2014 Kevin (through 12 weeks)

3-9 (0.250), 1,103.34 points

14th place

5.17 expected wins (0.431)

62-94 all-play record (0.397)

-5.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 104.42 118.07 Pulley -13.65
2 W 98.36 74.84 Rabbit 23.52
3 L 101.88 102.82 Rob -0.94
4 W 121.73 76.64 Mike R. 45.09
5 L 72.85 78.58 Pat -5.73
6 L 60.70 120.48 Schertz -59.78 Slapped Heartbeat
7 L 77.73 78.02 Allen -0.29
8 L 93.75 132.23 Derrek -38.48
9 L 91.06 98.60 Matt -7.54
10 W 133.27 71.77 Babel 61.50 Team Blangums
11 L 44.61 93.65 Ed -49.04 Slapped Heartbeat
12 L 102.98 115.73 Richie -12.75
13 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692328.9%149.06508875739644119.087439186333130.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.2081849886444600.2%69.77514792899409140.627715377640212.2%109.42011834319527135.8665965057256820.0%149.0650887573964496.94410914189697320.4%188.7100591715976390.6778874868073427.9%228.3550295857988372.0523.6%268.082.62505098062064612.3%307.64497041420117110.7366003305797673.8%347.28994082840245131.8539824551455780.6%386.93491124260356139.6567953054446390.1%426.5798816568048141.1039669155786100.0%466.2248520710059141.22702961069862110.0%505.8698224852071141.2307449331726212Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520716th65.13776223776223118.2721893491124125th118.5293706293706295.786982248520735th171.9209790209790295.786982248520747th225.3125874125874140.7573964497041559th278.7041958041958185.727810650887669th332.09580419580413185.7278106508876711th385.4874125874125230.698224852071810th438.87902097902094208.213017751479398th492.27062937062936163.242603550295851010th545.6622377622377208.21301775147931110th599.053846153846208.2130177514793128th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958516th65.13776223776223118.2721893491124129th118.52937062937062185.727810650887637th171.92097902097902140.75739644970415410th225.3125874125874208.2130177514793511th278.7041958041958230.698224852071612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272713th385.4874125874125275.6686390532544814th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613913th492.27062937062936275.66863905325441014th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131114th599.053846153846298.15384615384613125th11.74615384615384595.786982248520716th65.13776223776223118.2721893491124125th118.5293706293706295.786982248520735th171.9209790209790295.786982248520747th225.3125874125874140.75739644970415510th278.7041958041958208.213017751479369th332.09580419580413185.7278106508876711th385.4874125874125230.698224852071810th438.87902097902094208.213017751479398th492.27062937062936163.242603550295851010th545.6622377622377208.21301775147931110th599.053846153846208.213017751479312Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
3
7
11
12

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Jimmy Graham TE
2.10 24 Chris Johnson RB
3.05 33 Percy Harvin WR
4.10 52 Emmanuel Sanders WR
5.05 61 Mike Wallace WR
6.10 80 Russell Wilson QB
7.05 89 Devonta Freeman RB
8.10 108 Andre Williams RB
9.05 117 Keenan Allen K WR
10.10 136 Christine Michael RB
11.05 145 Jordan Matthews WR
12.10 164 Cincinnati DEF
13.05 173 Travis Kelce TE
14.10 192 Matt Bryant K
15.05 201 Joe Flacco QB
16.10 220 Marcus Lattimore RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.49661.12307692307692106.8681030066453620.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.855131.3794871794871782.0713961022562440.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.933342.1487179487179476.61657515170319100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.60125.99487179487179599.5950084059079510.00061.1230769230769272.505436782521520.55696.25128205128203102.7542588731032530.000131.3794871794871722.91202297374326240.127166.5076923076923132.414847791735550.041201.63589743589745138.4265150476575260.181236.76410256410256128.710115229484970.421271.89230769230767112.0729113302980780.372307.0205128205128115.5049028450210490.000342.1487179487179412.00238107263715100.009377.2769230769231140.6198076381924110.574412.4051282051282101.458738897346912Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231763.6326923076923103.9526627218934920100.20320512820511141.23076923076923310136.7737179487179487.9763313609467440173.3442307692307141.2307692307692350209.91474358974358141.2307692307692360246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692141.2307692307692380319.62628205128203141.23076923076923913356.1967948717948572.0100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312927.06217948717948593.301775147928991063.632692307692366.6745562130177527100.20320512820511103.9526627218934930136.7737179487179434.7218934911242542173.3442307692307130.5798816568047350209.91474358974358141.2307692307692363246.4852564102564125.2544378698224871283.0557692307692135.9053254437869885319.62628205128203114.6035502958579990356.196794871794852.7692307692307736100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923115429.3378205128205114.6035502958579912All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Kevin 3-9 14th 91.95 0.431 23.80 4-9 14th
1 982 2021 Mike R. 3-9 10th 94.15 0.432 21.12 4-10 11th
2 981 2012 Schertz 4-8 10th 90.21 0.426 25.74 5-8 9th
3 976 2010 Mike R. 4-8 10th 90.99 0.438 20.93 4-9 11th
4 976 2019 Scott 4-8 12th 94.23 0.436 21.73 4-9 14th
5 974 2023 Dave 6-6 8th 96.76 0.431 21.17 6-8 10th
6 970 2014 Pat 5-7 9th 92.59 0.440 19.11 5-8 11th
7 966 2010 Matt 4-8 9th 96.18 0.437 22.19 5-8 9th
8 965 2024 Scott 4-8 12th 92.79 0.416 25.11 5-9 12th
9 963 2017 Richie 5-7 10th 89.17 0.420 26.16 6-7 8th
10 960 2019 Dave 5-7 11th 93.07 0.416 21.11 6-7 10th