2011 Ed (through 11 weeks)

8-3 (0.727), 1,120.70 points (101.88 average)

1st place

5.61 expected wins (0.510)

64-57 all-play record (0.529)

-26.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 94.22 112.66 Matt -18.44
2 W 121.70 101.09 Pulley 20.61
3 W 123.82 108.58 Mike R. 15.24 Team Blangums
4 W 115.80 90.08 Kevin 25.72
5 L 94.50 117.74 Rabbit -23.24
6 L 69.43 99.76 Derrek -30.33 Slapped Heartbeat
7 W 93.93 48.73 Pat 45.20
8 W 95.88 79.58 Rob 16.30
9 W 133.41 64.51 Babel 68.90 Team Blangums
10 W 75.87 73.97 Dave 1.90
11 W 102.14 92.49 Allen 9.65
12 Rabbit
13 Babel

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692376.6%375.3717948717949124.5300065535865680.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2231198423711500.1%74.73076923076923141.0204663059324210.9%117.67948717948717138.9684327227619724.9%160.62820512820514128.8623029193298314.9%203.57692307692307103.71264493046064426.1%246.5256410256410275.3806527695387527.5%289.47435897435972.0617.5%332.4230769230769697.1003322549697770.0%375.3717948717949107.829243876403981.4%418.3205128205129137.732115444535690.1%461.26923076923083140.88355894480782100.0%504.21794871794873141.2187368477209511Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664517th70.47692307692309165.286713286713323rd129.207692307692358.99300699300701532nd187.9384615384615232.4195804195804343rd246.6692307692307558.99300699300701557th305.4165.286713286713368th364.1307692307692191.860139860139978th422.86153846153843191.860139860139984th481.5923076923076685.5664335664335796th540.3230769230769138.71328671328675107th599.053846153846165.2867132867133119th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664516th70.47692307692309138.7132867132867522nd129.207692307692332.4195804195804332nd187.9384615384615232.4195804195804345th246.66923076923075112.1398601398601658th305.4191.860139860139966th364.1307692307692138.7132867132867574th422.8615384615384385.5664335664335782nd481.5923076923076632.4195804195804391st540.32307692307695.846153846153868101st599.0538461538465.846153846153868119th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664517th70.47692307692309165.286713286713323rd129.207692307692358.99300699300701532nd187.9384615384615232.4195804195804344th246.6692307692307585.5664335664335758th305.4191.860139860139968th364.1307692307692191.860139860139977th422.86153846153843165.286713286713384th481.5923076923076685.5664335664335797th540.3230769230769165.2867132867133106th599.053846153846138.7132867132867511Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
3
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Roddy White K WR
2.02 14 Matt Forte RB
3.11 35 Ryan Mathews RB
4.02 38 Brandon Marshall WR
5.11 59 Matt Schaub QB
6.02 62 Santana Moss WR
7.11 83 Shonn Greene K RB
8.02 86 Michael Crabtree WR
9.11 107 Lance Moore WR
10.02 110 Tony Moeaki TE
11.11 131 Thomas Jones RB
12.02 134 Earl Bennett WR
13.11 155 Visanthe Shiancoe TE
14.02 158 Colt McCoy QB
15.11 179 New York DEF
16.02 182 Neil Rackers K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.83465.9132867132867183.4588997380699620.855104.2349650349650382.0536536792592730.763142.5566433566433588.4011177656938840.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.368257.5216783216783115.7700840409283270.411295.8433566433567112.7940991364161680.905334.16503496503578.5638788569441690.128372.4867132867133132.38280281899677100.518410.8083916083916105.39130685428354110.37527.59160839160839115.258413542156810.00065.9132867132867125.68703024537069320.000104.2349650349650322.876538127749330.000142.5566433566433535.5714663006185440.385180.87832167832164114.5855425252892350.067219.19999999999996136.5841681285518860.000257.521678321678390.3093988510874270.000295.843356643356784.357429042063180.000334.16503496503515.89698848311908890.000372.4867132867133123.53483640722433100.000410.808391608391669.5518444777978611Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231868.6195804195804290.88111888111888211108.514685314685372.037148.4097902097901797.1748251748251740188.30489510489508141.2307692307692350228.2141.2307692307692366268.09510489510484103.4685314685314776307.9902097902098103.46853146853147811347.885314685314772.092387.7804195804196128.64335664335664106427.67552447552447103.4685314685314711328.724475524475523122.349650349650351068.6195804195804240.5314685314685320108.51468531468532.769230769230773630148.4097902097901753.1188811188811244188.30489510489508116.0559440559440550228.2141.2307692307692360268.0951048951048465.7062937062937270307.990209790209865.7062937062937280347.88531468531472.769230769230773690387.7804195804196116.05594405594405100427.6755244755244765.7062937062937211All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Ed 8-3 1st 101.88 0.510 19.08 9-4 1st 3rd place
1 986 2021 Kevin 5-6 8th 101.51 0.508 23.34 5-9 9th
2 983 2022 Matt 5-6 11th 99.91 0.508 22.43 6-8 11th
3 981 2023 Pat 5-6 10th 99.77 0.515 18.63 5-9 11th
4 980 2020 Scott 7-4 5th 99.82 0.509 13.92 7-6 8th
5 979 2009 Rob 7-4 4th 99.33 0.512 15.97 8-5 3rd 4th place
6 976 2012 Allen 5-6 7th 99.11 0.506 20.96 6-7 8th
7 976 2016 Ed 5-6 9th 99.02 0.504 18.50 6-7 9th
8 976 2020 Derrek 6-5 7th 98.97 0.508 23.97 8-5 5th 5th place
9 975 2009 Derrek 5-6 8th 98.85 0.506 17.02 7-6 5th 3rd place
10 972 2010 Derrek 7-4 4th 96.91 0.514 19.11 7-6 5th 3rd place