2023 Dave (through 12 weeks)

6-6 (0.500), 1,161.11 points

8th place

5.17 expected wins (0.431)

63-93 all-play record (0.404)

-17.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 83.70 63.20 Derrek 20.50
2 L 85.05 93.59 Ed -8.54
3 W 120.41 72.32 Scott 48.09
4 L 71.98 109.71 Rob -37.73
5 L 87.27 101.66 Babel -14.39
6 W 113.32 86.17 Rabbit 27.15
7 W 144.61 110.68 Pat 33.93 Team Blangums
8 L 115.48 149.12 Pulley -33.64
9 W 92.23 84.46 Mike R. 7.77
10 L 70.05 90.10 Derrek -20.05 Slapped Heartbeat
11 W 85.01 73.67 Matt 11.34
12 L 92.00 108.98 Schertz -16.98
13 Richie
14 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.23076923076923523.1%268.084.5034770011263360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.2146165013476800.2%69.77514792899409140.7260642642212.0%109.42011834319527136.376712917463428.8%149.06508875739644119.596363619411320.9%188.7100591715976389.95169067349147428.2%228.3550295857988372.050.0%268.027.77618477148343611.9%307.64497041420117111.9181196658843973.9%347.28994082840245131.5706496157727480.8%386.93491124260356139.2344457354464390.1%426.5798816568048140.98550922057575100.0%466.2248520710059141.21481791649285110.0%505.8698224852071141.2303534977827412Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th65.13776223776223230.69822485207129th118.52937062937062185.7278106508876311th171.92097902097902230.698224852071412th225.3125874125874253.18343195266272511th278.7041958041958230.69822485207167th332.09580419580413140.7573964497041576th385.4874125874125118.2721893491124187th438.87902097902094140.7573964497041598th492.27062937062936163.24260355029585109th545.6622377622377185.72781065088761110th599.053846153846208.2130177514793126th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124118th65.13776223776223163.2426035502958526th118.52937062937062118.2721893491124139th171.92097902097902185.7278106508876410th225.3125874125874208.2130177514793510th278.7041958041958208.213017751479366th332.09580419580413118.2721893491124177th385.4874125874125140.7573964497041588th438.87902097902094163.2426035502958598th492.27062937062936163.24260355029585107th545.6622377622377140.75739644970415118th599.053846153846163.24260355029585128th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958519th65.13776223776223185.727810650887628th118.52937062937062163.24260355029585311th171.92097902097902230.698224852071411th225.3125874125874230.698224852071511th278.7041958041958230.69822485207166th332.09580419580413118.2721893491124176th385.4874125874125118.2721893491124187th438.87902097902094140.7573964497041598th492.27062937062936163.24260355029585108th545.6622377622377163.242603550295851110th599.053846153846208.213017751479312Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
7
8
11
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Travis Kelce K TE
2.03 17 A.J. Brown K WR
3.12 40 Joe Burrow QB
4.03 45 James Conner RB
5.12 68 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
6.03 73 Javonte Williams RB
7.12 96 Zay Flowers WR
8.03 101 Darnell Mooney WR
9.12 124 Jeff Wilson, Jr. RB
10.03 129 Justin Tucker K
11.12 152 Philadelphia DEF
12.03 157 Derek Carr QB
13.12 180 Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB
14.03 185 Van Jefferson WR
15.12 208 Leonard Fournette RB
16.03 213 Jalin Hyatt WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.23425.994871794871795125.015867504130810.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692320.81596.2512820512820384.8206556247429530.000131.37948717948717141.2307692307692340.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.725201.6358974358974591.0482428766243660.948236.7641025641025675.5701884294300570.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.366307.0205128205128115.9131350428953890.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.255377.2769230769231123.57261279429696110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.00025.994871794871795108.8009657774923710.25661.12307692307692123.5157917427287120.00096.2512820512820328.4105420187166730.091131.37948717948717134.9595515285764740.290166.5076923076923121.1406717871753950.000201.6358974358974540.8657165224794960.000236.764102564102569.90960762809086870.756271.8923076923076788.9117713376577480.000307.020512820512890.5955008550215390.075342.14871794871794136.0277872980598100.000377.2769230769231105.9144563578247110.362412.4051282051282116.1517834594820812Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112627.062179487179485109.278106508875741063.6326923076923141.2307692307692329100.2032051282051193.3017751479289930136.77371794871794141.2307692307692340173.3442307692307141.23076923076923511209.9147435897435882.6508875739645613246.485256410256472.070283.0557692307692141.2307692307692388319.6262820512820398.6272189349112490356.19679487179485141.23076923076923103392.7673076923077125.25443786982248110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312027.06217948717948577.325443786982251163.6326923076923135.9053254437869820100.2032051282051145.37278106508874531136.77371794871794135.9053254437869842173.3442307692307130.5798816568047350209.9147435897435824.07100591715975260246.48525641025642.769230769230773677283.0557692307692103.9526627218934980319.6262820512820356.0236686390532490356.19679487179485141.23076923076923100392.7673076923077109.27810650887574112429.3378205128205130.5798816568047312All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Dave 6-6 8th 96.76 0.431 21.17 6-8 10th
1 987 2021 Mike R. 3-9 10th 94.15 0.432 21.12 4-10 11th
2 983 2010 Matt 4-8 9th 96.18 0.437 22.19 5-8 9th
3 979 2019 Scott 4-8 12th 94.23 0.436 21.73 4-9 14th
4 976 2009 Pat 6-6 7th 97.48 0.440 22.48 6-7 8th
5 974 2014 Kevin 3-9 14th 91.95 0.431 23.80 4-9 14th
6 970 2023 Schertz 5-7 11th 97.51 0.445 21.01 6-8 9th
7 963 2010 Mike R. 4-8 10th 90.99 0.438 20.93 4-9 11th
8 962 2014 Pat 5-7 9th 92.59 0.440 19.11 5-8 11th
9 956 2011 Dave 3-9 12th 96.66 0.451 22.89 3-10 12th
10 955 2012 Schertz 4-8 10th 90.21 0.426 25.74 5-8 9th