2009 Rob (through 11 weeks)

7-4 (0.636), 1,092.67 points

4th place

5.61 expected wins (0.510)

63-58 all-play record (0.521)

-3.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 74.36 103.24 Babel -28.88
2 W 115.60 86.69 Pulley 28.91 Team Blangums
3 W 104.58 93.65 Ed 10.93
4 W 118.20 101.62 Allen 16.58
5 L 81.24 95.19 Matt -13.95
6 L 96.75 116.11 Rabbit -19.36
7 W 119.43 118.61 Kevin 0.82
8 L 77.40 121.28 Dave -43.88
9 W 90.13 83.77 Pat 6.36
10 W 100.57 78.45 Mike R. 22.12
11 W 114.41 76.86 Derrek 37.55
12 Babel
13 Pulley

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.23076923076923617.6%332.4230769230769695.4926631227839470.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.212295406283800.1%74.73076923076923140.861240680595211.2%117.67948717948717138.1388463275103525.4%160.62820512820514127.12090408769434314.9%203.57692307692307102.71998106987469425.1%246.5256410256410276.02611045781182526.7%289.47435897435972.060.0%332.4230769230769649.7545570147986577.1%375.3717948717949122.9232638615068381.6%418.3205128205129137.0126872849827590.2%461.26923076923083140.7240078524739100.0%504.21794871794873141.2064289604843211Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845271.580419580419618th70.47692307692309191.860139860139927th129.2076923076923165.286713286713332nd187.9384615384615232.4195804195804346th246.66923076923075138.7132867132867558th305.4191.860139860139965th364.1307692307692112.1398601398601675th422.86153846153843112.1398601398601686th481.59230769230766138.7132867132867599th540.3230769230769218.43356643356645107th599.053846153846165.28671328671331111th11.746153846153845271.580419580419619th70.47692307692309218.4335664335664525th129.2076923076923112.1398601398601632nd187.9384615384615232.4195804195804344th246.6692307692307585.5664335664335757th305.4165.286713286713363rd364.130769230769258.99300699300701576th422.86153846153843138.7132867132867585th481.59230769230766112.1398601398601694th540.323076923076985.56643356643357104th599.05384615384685.566433566433571111th11.746153846153845271.580419580419619th70.47692307692309218.4335664335664527th129.2076923076923165.286713286713332nd187.9384615384615232.4195804195804346th246.66923076923075138.7132867132867558th305.4191.860139860139965th364.1307692307692112.1398601398601676th422.86153846153843138.7132867132867587th481.59230769230766165.286713286713398th540.3230769230769191.8601398601399107th599.053846153846165.286713286713311Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Ronnie Brown RB
2.02 14 Andre Johnson K WR
3.11 35 DeSean Jackson WR
4.02 38 Donovan McNabb QB
5.11 59 Derrick Ward RB
6.02 62 Chris Cooley TE
7.11 83 Donnie Avery WR
8.02 86 Laveranues Coles WR
9.11 107 Fred Jackson RB
10.02 110 Steve Slaton K RB
11.11 131 Justin Gage WR
12.02 134 Joe Flacco QB
13.11 155 Correll Buckhalter RB
14.02 158 Garrett Hartley K
15.11 179 Mario Manningham WR
16.02 182 New Orleans DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.77565.9132867132867187.5882528502357920.595104.23496503496503100.0547915643122430.804142.5566433566433585.5426949937783840.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.825257.521678321678384.133532914885570.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.350334.165034965035117.0215575625949890.523372.4867132867133105.02095147137825100.759410.808391608391688.65648861971908110.13327.59160839160839132.0336793869295510.00065.9132867132867133.9457364697023420.000104.2349650349650358.8788138978552530.000142.5566433566433529.8546207567875440.214180.87832167832164126.4197594919853650.462219.19999999999996109.2711661286841960.000257.521678321678327.03629659900178770.168295.8433566433567129.5676457488670280.000334.16503496503592.8123458944207490.000372.486713286713368.8111337119873100.000410.808391608391636.0822080086689411Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567891011028.724475524475523141.2307692307692311168.6195804195804272.028108.514685314685390.88111888111888310148.4097902097901778.293706293706340188.30489510489508141.2307692307692350228.2141.23076923076923610268.0951048951048478.293706293706370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692384347.8853146853147116.0559440559440595387.7804195804196109.76223776223776107427.6755244755244797.1748251748251711128.724475524475523134.937062937062931068.619580419580422.769230769230773620108.514685314685340.5314685314685330148.4097902097901715.3566433566433642188.30489510489508128.6433566433566454228.2116.0559440559440560268.0951048951048415.3566433566433671307.9902097902098134.9370629370629380347.885314685314790.881118881118990387.780419580419678.29370629370631100427.6755244755244753.1188811188811211All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Rob 7-4 4th 99.33 0.510 15.97 8-5 3rd 4th place
1 991 2016 Ed 5-6 9th 99.02 0.509 18.50 6-7 9th
2 991 2020 Scott 7-4 5th 99.82 0.511 13.92 7-6 8th
3 986 2023 Pat 5-6 10th 99.77 0.513 18.63 5-9 11th
4 984 2010 Derrek 7-4 4th 96.91 0.510 19.11 7-6 5th 3rd place
5 983 2009 Derrek 5-6 8th 98.85 0.503 17.02 7-6 5th 3rd place
6 981 2011 Ed 8-3 1st 101.88 0.511 19.08 9-4 1st 3rd place
7 980 2012 Allen 5-6 7th 99.11 0.505 20.96 6-7 8th
8 979 2010 Pulley 7-4 3rd 97.11 0.513 18.98 8-5 4th 5th place
9 979 2020 Derrek 6-5 7th 98.97 0.508 23.97 8-5 5th 5th place
10 976 2022 Matt 5-6 11th 99.91 0.505 22.43 6-8 11th