2016 Derrek (through 11 weeks)

2-9 (0.182), 985.89 points

14th place

3.91 expected wins (0.356)

51-92 all-play record (0.357)

+18.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 123.45 112.14 Dave 11.31
2 L 70.45 91.15 Schertz -20.70 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 67.22 84.08 Richie -16.86 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 89.35 68.08 Ed 21.27
5 L 103.42 109.35 Rob -5.93
6 L 93.53 128.65 Kevin -35.12
7 L 81.78 83.86 Mike R. -2.08
8 L 90.63 134.91 Pulley -44.28
9 L 72.25 133.99 Rabbit -61.74
10 L 104.88 104.96 Pat -0.08
11 L 88.93 121.38 Babel -32.45
12 Matt
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.23076923076923111.9%117.67948717948717111.7658216670882620.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.3%31.782051282051285140.5785652255187303.0%74.73076923076923133.8132037801070710.0%117.6794871794871782.30087410340728224.0%160.6282051282051481.98781682098317328.0%203.5769230769230772.0420.3%246.5256410256410291.1372158703003459.3%289.474358974359118.2240800578573562.7%332.42307692307696134.5396227138372870.5%375.3717948717949140.031377585726880.1%418.3205128205129141.1054187441249390.0%461.26923076923083141.22388157441046100.0%504.21794871794873141.2306173937855611Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576111th70.47692307692309230.698224852071212th129.2076923076923253.18343195266272314th187.93846153846152298.15384615384613411th246.66923076923075230.698224852071511th305.4230.698224852071612th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272713th422.86153846153843275.6686390532544814th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613912th540.3230769230769253.183431952662721013th599.053846153846275.6686390532544112nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557618th70.47692307692309163.24260355029585212th129.2076923076923253.18343195266272311th187.93846153846152230.698224852071410th246.66923076923075208.2130177514793511th305.4230.698224852071613th364.1307692307692275.6686390532544713th422.86153846153843275.6686390532544814th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613913th540.3230769230769275.66863905325441014th599.053846153846298.15384615384613112nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576111th70.47692307692309230.698224852071213th129.2076923076923275.6686390532544314th187.93846153846152298.15384615384613411th246.66923076923075230.698224852071511th305.4230.698224852071612th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272712th422.86153846153843253.18343195266272813th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544911th540.3230769230769230.6982248520711013th599.053846153846275.668639053254411Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Le'Veon Bell RB
2.11 25 Brandin Cooks WR
3.04 32 Andrew Luck QB
4.11 53 Allen Robinson II K WR
5.04 60 T.J. Yeldon RB
6.11 81 Zach Ertz TE
7.04 88 Chris Ivory RB
8.11 109 Devin Funchess WR
9.04 116 James Starks RB
10.11 137 Denver DEF
11.04 144 Josh Gordon K WR
12.11 165 Josh Doctson WR
13.04 172 Austin Seferian-Jenkins TE
14.11 193 Teddy Bridgewater QB
15.04 200 Blair Walsh K
16.11 221 Kenny Britt WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.85327.5916083916083982.169123391382110.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.334142.55664335664335118.1254848237776740.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.00027.5916083916083923.1074775519949610.09265.91328671328671134.8649666157873520.064104.23496503496503136.7741539484809430.000142.5566433566433595.0202004167861140.569180.87832167832164101.806478813373150.402219.19999999999996113.432065964239360.218257.5216783216783126.1486173052161270.351295.8433566433567116.8981501099032380.107334.165034965035133.8421876875586690.596372.486713286713399.98820516318875100.328410.8083916083916118.5573248156964511Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111228.72447552447552377.325443786982251068.61958041958042141.2307692307692320108.5146853146853141.2307692307692335148.40979020979017114.6035502958579940188.30489510489508141.2307692307692350228.2141.2307692307692360268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311028.72447552447552313.420118343195271068.61958041958042141.2307692307692320108.5146853146853141.2307692307692330148.4097902097901787.9763313609467446188.30489510489508109.2781065088757457228.2103.9526627218934963268.09510489510484125.2544378698224876307.9902097902098109.2781065088757481347.8853146853147135.9053254437869897387.7804195804196103.95266272189349104427.67552447552447119.9289940828402311All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Derrek 2-9 14th 89.63 0.356 16.00 3-10 14th
1 996 2023 Derrek 3-8 12th 89.10 0.355 15.25 5-9 12th
2 990 2023 Richie 2-9 14th 89.54 0.354 13.15 4-10 13th
3 987 2016 Richie 5-6 10th 89.65 0.350 16.87 5-8 12th
4 985 2022 Babel 3-8 14th 87.69 0.359 16.45 3-11 14th
5 984 2014 Allen 5-6 11th 87.65 0.360 15.63 6-7 10th
6 984 2016 Pat 6-5 6th 89.10 0.362 17.23 7-6 7th
7 971 2020 Pat 4-7 12th 89.29 0.344 17.48 5-8 12th
8 971 2017 Matt 4-7 12th 84.45 0.360 16.17 5-8 11th
9 970 2022 Pulley 6-5 8th 87.53 0.346 14.48 7-7 8th
10 968 2015 Derrek 6-5 7th 85.22 0.361 17.77 7-6 7th