2023 Dave (through 12 weeks)

6-6 (0.500), 1,161.11 points (96.76 average)

8th place

5.15 expected wins (0.429)

63-93 all-play record (0.404)

-17.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 83.70 63.20 Derrek 20.50
2 L 85.05 93.59 Ed -8.54
3 W 120.41 72.32 Scott 48.09
4 L 71.98 109.71 Rob -37.73
5 L 87.27 101.66 Babel -14.39
6 W 113.32 86.17 Rabbit 27.15
7 W 144.61 110.68 Pat 33.93 Team Blangums
8 L 115.48 149.12 Pulley -33.64
9 W 92.23 84.46 Mike R. 7.77
10 L 70.05 90.10 Derrek -20.05 Slapped Heartbeat
11 W 85.01 73.67 Matt 11.34
12 L 92.00 108.98 Schertz -16.98
13 Richie
14 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.23076923076923523.0%268.085.1821735963488560.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.2180969125082300.2%69.77514792899409140.7458285577564812.0%109.42011834319527136.364216644071529.0%149.06508875739644119.35938023149345321.2%188.7100591715976389.55366692380895428.4%228.3550295857988372.050.0%268.029.133577961928466611.7%307.64497041420117112.7600564733446273.8%347.28994082840245132.0608711020976880.8%386.93491124260356139.3910428548347890.1%426.5798816568048141.01305792452698100.0%466.2248520710059141.2172542479467110.0%505.8698224852071141.2304351187153212Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585112th65.13776223776223253.1834319526627229th118.52937062937062185.7278106508876311th171.92097902097902230.698224852071412th225.3125874125874253.18343195266272511th278.7041958041958230.69822485207167th332.09580419580413140.7573964497041577th385.4874125874125140.7573964497041587th438.87902097902094140.7573964497041599th492.27062937062936185.7278106508876109th545.6622377622377185.72781065088761110th599.053846153846208.2130177514793126th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124118th65.13776223776223163.2426035502958526th118.52937062937062118.2721893491124139th171.92097902097902185.7278106508876410th225.3125874125874208.2130177514793510th278.7041958041958208.213017751479366th332.09580419580413118.2721893491124177th385.4874125874125140.7573964497041588th438.87902097902094163.2426035502958598th492.27062937062936163.24260355029585107th545.6622377622377140.75739644970415118th599.053846153846163.24260355029585128th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958519th65.13776223776223185.727810650887628th118.52937062937062163.24260355029585311th171.92097902097902230.698224852071411th225.3125874125874230.698224852071511th278.7041958041958230.69822485207166th332.09580419580413118.2721893491124176th385.4874125874125118.2721893491124187th438.87902097902094140.7573964497041598th492.27062937062936163.24260355029585108th545.6622377622377163.242603550295851110th599.053846153846208.213017751479312Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
7
8
11
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Travis Kelce K TE
2.03 17 A.J. Brown K WR
3.12 40 Joe Burrow QB
4.03 45 James Conner RB
5.12 68 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
6.03 73 Javonte Williams RB
7.12 96 Zay Flowers WR
8.03 101 Darnell Mooney WR
9.12 124 Jeff Wilson, Jr. RB
10.03 129 Justin Tucker K
11.12 152 Philadelphia DEF
12.03 157 Derek Carr QB
13.12 180 Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB
14.03 185 Van Jefferson WR
15.12 208 Leonard Fournette RB
16.03 213 Jalin Hyatt WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.22125.994871794871795125.9511103155714110.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692320.81096.2512820512820385.1623064825283830.000131.37948717948717141.2307692307692340.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.717201.6358974358974591.6143718745701460.963236.7641025641025674.591301600988370.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.379307.0205128205128114.9925778794019890.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.247377.2769230769231124.11752893709152110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.00025.994871794871795110.671451400373610.24961.12307692307692123.9751766622838120.00096.2512820512820329.09384373428751830.080131.37948717948717135.6842571027409640.289166.5076923076923121.2496851907679250.000201.6358974358974541.99797451837106660.000236.764102564102567.95183397120737870.753271.8923076923076789.1155070659467780.000307.020512820512888.7543865280347390.074342.14871794871794136.13523039483647100.000377.2769230769231107.0042886434138110.371412.4051282051282115.5218323281699412Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112627.062179487179485109.278106508875741063.6326923076923141.2307692307692329100.2032051282051193.3017751479289930136.77371794871794141.2307692307692340173.3442307692307141.23076923076923511209.9147435897435882.6508875739645613246.485256410256472.070283.0557692307692141.2307692307692388319.6262820512820398.6272189349112490356.19679487179485141.23076923076923103392.7673076923077125.25443786982248110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312027.06217948717948577.325443786982251163.6326923076923135.9053254437869820100.2032051282051145.37278106508874531136.77371794871794135.9053254437869842173.3442307692307130.5798816568047350209.9147435897435824.07100591715975260246.48525641025642.769230769230773677283.0557692307692103.9526627218934980319.6262820512820356.0236686390532490356.19679487179485141.23076923076923100392.7673076923077109.27810650887574112429.3378205128205130.5798816568047312All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Dave 6-6 8th 96.76 0.429 21.17 6-8 10th
1 994 2009 Pat 6-6 7th 97.48 0.430 22.48 6-7 8th
2 993 2010 Matt 4-8 9th 96.18 0.431 22.19 5-8 9th
3 984 2021 Mike R. 3-9 10th 94.15 0.432 21.12 4-10 11th
4 975 2019 Scott 4-8 12th 94.23 0.436 21.73 4-9 14th
5 972 2014 Kevin 3-9 14th 91.95 0.428 23.80 4-9 14th
6 958 2023 Schertz 5-7 11th 97.51 0.449 21.01 6-8 9th
7 958 2024 Scott 4-8 12th 92.79 0.420 25.11 5-9 12th
8 957 2018 Schertz 5-7 10th 102.50 0.434 16.05 6-7 10th
9 957 2010 Mike R. 4-8 10th 90.99 0.439 20.93 4-9 11th
10 956 2019 Dave 5-7 11th 93.07 0.415 21.11 6-7 10th