2023 Richie (through 11 weeks)

2-9 (0.182), 984.96 points

14th place

3.89 expected wins (0.354)

48-95 all-play record (0.336)

+25.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 98.90 152.17 Babel -53.27
2 L 111.18 119.18 Mike R. -8.00
3 L 94.43 109.45 Rob -15.02
4 L 85.70 139.82 Schertz -54.12
5 L 102.03 113.48 Derrek -11.45
6 W 79.89 76.75 Ed 3.14
7 L 68.21 100.81 Pulley -32.60
8 L 99.46 115.07 Matt -15.61
9 L 67.19 78.43 Babel -11.24
10 W 87.60 86.38 Kevin 1.22
11 L 90.37 123.07 Rabbit -32.70
12 Pat
13 Dave
14 Scott

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.23076923076923112.6%117.67948717948717108.5912116699832120.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.5%31.782051282051285139.9875541348697503.8%74.73076923076923131.404895799516210.0%117.6794871794871775.9516541091972223.3%160.6282051282051480.81328225184953326.7%203.5769230769230771.99999999999999419.8%246.5256410256410289.8522091160884959.6%289.474358974359116.2039317846988863.1%332.42307692307696133.315725624182570.6%375.3717948717949139.6640773913862380.1%418.3205128205129141.050345168635190.0%461.26923076923083141.22020887884116100.0%504.21794871794873141.2305306856124211Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124116th70.47692307692309118.2721893491124127th129.2076923076923140.7573964497041537th187.93846153846152140.7573964497041549th246.66923076923075185.727810650887658th305.4163.24260355029585612th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272711th422.86153846153843230.698224852071811th481.59230769230766230.698224852071913th540.3230769230769275.66863905325441013th599.053846153846275.6686390532544118th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th70.47692307692309230.698224852071211th129.2076923076923230.698224852071311th187.93846153846152230.698224852071413th246.66923076923075275.6686390532544512th305.4253.18343195266272614th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613714th422.86153846153843298.15384615384613814th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613914th540.3230769230769298.153846153846131014th599.053846153846298.15384615384613116th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124116th70.47692307692309118.2721893491124127th129.2076923076923140.7573964497041537th187.93846153846152140.7573964497041548th246.66923076923075163.2426035502958559th305.4185.7278106508876612th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272711th422.86153846153843230.698224852071811th481.59230769230766230.698224852071912th540.3230769230769253.183431952662721012th599.053846153846253.1834319526627211Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
6
11
11
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Austin Ekeler RB
2.13 27 Deebo Samuel, Sr. WR
3.02 30 Christian Watson WR
4.13 55 Darren Waller TE
5.02 58 David Montgomery RB
6.13 83 Gabe Davis WR
7.02 86 Antonio Gibson RB
8.13 111 JuJu Smith-Schuster WR
9.02 114 Garrett Wilson K WR
10.13 139 Tua Tagovailoa K QB
11.02 142 Russell Wilson QB
12.13 167 Chuba Hubbard RB
13.02 170 Juwan Johnson TE
14.13 195 DeVante Parker WR
15.02 198 Miami DEF
16.13 223 Chad Ryland K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.189219.19999999999996128.1301961334791360.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.305372.4867132867133120.10706365204067100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.48727.59160839160839107.4927902038867310.70165.9132867132867192.7079525858252120.417104.23496503496503112.3339437975025730.277142.55664335664335122.027615195047940.541180.87832167832164103.7766934313224650.000219.19999999999996115.0296230361890260.071257.5216783216783136.3010633489950670.497295.8433566433567106.7995733747539580.061334.165034965035137.0170085987551590.000372.486713286713398.9833580733121100.345410.8083916083916117.3228321251958711Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231068.61958041958042141.2307692307692320108.5146853146853141.2307692307692330148.40979020979017141.2307692307692340188.30489510489508141.2307692307692353228.2125.2544378698224860268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.2307692307692392387.7804195804196130.57988165680473100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311828.72447552447552398.6272189349112411168.6195804195804282.650887573964523108.5146853146853125.2544378698224834148.40979020979017119.9289940828402345188.30489510489508114.6035502958579950228.2109.2781065088757461268.09510489510484135.9053254437869873307.9902097902098125.2544378698224881347.8853146853147135.9053254437869890387.7804195804196119.92899408284023107427.67552447552447103.9526627218934911All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Richie 2-9 14th 89.54 0.354 13.15 4-10 13th
1 991 2023 Derrek 3-8 12th 89.10 0.355 15.25 5-9 12th
2 990 2016 Derrek 2-9 14th 89.63 0.356 16.00 3-10 14th
3 984 2016 Richie 5-6 10th 89.65 0.350 16.87 5-8 12th
4 976 2014 Allen 5-6 11th 87.65 0.360 15.63 6-7 10th
5 976 2022 Babel 3-8 14th 87.69 0.359 16.45 3-11 14th
6 975 2016 Pat 6-5 6th 89.10 0.362 17.23 7-6 7th
7 974 2022 Pulley 6-5 8th 87.53 0.346 14.48 7-7 8th
8 970 2020 Pat 4-7 12th 89.29 0.344 17.48 5-8 12th
9 962 2017 Matt 4-7 12th 84.45 0.360 16.17 5-8 11th
10 959 2015 Derrek 6-5 7th 85.22 0.361 17.77 7-6 7th