2023 Derrek (through 11 weeks)

3-8 (0.273), 980.09 points

12th place

3.91 expected wins (0.355)

56-87 all-play record (0.392)

+12.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 63.20 83.70 Dave -20.50
2 L 88.68 99.99 Pat -11.31
3 L 97.50 102.60 Ed -5.10
4 L 82.01 123.59 Mike R. -41.58
5 W 113.48 102.03 Richie 11.45
6 W 92.96 66.01 Schertz 26.95
7 L 108.07 110.92 Matt -2.85
8 L 61.10 123.92 Kevin -62.82 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 92.49 123.32 Pulley -30.83
10 W 90.10 70.05 Dave 20.05
11 L 90.50 151.68 Rob -61.18
12 Babel
13 Scott
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.23076923076923223.4%160.6282051282051481.6843015621307130.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.4%31.782051282051285140.213385625683903.5%74.73076923076923132.4311262341809112.2%117.67948717948717110.1542005984684620.0%160.6282051282051422.1378338934922327.2%203.5769230769230772.0420.2%246.5256410256410289.9124057559609259.7%289.474358974359116.6579264785169362.9%332.42307692307696133.770444535468770.5%375.3717948717949139.8775428662518780.1%418.3205128205129141.102466827856790.0%461.26923076923083141.22610124535476100.0%504.21794871794873141.2307141292057511Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th70.47692307692309275.6686390532544211th129.2076923076923230.698224852071312th187.93846153846152253.18343195266272411th246.66923076923075230.698224852071512th305.4253.18343195266272610th364.1307692307692208.2130177514793712th422.86153846153843253.18343195266272812th481.59230769230766253.18343195266272912th540.3230769230769253.183431952662721012th599.053846153846253.183431952662721112th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th70.47692307692309275.6686390532544212th129.2076923076923253.18343195266272312th187.93846153846152253.18343195266272411th246.66923076923075230.698224852071511th305.4230.698224852071611th364.1307692307692230.698224852071713th422.86153846153843275.6686390532544813th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544912th540.3230769230769253.183431952662721012th599.053846153846253.183431952662721112th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th70.47692307692309275.6686390532544211th129.2076923076923230.698224852071312th187.93846153846152253.18343195266272412th246.66923076923075253.18343195266272512th305.4253.18343195266272611th364.1307692307692230.698224852071712th422.86153846153843253.18343195266272812th481.59230769230766253.18343195266272913th540.3230769230769275.66863905325441013th599.053846153846275.668639053254411Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
5
7
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Jonathan Taylor RB
2.04 18 Josh Jacobs RB
3.11 39 Hollywood Brown WR
4.04 46 Patrick Mahomes II K QB
5.11 67 Skyy Moore WR
6.04 74 Dallas Goedert TE
7.11 95 D.J. Chark, Jr. WR
8.04 102 Allen Lazard WR
9.11 123 Alexander Mattison K RB
10.04 130 Elijah Moore WR
11.11 151 Michael Gallup WR
12.04 158 Ty Chandler RB
13.11 179 Kyler Murray QB
14.04 186 Kenyan Drake RB
15.11 207 Cincinnati DEF
16.04 214 Brett Maher K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.737180.8783216783216490.1964621065080650.390219.19999999999996114.2431311301961360.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.341372.4867132867133117.59557317272353100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.03227.59160839160839139.0398380345852410.32165.91328671328671119.0160994619300520.465104.23496503496503109.0383228065434230.219142.55664335664335126.0391814357671240.000180.8783216783216439.162154982246950.000219.1999999999999687.2554930296230460.650257.521678321678396.2194935727437470.025295.8433566433567139.517134867758680.382334.165034965035114.799977435565190.000372.486713286713393.96037711467784100.347410.8083916083916117.2319184426866611Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231068.61958041958042141.2307692307692320108.5146853146853141.2307692307692330148.40979020979017141.2307692307692348188.3048951048950898.6272189349112458228.298.6272189349112460268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.2307692307692393387.7804195804196125.25443786982248100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311228.724475524475523130.579881656804731268.61958041958042130.5798816568047324108.5146853146853119.9289940828402333148.40979020979017125.2544378698224840188.3048951048950856.0236686390532450228.256.0236686390532469268.0951048951048493.3017751479289970307.9902097902098141.2307692307692389347.885314685314793.3017751479289990387.7804195804196109.27810650887574108427.6755244755244798.6272189349112411All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Derrek 3-8 12th 89.10 0.355 15.25 5-9 12th
1 996 2016 Derrek 2-9 14th 89.63 0.356 16.00 3-10 14th
2 991 2023 Richie 2-9 14th 89.54 0.354 13.15 4-10 13th
3 985 2014 Allen 5-6 11th 87.65 0.360 15.63 6-7 10th
4 984 2022 Babel 3-8 14th 87.69 0.359 16.45 3-11 14th
5 984 2016 Richie 5-6 10th 89.65 0.350 16.87 5-8 12th
6 983 2016 Pat 6-5 6th 89.10 0.362 17.23 7-6 7th
7 974 2022 Pulley 6-5 8th 87.53 0.346 14.48 7-7 8th
8 971 2020 Pat 4-7 12th 89.29 0.344 17.48 5-8 12th
9 971 2017 Matt 4-7 12th 84.45 0.360 16.17 5-8 11th
10 968 2015 Derrek 6-5 7th 85.22 0.361 17.77 7-6 7th