2010 Matt (through 12 weeks)

4-8 (0.333), 1,154.13 points

9th place

5.25 expected wins (0.437)

57-75 all-play record (0.432)

-4.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 82.53 88.82 Derrek -6.29
2 W 165.35 68.08 Kevin 97.27 Team Blangums
3 L 91.27 109.18 Rabbit -17.91
4 W 89.88 51.64 Rob 38.24
5 L 76.32 149.15 Ed -72.83
6 L 104.91 128.22 Pulley -23.31
7 L 93.55 94.54 Mike R. -0.99
8 W 84.54 47.94 Allen 36.60
9 L 90.61 90.77 Pat -0.16
10 L 95.96 115.89 Babel -19.93
11 W 98.01 87.74 Dave 10.27
12 L 81.20 98.11 Rabbit -16.91
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.23076923076923319.6%188.7100591715976387.0781998408432440.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.4%69.77514792899409140.1895694950978312.9%109.42011834319527133.1735444189017429.9%149.06508875739644113.8339587437190530.0%188.7100591715976332.92563045091724425.0%228.3550295857988372.0521.7%268.081.0757174643253613.1%307.64497041420117104.9675313802571375.5%347.28994082840245126.0639318223010781.6%386.93491124260356136.918703541969490.3%426.5798816568048140.43742914585886100.0%466.2248520710059141.14581518674754110.0%505.8698224852071141.2267614378511712Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd65.1377622377622332.4195804195804325th118.52937062937062112.1398601398601637th171.92097902097902165.286713286713347th225.3125874125874165.286713286713355th278.7041958041958112.1398601398601666th332.09580419580413138.7132867132867576th385.4874125874125138.7132867132867587th438.87902097902094165.286713286713398th492.27062937062936191.8601398601399107th545.6622377622377165.2867132867133119th599.053846153846218.43356643356645128th11.746153846153845191.860139860139915th65.13776223776223112.1398601398601627th118.52937062937062165.286713286713337th171.92097902097902165.286713286713348th225.3125874125874191.860139860139958th278.7041958041958191.860139860139969th332.09580419580413218.4335664335664578th385.4874125874125191.860139860139989th438.87902097902094218.43356643356645910th492.27062937062936245.006993006993108th545.6622377622377191.8601398601399119th599.053846153846218.43356643356645128th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd65.1377622377622332.4195804195804322nd118.5293706293706232.4195804195804333rd171.9209790209790258.99300699300701544th225.312587412587485.5664335664335754th278.704195804195885.5664335664335764th332.0958041958041385.5664335664335774th385.487412587412585.5664335664335784th438.8790209790209485.5664335664335795th492.27062937062936112.13986013986016105th545.6622377622377112.13986013986016116th599.053846153846138.7132867132867512Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Calvin Johnson WR
2.01 13 Ryan Mathews RB
3.12 36 C.J. Spiller RB
4.01 37 Jahvid Best RB
5.12 60 Chris Cooley TE
6.01 61 Dez Bryant WR
7.12 84 Johnny Knox WR
8.01 85 Aaron Rodgers K QB
9.12 108 Tim Hightower RB
10.01 109 Zach Miller TE
11.12 132 Steve Smith K WR
12.01 133 Matthew Stafford QB
13.12 156 Mason Crosby K
14.01 157 Pittsburgh DEF
15.12 180 Leon Washington RB
16.01 181 Jacoby Jones WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692311.02161.1230769230769272.020.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.379131.37948717948717115.555529147218940.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.297271.89230769230767121.0639570797363780.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.513377.2769230769231106.46384102425574110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.26825.994871794871795123.089278056944810.00061.123076923076922.769230769230773620.39796.25128205128203114.2869215021542930.000131.3794871794871789.8802890636685840.185166.5076923076923128.6644748128867450.634201.6358974358974598.2624038802852960.439236.76410256410256111.4603746438523970.000271.89230769230767100.8971449287035180.388307.0205128205128114.93235346192490.481342.14871794871794108.58931523660087100.000377.276923076923171.69691281774224110.245412.4051282051282124.6472172701820712Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101112027.062179487179485141.2307692307692311163.632692307692372.020100.20320512820511141.2307692307692336136.77371794871794103.4685314685314740173.3442307692307141.2307692307692350209.91474358974358141.2307692307692360246.4852564102564141.2307692307692376283.0557692307692103.4685314685314780319.62628205128203141.2307692307692390356.19679487179485141.23076923076923105392.7673076923077109.76223776223776110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312427.062179487179485116.055944055944051063.63269230769232.769230769230773626100.20320512820511103.4685314685314730136.7737179487179465.7062937062937242173.3442307692307128.6433566433566459209.9147435897435884.5874125874125963246.4852564102564122.3496503496503570283.055769230769265.7062937062937283319.62628205128203122.3496503496503591356.19679487179485134.93706293706293100392.767307692307778.29370629370631111429.3378205128205134.9370629370629312All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2010 Matt 4-8 9th 96.18 0.437 22.19 5-8 9th
1 989 2019 Scott 4-8 12th 94.23 0.436 21.73 4-9 14th
2 988 2009 Pat 6-6 7th 97.48 0.440 22.48 6-7 8th
3 983 2023 Dave 6-6 8th 96.76 0.431 21.17 6-8 10th
4 980 2021 Mike R. 3-9 10th 94.15 0.432 21.12 4-10 11th
5 978 2023 Schertz 5-7 11th 97.51 0.445 21.01 6-8 9th
6 976 2010 Mike R. 4-8 10th 90.99 0.438 20.93 4-9 11th
7 975 2014 Pat 5-7 9th 92.59 0.440 19.11 5-8 11th
8 969 2011 Dave 3-9 12th 96.66 0.451 22.89 3-10 12th
9 966 2014 Kevin 3-9 14th 91.95 0.431 23.80 4-9 14th
10 966 2009 Dave 5-7 10th 95.35 0.445 14.10 5-8 11th