2023 Derrek (through 11 weeks)

3-8 (0.273), 980.09 points (89.10 average)

12th place

3.94 expected wins (0.358)

56-87 all-play record (0.392)

+13.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 63.20 83.70 Dave -20.50
2 L 88.68 99.99 Pat -11.31
3 L 97.50 102.60 Ed -5.10
4 L 82.01 123.59 Mike R. -41.58
5 W 113.48 102.03 Richie 11.45
6 W 92.96 66.01 Schertz 26.95
7 L 108.07 110.92 Matt -2.85
8 L 61.10 123.92 Kevin -62.82 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 92.49 123.32 Pulley -30.83
10 W 90.10 70.05 Dave 20.05
11 L 90.50 151.68 Rob -61.18
12 Babel
13 Scott
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.23076923076923223.0%160.6282051282051482.5509340454529830.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.4%31.782051282051285140.2354899878619703.4%74.73076923076923132.66877173762484111.9%117.67948717948717110.9076690734105920.0%160.6282051282051423.871098860136712327.1%203.5769230769230772.0420.5%246.5256410256410288.99106612130998510.0%289.474358974359115.7074479223172463.1%332.42307692307696133.301709763171870.6%375.3717948717949139.750207953236280.1%418.3205128205129141.0836372607592590.0%461.26923076923083141.2247569967225100.0%504.21794871794873141.230686928387711Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th70.47692307692309275.6686390532544211th129.2076923076923230.698224852071312th187.93846153846152253.18343195266272411th246.66923076923075230.698224852071512th305.4253.18343195266272610th364.1307692307692208.2130177514793712th422.86153846153843253.18343195266272812th481.59230769230766253.18343195266272912th540.3230769230769253.183431952662721012th599.053846153846253.183431952662721112th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th70.47692307692309275.6686390532544212th129.2076923076923253.18343195266272312th187.93846153846152253.18343195266272411th246.66923076923075230.698224852071511th305.4230.698224852071611th364.1307692307692230.698224852071713th422.86153846153843275.6686390532544813th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544912th540.3230769230769253.183431952662721012th599.053846153846253.183431952662721112th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th70.47692307692309275.6686390532544211th129.2076923076923230.698224852071312th187.93846153846152253.18343195266272412th246.66923076923075253.18343195266272512th305.4253.18343195266272611th364.1307692307692230.698224852071712th422.86153846153843253.18343195266272812th481.59230769230766253.18343195266272913th540.3230769230769275.66863905325441013th599.053846153846275.668639053254411Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
5
7
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Jonathan Taylor RB
2.04 18 Josh Jacobs RB
3.11 39 Hollywood Brown WR
4.04 46 Patrick Mahomes II K QB
5.11 67 Skyy Moore WR
6.04 74 Dallas Goedert TE
7.11 95 D.J. Chark, Jr. WR
8.04 102 Allen Lazard WR
9.11 123 Alexander Mattison K RB
10.04 130 Elijah Moore WR
11.11 151 Michael Gallup WR
12.04 158 Ty Chandler RB
13.11 179 Kyler Murray QB
14.04 186 Kenyan Drake RB
15.11 207 Cincinnati DEF
16.04 214 Brett Maher K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.730180.8783216783216490.6900438656109350.406219.19999999999996113.1538347591611960.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.346372.4867132867133117.26558671388594100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.03827.59160839160839138.6326727169497410.31965.91328671328671119.1459239832249520.471104.23496503496503108.6452092831408230.209142.55664335664335126.7786733351887140.000180.8783216783216440.1493185004526250.000219.1999999999999685.0769002875531460.641257.521678321678396.8410796668205570.030295.8433566433567139.1782608927770580.399334.165034965035113.6334843606885190.000372.486713286713393.30040419700266100.353410.8083916083916116.7822239146357511Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231068.61958041958042141.2307692307692320108.5146853146853141.2307692307692330148.40979020979017141.2307692307692348188.3048951048950898.6272189349112458228.298.6272189349112460268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.2307692307692393387.7804195804196125.25443786982248100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311228.724475524475523130.579881656804731268.61958041958042130.5798816568047324108.5146853146853119.9289940828402333148.40979020979017125.2544378698224840188.3048951048950856.0236686390532450228.256.0236686390532469268.0951048951048493.3017751479289970307.9902097902098141.2307692307692389347.885314685314793.3017751479289990387.7804195804196109.27810650887574108427.6755244755244798.6272189349112411All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Derrek 3-8 12th 89.10 0.358 15.25 5-9 12th
1 995 2016 Derrek 2-9 14th 89.63 0.358 16.00 3-10 14th
2 991 2022 Babel 3-8 14th 87.69 0.359 16.45 3-11 14th
3 987 2023 Richie 2-9 14th 89.54 0.355 13.15 4-10 13th
4 986 2014 Allen 5-6 11th 87.65 0.362 15.63 6-7 10th
5 986 2016 Pat 6-5 6th 89.10 0.363 17.23 7-6 7th
6 983 2016 Richie 5-6 10th 89.65 0.352 16.87 5-8 12th
7 971 2017 Matt 4-7 12th 84.45 0.362 16.17 5-8 11th
8 969 2015 Derrek 6-5 7th 85.22 0.363 17.77 7-6 7th
9 968 2023 Scott 6-5 8th 90.24 0.367 19.89 8-6 7th
10 965 2022 Pulley 6-5 8th 87.53 0.344 14.48 7-7 8th