2017 Matt (through 11 weeks)

4-7 (0.364), 928.98 points

12th place

3.96 expected wins (0.360)

51-92 all-play record (0.357)

-4.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 77.11 95.74 Kevin -18.63
2 L 78.20 93.62 Rob -15.42
3 L 73.28 118.90 Richie -45.62
4 W 118.61 86.95 Pulley 31.66
5 W 94.49 68.41 Allen 26.08
6 W 92.25 89.55 Babel 2.70
7 L 65.24 85.16 Ed -19.92 Slapped Heartbeat
8 L 83.86 104.24 Derrek -20.38
9 L 66.68 92.41 Rabbit -25.73
10 W 106.80 65.23 Schertz 41.57
11 L 72.46 119.39 Dave -46.93
12 Pat
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.23076923076923328.3%203.5769230769230772.040.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.2%31.782051282051285140.7514372219583802.6%74.73076923076923134.85523833226986111.4%117.67948717948717113.31984833870979223.9%160.6282051282051482.734728278466630.0%203.576923076923072.7692307692307736420.5%246.5256410256410290.9207428434248659.6%289.474358974359117.7823900245586262.9%332.42307692307696134.1028969093394570.6%375.3717948717949139.828538061222780.1%418.3205128205129141.0591444485019490.0%461.26923076923083141.2189216330559100.0%504.21794871794873141.230417730836211Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.698224852071112th70.47692307692309253.18343195266272214th129.2076923076923298.1538461538461339th187.93846153846152185.727810650887649th246.66923076923075185.727810650887659th305.4185.7278106508876611th364.1307692307692230.698224852071712th422.86153846153843253.18343195266272812th481.59230769230766253.18343195266272913th540.3230769230769275.66863905325441013th599.053846153846275.66863905325441112th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th70.47692307692309275.6686390532544214th129.2076923076923298.15384615384613312th187.93846153846152253.1834319526627248th246.66923076923075163.2426035502958558th305.4163.24260355029585610th364.1307692307692208.2130177514793711th422.86153846153843230.698224852071812th481.59230769230766253.18343195266272911th540.3230769230769230.6982248520711012th599.053846153846253.183431952662721111th11.746153846153845230.698224852071112th70.47692307692309253.18343195266272213th129.2076923076923275.668639053254439th187.93846153846152185.727810650887648th246.66923076923075163.2426035502958558th305.4163.24260355029585611th364.1307692307692230.698224852071712th422.86153846153843253.18343195266272812th481.59230769230766253.18343195266272913th540.3230769230769275.66863905325441012th599.053846153846253.1834319526627211Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Jordy Nelson WR
2.10 24 Marshawn Lynch RB
3.05 33 Allen Robinson II WR
4.10 52 Cam Newton QB
5.05 61 Tyler Eifert TE
6.10 80 Doug Martin RB
7.05 89 Michael Thomas K WR
8.10 108 Tevin Coleman K RB
9.05 117 Kenny Britt WR
10.10 136 Andy Dalton QB
11.05 145 Taylor Gabriel WR
12.10 164 Baltimore DEF
13.05 173 Evan Engram TE
14.10 192 Breshad Perriman WR
15.05 201 Devontae Booker RB
16.10 220 Adam Vinatieri K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.879142.5566433566433580.3975610732012640.493180.87832167832164107.0693626793429950.452219.19999999999996109.9331436783833560.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.706372.486713286713392.34134611284972100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.23327.59160839160839125.0702718161680710.24665.91328671328671124.229320252957820.188104.23496503496503128.1840654421087630.000142.5566433566433519.56435291563329340.000180.8783216783216472.9079561279167550.000219.1999999999999678.6355181259974560.123257.5216783216783132.7297495675696670.322295.8433566433567118.9222340364822280.133334.165034965035132.0251685281232390.000372.486713286713343.451922994930214100.182410.8083916083916128.604541223713911Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231068.61958041958042141.2307692307692320108.5146853146853141.23076923076923312148.4097902097901777.3254437869822548188.3048951048950898.6272189349112455228.2114.6035502958579960268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.2307692307692399387.780419580419693.30177514792899100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311328.724475524475523125.254437869822481368.61958041958042125.2544378698224824108.5146853146853119.9289940828402330148.4097902097901713.4201183431952740188.3048951048950856.0236686390532450228.287.9763313609467460268.09510489510484141.2307692307692373307.9902097902098125.2544378698224881347.8853146853147135.9053254437869890387.780419580419645.372781065088745103427.67552447552447125.2544378698224811All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2017 Matt 4-7 12th 84.45 0.360 16.17 5-8 11th
1 991 2015 Derrek 6-5 7th 85.22 0.361 17.77 7-6 7th
2 986 2014 Allen 5-6 11th 87.65 0.360 15.63 6-7 10th
3 985 2022 Babel 3-8 14th 87.69 0.359 16.45 3-11 14th
4 978 2010 Pat 3-8 12th 83.33 0.357 22.03 3-10 12th
5 976 2016 Pat 6-5 6th 89.10 0.362 17.23 7-6 7th
6 971 2016 Derrek 2-9 14th 89.63 0.356 16.00 3-10 14th
7 971 2023 Derrek 3-8 12th 89.10 0.355 15.25 5-9 12th
8 966 2013 Pat 4-7 12th 87.16 0.371 16.39 5-8 12th
9 962 2023 Richie 2-9 14th 89.54 0.354 13.15 4-10 13th
10 959 2013 Richie 5-6 9th 85.15 0.346 21.74 6-7 10th