 Jermichael Finley TE
6.06 76 Kevin Smith RB
7.09 93 Darren McFadden K RB
8.06 104 Alex Smith QB
9.09 121 Houston DEF
10.06 132 Owen Daniels TE
11.09 149 Rueben Randle WR
12.06 160 Ronnie Brown RB
13.09 177 Leonard Hankerson WR
14.06 188 Dan Bailey K
15.09 205 John Skelton QB
16.06 216 Brandon Jacobs RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.85627.5916083916083981.9760794031969310.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.524142.55664335664335104.9317842367743840.768180.8783216783216488.0332035003735650.760219.1999999999999688.6014140160561760.508257.5216783216783106.068205268139670.732295.843356643356790.5333297693770580.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.705372.486713286713392.44251710207061100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.00027.5916083916083922.7213895756246410.07065.91328671328671136.3765541746500420.415104.23496503496503112.488984095353130.000142.5566433566433568.6327992427795440.000180.8783216783216434.8356377699778850.000219.1999999999999635.9720588013431160.000257.521678321678370.9056413055099770.000295.843356643356739.8358903079848780.263334.165034965035123.0122428457950490.000372.486713286713343.654264973371994100.067410.8083916083916136.5583815396684611Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111228.72447552447552377.325443786982251068.61958041958042141.2307692307692320108.5146853146853141.2307692307692336148.40979020979017109.27810650887574411188.3048951048950882.6508875739645510228.287.9763313609467468268.0951048951048498.62721893491124710307.990209790209887.9763313609467480347.8853146853147141.23076923076923911387.780419580419682.6508875739645100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311028.72447552447552313.420118343195271068.61958041958042141.2307692307692328108.514685314685398.6272189349112430148.4097902097901777.3254437869822540188.3048951048950824.07100591715975250228.234.7218934911242560268.0951048951048456.0236686390532470307.990209790209834.7218934911242583347.8853146853147125.2544378698224890387.780419580419624.071005917159752103427.67552447552447125.2544378698224811All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2012 Derrek 7-4 5th 95.30 0.515 19.71 8-5 5th 5th place
1 986 2010 Pulley 7-4 3rd 97.11 0.513 18.98 8-5 4th 5th place
2 981 2010 Derrek 7-4 4th 96.91 0.510 19.11 7-6 5th 3rd place
3 981 2010 Babel 6-5 5th 98.79 0.518 19.72 8-5 3rd 6th place
4 976 2015 Rabbit 5-6 9th 96.79 0.523 21.07 5-8 11th
5 976 2023 Pat 5-6 10th 99.77 0.513 18.63 5-9 11th
6 973 2017 Ed 4-7 8th 94.93 0.503 20.19 4-9 13th
7 970 2015 Mike R. 8-3 2nd 95.15 0.504 16.58 8-5 4th 6th place
8 969 2016 Ed 5-6 9th 99.02 0.509 18.50 6-7 9th
9 965 2009 Rob 7-4 4th 99.33 0.510 15.97 8-5 3rd 4th place
10 963 2011 Ed 8-3 1st 101.88 0.511 19.08 9-4 1st 3rd place