2019 Kevin (through 11 weeks)

6-5 (0.545), 1,169.09 points

6th place

5.59 expected wins (0.508)

75-68 all-play record (0.524)

+18.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 121.30 111.03 Derrek 10.27
2 L 75.97 87.25 Pat -11.28
3 W 181.71 119.30 Scott 62.41 Team Blangums
4 L 93.76 119.19 Matt -25.43
5 W 86.28 83.38 Rob 2.90
6 L 71.94 121.13 Rabbit -49.19
7 W 97.47 87.98 Ed 9.49
8 L 102.05 144.54 Mike R. -42.49
9 W 113.50 85.70 Richie 27.80
10 L 98.04 126.27 Schertz -28.23
11 W 127.07 109.93 Babel 17.14
12 Pulley
13 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.23076923076923527.5%289.47435897435972.060.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2266656158567500.1%74.73076923076923141.0564383864630710.9%117.67948717948717139.0442631740472225.0%160.62820512820514128.68059397734953315.2%203.57692307692307102.97013301773669426.5%246.5256410256410274.5533472023104950.0%289.4743589743592.7692307692307736617.2%332.4230769230769697.9551216953003276.3%375.3717948717949125.3216118246163881.3%418.3205128205129138.01471564118590.1%461.26923076923083140.9186250180586100.0%504.21794871794873141.2197319175586511Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520719th70.47692307692309185.727810650887624th129.207692307692373.3017751479289934th187.9384615384615273.3017751479289948th246.66923076923075163.24260355029585510th305.4208.213017751479368th364.1307692307692163.24260355029585710th422.86153846153843208.213017751479387th481.59230769230766140.7573964497041597th540.3230769230769140.75739644970415105th599.05384615384695.7869822485207115th11.74615384615384595.786982248520719th70.47692307692309185.727810650887623rd129.207692307692350.81656804733728435th187.9384615384615295.786982248520744th246.6692307692307573.3017751479289957th305.4140.7573964497041565th364.130769230769295.786982248520777th422.86153846153843140.7573964497041586th481.59230769230766118.2721893491124197th540.3230769230769140.75739644970415106th599.053846153846118.27218934911241115th11.74615384615384595.786982248520719th70.47692307692309185.727810650887623rd129.207692307692350.81656804733728434th187.9384615384615273.3017751479289944th246.6692307692307573.3017751479289957th305.4140.7573964497041565th364.130769230769295.786982248520775th422.8615384615384395.786982248520785th481.5923076923076695.786982248520795th540.323076923076995.7869822485207105th599.05384615384695.786982248520711Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Mike Evans WR
2.03 17 Keenan Allen WR
3.12 40 Matt Ryan QB
4.03 45 Hunter Henry TE
5.12 68 Marvin Jones, Jr. WR
6.03 73 Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR
7.12 96 Matt Breida RB
8.03 101 Marlon Mack K RB
9.12 124 Jamison Crowder WR
10.03 129 Kyle Rudolph TE
11.12 152 Josh Allen QB
12.03 157 Alvin Kamara K RB
13.12 180 Stephen Gostkowski K
14.03 185 Mike Davis RB
15.12 208 Marquise Goodwin WR
16.03 213 Houston DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.81027.5916083916083985.1637403961763810.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.963104.2349650349650374.5609321735388730.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.262180.87832167832164123.0974744231474350.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.440257.5216783216783110.744577812207570.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.714334.16503496503591.8345318502902290.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.854410.808391608391682.12949624243123110.00027.5916083916083929.09671156158353310.11865.91328671328671133.0411584475931220.000104.234965034965037.8910951163085230.380142.55664335664335114.8925145766905440.000180.87832167832164104.9641796155256450.076219.19999999999996135.9503962878880860.000257.521678321678380.2583863936457570.518295.8433566433567105.3920347544773180.000334.16503496503542.4382944698112190.450372.4867132867133110.06272519338836100.000410.808391608391623.0282232540932511Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011928.72447552447552393.301775147928991068.61958041958042141.23076923076923213108.514685314685372.030148.40979020979017141.2307692307692343188.30489510489508125.2544378698224850228.2141.2307692307692367268.09510489510484103.9526627218934970307.9902097902098141.23076923076923810347.885314685314787.9763313609467490387.7804195804196141.230769230769231012427.6755244755244777.3254437869822511028.72447552447552345.3727810650887451368.61958041958042125.2544378698224820108.51468531468532.769230769230773636148.40979020979017109.2781065088757440188.30489510489508109.2781065088757452228.2130.5798816568047360268.0951048951048466.6745562130177574307.9902097902098119.9289940828402380347.885314685314734.7218934911242596387.7804195804196109.27810650887574100427.6755244755244713.4201183431952711All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2019 Kevin 6-5 6th 106.28 0.508 28.95 6-7 8th
1 968 2021 Kevin 5-6 8th 101.51 0.508 23.34 5-9 9th
2 961 2009 Ed 7-4 3rd 103.52 0.520 27.22 7-6 4th 6th place
3 960 2020 Derrek 6-5 7th 98.97 0.508 23.97 8-5 5th 5th place
4 956 2022 Matt 5-6 11th 99.91 0.505 22.43 6-8 11th
5 956 2011 Ed 8-3 1st 101.88 0.511 19.08 9-4 1st 3rd place
6 951 2012 Allen 5-6 7th 99.11 0.505 20.96 6-7 8th
7 950 2013 Rob 7-4 4th 99.56 0.500 25.50 8-5 2nd 2nd place
8 950 2018 Ed 4-7 10th 105.99 0.493 19.40 6-7 9th
9 948 2016 Ed 5-6 9th 99.02 0.509 18.50 6-7 9th
10 943 2015 Schertz 7-4 5th 98.69 0.499 24.11 9-4 2nd 2nd place