2009 Rob (through 11 weeks)

7-4 (0.636), 1,092.67 points (99.33 average)

4th place

5.64 expected wins (0.512)

63-58 all-play record (0.521)

-4.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 74.36 103.24 Babel -28.88
2 W 115.60 86.69 Pulley 28.91 Team Blangums
3 W 104.58 93.65 Ed 10.93
4 W 118.20 101.62 Allen 16.58
5 L 81.24 95.19 Matt -13.95
6 L 96.75 116.11 Rabbit -19.36
7 W 119.43 118.61 Kevin 0.82
8 L 77.40 121.28 Dave -43.88
9 W 90.13 83.77 Pat 6.36
10 W 100.57 78.45 Mike R. 22.12
11 W 114.41 76.86 Derrek 37.55
12 Babel
13 Pulley

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.23076923076923618.1%332.4230769230769696.1779666513495670.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.22010454867600.1%74.73076923076923140.9834875366946710.9%117.67948717948717138.8711762997971624.8%160.62820512820514129.20212345292214314.3%203.57692307692307105.49453469461737425.6%246.5256410256410277.36707290459196527.7%289.47435897435971.9999999999999960.0%332.4230769230769651.125164071929976.8%375.3717948717949124.1691074956179681.4%418.3205128205129137.668532445998390.1%461.26923076923083140.857120939945100.0%504.21794871794873141.2155250637956711Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845271.580419580419618th70.47692307692309191.860139860139925th129.2076923076923112.1398601398601632nd187.9384615384615232.4195804195804346th246.66923076923075138.7132867132867558th305.4191.860139860139965th364.1307692307692112.1398601398601675th422.86153846153843112.1398601398601686th481.59230769230766138.7132867132867599th540.3230769230769218.43356643356645107th599.053846153846165.28671328671331111th11.746153846153845271.580419580419619th70.47692307692309218.4335664335664525th129.2076923076923112.1398601398601632nd187.9384615384615232.4195804195804344th246.6692307692307585.5664335664335757th305.4165.286713286713363rd364.130769230769258.99300699300701576th422.86153846153843138.7132867132867585th481.59230769230766112.1398601398601694th540.323076923076985.56643356643357104th599.05384615384685.566433566433571111th11.746153846153845271.580419580419619th70.47692307692309218.4335664335664527th129.2076923076923165.286713286713332nd187.9384615384615232.4195804195804346th246.66923076923075138.7132867132867558th305.4191.860139860139965th364.1307692307692112.1398601398601676th422.86153846153843138.7132867132867587th481.59230769230766165.286713286713398th540.3230769230769191.8601398601399107th599.053846153846165.286713286713311Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Ronnie Brown RB
2.02 14 Andre Johnson K WR
3.11 35 DeSean Jackson WR
4.02 38 Donovan McNabb QB
5.11 59 Derrick Ward RB
6.02 62 Chris Cooley TE
7.11 83 Donnie Avery WR
8.02 86 Laveranues Coles WR
9.11 107 Fred Jackson RB
10.02 110 Steve Slaton K RB
11.11 131 Justin Gage WR
12.02 134 Joe Flacco QB
13.11 155 Correll Buckhalter RB
14.02 158 Garrett Hartley K
15.11 179 Mario Manningham WR
16.02 182 New Orleans DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.80665.9132867132867185.4306484586674220.604104.2349650349650399.4255580819530330.835142.5566433566433583.4114874039983140.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.856257.521678321678382.0020241510617970.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.335334.165034965035118.0319340958336590.521372.4867132867133105.12775274963866100.779410.808391608391687.26735629254748110.10927.59160839160839133.6625498183944410.00065.9132867132867129.63052768656561420.000104.2349650349650357.62034693313681530.000142.5566433566433525.59220557722737540.187180.87832167832164128.26655749096350.469219.19999999999996108.7694798188171660.000257.521678321678322.77327907135435270.134295.8433566433567131.9290230880849380.000334.16503496503594.8330989608980790.000372.486713286713369.02473626850808100.000410.808391608391633.30394335432572511Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567891011028.724475524475523141.2307692307692311168.6195804195804272.028108.514685314685390.88111888111888310148.4097902097901778.293706293706340188.30489510489508141.2307692307692350228.2141.23076923076923610268.0951048951048478.293706293706370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692384347.8853146853147116.0559440559440595387.7804195804196109.76223776223776107427.6755244755244797.1748251748251711128.724475524475523134.937062937062931068.619580419580422.769230769230773620108.514685314685340.5314685314685330148.4097902097901715.3566433566433642188.30489510489508128.6433566433566454228.2116.0559440559440560268.0951048951048415.3566433566433671307.9902097902098134.9370629370629380347.885314685314790.881118881118990387.780419580419678.29370629370631100427.6755244755244753.1188811188811211All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Rob 7-4 4th 99.33 0.512 15.97 8-5 3rd 4th place
1 988 2023 Pat 5-6 10th 99.77 0.515 18.63 5-9 11th
2 988 2020 Scott 7-4 5th 99.82 0.509 13.92 7-6 8th
3 982 2009 Derrek 5-6 8th 98.85 0.506 17.02 7-6 5th 3rd place
4 981 2010 Derrek 7-4 4th 96.91 0.514 19.11 7-6 5th 3rd place
5 979 2011 Ed 8-3 1st 101.88 0.510 19.08 9-4 1st 3rd place
6 978 2010 Pulley 7-4 3rd 97.11 0.516 18.98 8-5 4th 5th place
7 977 2016 Ed 5-6 9th 99.02 0.504 18.50 6-7 9th
8 977 2022 Matt 5-6 11th 99.91 0.508 22.43 6-8 11th
9 977 2010 Babel 6-5 5th 98.79 0.519 19.72 8-5 3rd 6th place
10 975 2012 Allen 5-6 7th 99.11 0.506 20.96 6-7 8th