2017 Matt (through 11 weeks)

4-7 (0.364), 928.98 points (84.45 average)

12th place

3.98 expected wins (0.362)

51-92 all-play record (0.357)

-4.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 77.11 95.74 Kevin -18.63
2 L 78.20 93.62 Rob -15.42
3 L 73.28 118.90 Richie -45.62
4 W 118.61 86.95 Pulley 31.66
5 W 94.49 68.41 Allen 26.08
6 W 92.25 89.55 Babel 2.70
7 L 65.24 85.16 Ed -19.92 Slapped Heartbeat
8 L 83.86 104.24 Derrek -20.38
9 L 66.68 92.41 Rabbit -25.73
10 W 106.80 65.23 Schertz 41.57
11 L 72.46 119.39 Dave -46.93
12 Pat
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.23076923076923328.1%203.5769230769230772.040.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.2%31.782051282051285140.719978418465202.6%74.73076923076923134.8597857331122111.2%117.67948717948717113.74523687975048223.4%160.6282051282051483.4532214495260530.0%203.576923076923072.7692307692307736420.8%246.5256410256410289.9758927547104959.9%289.474358974359116.7919504189610663.1%332.42307692307696133.6129872752286270.6%375.3717948717949139.6930640743864380.1%418.3205128205129141.0378321377316790.0%461.26923076923083141.21714822976378100.0%504.21794871794873141.2303574393654311Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.698224852071112th70.47692307692309253.18343195266272214th129.2076923076923298.1538461538461339th187.93846153846152185.727810650887649th246.66923076923075185.727810650887659th305.4185.7278106508876611th364.1307692307692230.698224852071712th422.86153846153843253.18343195266272813th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544913th540.3230769230769275.66863905325441013th599.053846153846275.66863905325441112th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th70.47692307692309275.6686390532544214th129.2076923076923298.15384615384613312th187.93846153846152253.1834319526627248th246.66923076923075163.2426035502958558th305.4163.24260355029585610th364.1307692307692208.2130177514793711th422.86153846153843230.698224852071812th481.59230769230766253.18343195266272911th540.3230769230769230.6982248520711012th599.053846153846253.183431952662721111th11.746153846153845230.698224852071112th70.47692307692309253.18343195266272213th129.2076923076923275.668639053254439th187.93846153846152185.727810650887648th246.66923076923075163.2426035502958558th305.4163.24260355029585611th364.1307692307692230.698224852071712th422.86153846153843253.18343195266272812th481.59230769230766253.18343195266272913th540.3230769230769275.66863905325441012th599.053846153846253.1834319526627211Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Jordy Nelson WR
2.10 24 Marshawn Lynch RB
3.05 33 Allen Robinson II WR
4.10 52 Cam Newton QB
5.05 61 Tyler Eifert TE
6.10 80 Doug Martin RB
7.05 89 Michael Thomas K WR
8.10 108 Tevin Coleman K RB
9.05 117 Kenny Britt WR
10.10 136 Andy Dalton QB
11.05 145 Taylor Gabriel WR
12.10 164 Baltimore DEF
13.05 173 Evan Engram TE
14.10 192 Breshad Perriman WR
15.05 201 Devontae Booker RB
16.10 220 Adam Vinatieri K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.863142.5566433566433581.489417842129540.490180.87832167832164107.3081994074032550.451219.19999999999996110.0229369794638660.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.712372.486713286713391.94676358640571100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.24327.59160839160839124.3750282115803110.25865.91328671328671123.3361648205176520.199104.23496503496503127.419433750862130.000142.5566433566433521.7480664534897740.000180.8783216783216473.3856295840372850.000219.1999999999999678.815104728158560.118257.5216783216783133.0830748551464470.324295.8433566433567118.819788086735980.133334.165034965035132.0055145469381790.000372.486713286713342.66275794204219100.193410.8083916083916127.8537818401053411Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231068.61958041958042141.2307692307692320108.5146853146853141.23076923076923312148.4097902097901777.3254437869822548188.3048951048950898.6272189349112455228.2114.6035502958579960268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.2307692307692399387.780419580419693.30177514792899100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311328.724475524475523125.254437869822481368.61958041958042125.2544378698224824108.5146853146853119.9289940828402330148.4097902097901713.4201183431952740188.3048951048950856.0236686390532450228.287.9763313609467460268.09510489510484141.2307692307692373307.9902097902098125.2544378698224881347.8853146853147135.9053254437869890387.780419580419645.372781065088745103427.67552447552447125.2544378698224811All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2017 Matt 4-7 12th 84.45 0.362 16.17 5-8 11th
1 992 2015 Derrek 6-5 7th 85.22 0.363 17.77 7-6 7th
2 985 2014 Allen 5-6 11th 87.65 0.362 15.63 6-7 10th
3 979 2022 Babel 3-8 14th 87.69 0.359 16.45 3-11 14th
4 978 2016 Pat 6-5 6th 89.10 0.363 17.23 7-6 7th
5 971 2023 Derrek 3-8 12th 89.10 0.358 15.25 5-9 12th
6 970 2016 Derrek 2-9 14th 89.63 0.358 16.00 3-10 14th
7 969 2010 Pat 3-8 12th 83.33 0.355 22.03 3-10 12th
8 969 2013 Pat 4-7 12th 87.16 0.372 16.39 5-8 12th
9 967 2017 Richie 4-7 13th 84.14 0.373 21.05 6-7 8th
10 962 2013 Richie 5-6 9th 85.15 0.350 21.74 6-7 10th